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Voices of the Balkans: between hope and disenchantment

Voices of the Balkans: between hope and disenchantment. Robert Manchin Gallup Europe. What is the Gallup Balkan Monitor?. A multi-year comparative project in 7 countries A stratified random sample of 1000 in each country Fieldwork September-October 2008 Oversampling regions

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Voices of the Balkans: between hope and disenchantment

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  1. Voices of the Balkans:between hope and disenchantment Robert Manchin Gallup Europe

  2. What is the Gallup Balkan Monitor? • A multi-year comparative project in 7 countries • A stratified random sample of 1000 in each country • Fieldwork September-October 2008 • Oversampling regions • Face to face methodology • Comparative questions • Dedicated web-page • Data dashboard / interactive • www.balkan-monitor.eu HR SRB BIH ME KS MK AL

  3. Emotional energy in new countries vs. BiH and Croatia

  4. Strong feelings: Identification with “own country” (% very & extremely strongly) 65 33 51 58 10 52 76 65 79 42 61

  5. % of people who cannot identify at all or only a little with “Balkans” 41 60 47 34 32 10 21 23

  6. Less emotional strength in identification with “Europe” (% very & extremely strongly) 26 15 22 25 67 35 49

  7. Staying home or moving elsewhere? Ideally, would you like to move (permanently or temporarily) to another country, or would you prefer to continue living in [COUNTRY/ENTITY]?

  8. Subjective momentum – getting better or worse

  9. Corruption – getting around, finding solutions

  10. Organized crime – popular pressure is particularly high in Croatia

  11. On the road to the European Union

  12. The majority feels welcomed by the EU Do you think that the European Commission wants [COUNTRY] to join the European Union?

  13. No perceived difficulties in the form of popular support of further enlargement… Do you think that people in the European Union wants [COUNTRY]to join the European Union?

  14. As Croats get closer to the date see more balanced costs and benefits Generally speaking, do you think that [COUNTRY]’s membership of the European Union WOULD BE a good thing, a bad thing, or neither good or bad?

  15. Croats convinced that personally they would not benefit from the accession

  16. The view of international community

  17. Role of the international community over last 15-20 years Thinking of the last 15-20 years taking everything into account overall how would you describe the International community’s role in [COUNTRY]?

  18. Relative (dis)TRUST IN INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTIONS • NATO > EU • Albania, • Kosovo • Macedonia • EU > NATO • Serbia • Croatia • Montenegro • BiH

  19. Deep divisions within Macedonia

  20. The reputation of the ICTY in the region In your views what best describes the proceedings of the ICTY?

  21. Satisfaction with government performance

  22. Majority sees a need for a new Constitution in Bosnia

  23. But they mean different outcomes:

  24. Thank you and happy browsing: www.balkan-monitor.eu

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