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COP 8, 01 November 2002, New Delhi, India. 2. Overview of presentation. ARRPEEC power sector projectStatus of power sector Least cost generation options under CO2 emission targetsIdentification of some CDM projectsConclusions. COP 8, 01 November 2002, New Delhi, India. 3. Share of the power sect
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1. Mitigating Environmental Emissions from the Power Sector: Analysis of Technical and Policy Options in Selected Asian Countries
Ram M. Shrestha
S. C. Bhattacharya
Asian Regional Research Programme in Energy, Environment and Climate (ARRPEEC)
Asian Institute of Technology, Thailand
2. COP 8, 01 November 2002, New Delhi, India 2 Overview of presentation ARRPEEC power sector project
Status of power sector
Least cost generation options under CO2 emission targets
Identification of some CDM projects
Conclusions
3. COP 8, 01 November 2002, New Delhi, India 3 Share of the power sector in total national CO2 emissions (1990 and 1999)
4. COP 8, 01 November 2002, New Delhi, India 4 The ARRPEEC Power Sector Project Network
5. COP 8, 01 November 2002, New Delhi, India 5 The ARRPEEC Power Sector Project: Specific Objectives
Determination of least cost supply-side options for GHG and other harmful emissions mitigation subject to CO2 emission targets,
Identification of some CDM projects and assessment of their GHG and other harmful emissions mitigation potential
Assessment of environmental implications of Independent Power Producers (IPPs) and Distributed Power Generation (DPG)
6. COP 8, 01 November 2002, New Delhi, India 6 Power systems and countries covered
7. COP 8, 01 November 2002, New Delhi, India 7 Research approach & planning horizon Least cost power generation planning model
Planning horizon: 2003 to 2017
8. COP 8, 01 November 2002, New Delhi, India 8 Candidate generation technologies
9. COP 8, 01 November 2002, New Delhi, India 9 Least cost electricity generation technologies under the BAU case during 2003-2017
10. COP 8, 01 November 2002, New Delhi, India 10 Cleaner thermal generation technologies selected under least cost planning in the BAU and emission reduction cases during 2003-17
11. COP 8, 01 November 2002, New Delhi, India 11 Renewable technologies selected under least cost planning in the BAU and CO2 emission reduction cases during 2003-17
12. COP 8, 01 November 2002, New Delhi, India 12 Trends of generation share in total generation under CO2 emission reduction cases
13. COP 8, 01 November 2002, New Delhi, India 13 CO2 Emission-mix by type of generation technology during 2003-17 under BAU and 15% CO2 emission reduction cases
14. COP 8, 01 November 2002, New Delhi, India 14 CO2 Emission-mix by type of generation technology during 2003-2017 under BAU and 15% CO2 emission reduction cases
15. COP 8, 01 November 2002, New Delhi, India 15 Effect on total cost of power generation under CO2 emission reduction targets
16. COP 8, 01 November 2002, New Delhi, India 16 Marginal Abatement Costs, $/tonne of CO2 at 1998 prices
17. COP 8, 01 November 2002, New Delhi, India 17 CO2 Mitigation (“Supply”) Curves during 2003-2017
18. COP 8, 01 November 2002, New Delhi, India 18 Effects on SO2 Emissions under CO2 reduction targets
19. COP 8, 01 November 2002, New Delhi, India 19 Effects on NOx Emissions under CO2 reduction targets
20. COP 8, 01 November 2002, New Delhi, India 20
21. COP 8, 01 November 2002, New Delhi, India 21 Project/Options considered for CDM
22. COP 8, 01 November 2002, New Delhi, India 22 CO2 reductions and MAC of the candidate cleaner thermal CDM projects during 2003-17 at 1998 prices
23. COP 8, 01 November 2002, New Delhi, India 23 CO2 reductions and MAC of the candidate RETs based CDM Projects during 2003-17 at 1998 prices
24. COP 8, 01 November 2002, New Delhi, India 24 Conclusions At present costs, clean coal options (i.e., IGCC in NREB-India and Thailand and PFBC in Indonesia and NREB-India) and renewable options (geothermal in Indonesia, wind power in NREB-India and BIGCC in Thailand) are cost effective under the BAU case.
Clean coal technologies would be cost effective at 5% CO2 reduction target in Yunnan (China)
Marginal abatement cost ranges from:
1.0 to 2.5 $/tonne of CO2 at 5% CO2 emission reduction target and from 2.8 to 12.5 $/tonne of CO2 at 10% CO2 emission reduction target
Disproportionately large percentage reduction in SO2 emission would take place at the selected CO2 emission reduction targets except in Indonesia and Sri Lanka.
25. COP 8, 01 November 2002, New Delhi, India 25 Conclusions Some renewable power generation projects (e.g., BIGCC and mini-hydro in Thailand and geothermal in Indonesia and Yunnan-China) are found promising at present as possible CDM projects due to their low marginal abatement cost (2.2 to 5.8 $/tonne CO2).
Other renewable options (i.e., solar PV in Indonesia and Vietnam and wind power in Yunnan-China) would be promising as a CDM project if the price for CER is to reach above 16.5 $/tonne CO2 (=> “larger demand for CERs”).
26. COP 8, 01 November 2002, New Delhi, India 26 Thank You
27. COP 8, 01 November 2002, New Delhi, India 27 CO2 Emission from the Power Sector (1980-1997), 106 tons CO emission increased by more than four times during 1980-1997.CO emission increased by more than four times during 1980-1997.
28. COP 8, 01 November 2002, New Delhi, India 28 Power Sector Project:Collaborating Research Institutes
29. COP 8, 01 November 2002, New Delhi, India 29 Least-cost Generation Planning Model
30. COP 8, 01 November 2002, New Delhi, India 30 Generation share of technologies in total generation under BAU and CO2 emission reduction cases
31. COP 8, 01 November 2002, New Delhi, India 31 Share of gas-fired combined cycle generation technologies in total generation under BAU and CO2 emission reduction cases
32. COP 8, 01 November 2002, New Delhi, India 32 Share of coal-fired technologies in total generation under BAU and CO2 emission reduction cases
33. COP 8, 01 November 2002, New Delhi, India 33 Generation share of technologies in total generation under BAU and CO2 emission reduction cases
34. COP 8, 01 November 2002, New Delhi, India 34 Generation share by technologies in total generation under BAU and CO2 emission reduction cases
35. COP 8, 01 November 2002, New Delhi, India 35 Generation share of technologies in total generation under BAU and CO2 emission reduction cases
36. COP 8, 01 November 2002, New Delhi, India 36 CDM Projects Selection
37. COP 8, 01 November 2002, New Delhi, India 37 Marginal Abatement Costs, $/tonne of C at 1998 prices