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Inclusive and Sustained Growth in South Asia. Amir Ullah Khan February 1, 2006 SAFTA, Mumbai. Some Basic Facts. Population in millions. Value Added (% GDP). Some Hard Facts. Constant 2000 USD. Military. Expenditure as a percentage of GDP Personnel as a percentage of the labour force.
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Inclusive and SustainedGrowth in South Asia Amir Ullah Khan February 1, 2006 SAFTA, Mumbai
Some Basic Facts Population in millions
Some Hard Facts Constant 2000 USD
Military Expenditure as a percentage of GDP Personnel as a percentage of the labour force
Poverty Values available for 2001 only
Importance of Agriculture Rural population (% of total population) Food exports (% of merchandise exports)
Basic Problem Hectares per rural person Agriculture value added per worker (constant 2000 USD)
Being Aware • Globalization Opportunity to grow Ability to realize the potential • Bottoms up • Inclusive and sustained
Exports ROW: As a percentage of total world exports Block: As a percentage of block exports
Productivity Labour Force is in millions Productivity (in USD) is GDP divided by Labour Force
Physical Capital Rate of Growth of Fixed Capital Formation per capita and per worker
Human Capital Enrolment rates
Law & Order Police personnel per million people Police personnel per crime (burglaries + thefts + robberies)
Lessons Learnt • Free trade agreement Sri Lanka and India • Unofficial trade Eastern India and Bangladesh • Decentralization 4 countries
Approach • Grow together Trade with each other • Inclusive growth Realize opportunities • Reduce vulnerability Mitigate risk
Policy Options • Educate and skill • Energize the health sector • Use markets and technology
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