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3SAQS Technical Committee Workshop Status of Technical Work October 2012- May 2013 May 29, 2013

3SAQS Technical Committee Workshop Status of Technical Work October 2012- May 2013 May 29, 2013. Shawn McClure (CIRA) Zac Adelman (UNC-IE). 3SAQS and 3SDW Activities. 3SAQS and 3SDW Activities October 2012 – June 2013. Project administration and operations 1 st use case design document

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3SAQS Technical Committee Workshop Status of Technical Work October 2012- May 2013 May 29, 2013

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  1. 3SAQS Technical Committee WorkshopStatus of Technical Work October 2012- May 2013May 29, 2013 Shawn McClure (CIRA) Zac Adelman (UNC-IE)

  2. 3SAQS and 3SDW Activities Three State Air Quality Study

  3. 3SAQS and 3SDW ActivitiesOctober 2012 – June 2013 • Project administration and operations • 1st use case design document • Operational and modeling protocol outlines • Emissions and air quality modeling • Find and implement improvements to ancillary data in 2008 WJAQS to create specific 2008 3SAQS products • Develop and prepare 3SAQS base case 2008 emissions version A (Base08a) • 3SDW Website and database • Metadata schema definition and Python generator • WestJump inventory database and web-enabled query tool • Website and database design, development, and launch Three State Air Quality Study

  4. 3SAQS and 3SDW ActivitiesOctober 2012 – June 2013 • First use case • NPS and EPA participated in a beta test of the 3SDW registration and data distribution functions • Currently ongoing and nearing completion • Feedback from this process will be used to improve/tweak the 3SDW interface and operation • Staffing and project team • CIRA difficulties in hiring a developer • UNC began to provide developer support to the project • ENVIRON being brought on to the project team as a subcontractor on the UNC cooperative agreement Three State Air Quality Study

  5. Review of the 3SDW Overall System Ecosystem and Architecture

  6. Summary of Past Quarter Activities • Continued to refine the database, software, and website infrastructure supporting the data warehouse • Refined various pre-processing components • XML Generator for metadata • SQL scripts for importing modeled emissions data • Extended portions of the data import system • SQL scripts for importing modeled emissions data • Integration layer for the Emissions Management Framework (EMF) • Refined the logical and physical file system design • Refined the data verification and validation system • Refined the system for acquiring and managing emissions data

  7. Summary of Past Quarter Activities (cont’d) • Interviewed several applicants for the TSDW software developer position • Offered the position to the best candidate and received a verbal acceptance • Candidate reneged on their acceptance the week before starting the appointment • Designed an alternate plan for continuing the work plan with minimal impacts via an increased involvement by UNC • Populated the data warehouse with the full complement of WestJump Base08b CAMxInput/Output data for June/July ‘08 • Refined the modeled emissions review tool • Conducted the First Use Case Beta Test

  8. Operational Website Components • User Login Form • User Registration/Modification Form • User Profile/Account Form • User Feedback Form • Dataset Request Form • Database Query Wizard • Raw Data Download • Interactive Charts • Dynamic Contour Maps • Site Metadata Reports • Monitoring Site Metadata Browser • File Explorer Authentication and Authorization System

  9. Future Website Components • Modeled Emissions Summary Tool • Modeled-to-Observed Data Comparison Tool • Air Quality Summary Reports • Visibility • Deposition • Ozone • Other • Model Data Mapping Tool • Source Apportionment Tool • Various Unpublished Monitoring Data Tools • Backend Web Services and Processing Components

  10. User Login Form

  11. User Registration/Modification Form

  12. User Profile/Account Form

  13. User Feedback Form

  14. Dataset Request Form

  15. Raw Data Download (Query Wizard)

  16. Time Series Charts (Query Wizard)

  17. Dynamic Contour Maps (Query Wizard)

  18. Site Metadata Report (Query Wizard)

  19. Monitoring Site Browser

  20. Modeled Emissions Summary Tool

  21. Modeled-to-Obs Comparison Tool

  22. Air Quality Summary Reports

  23. Model Data Mapping Tool

  24. Future Online Visualization Tools

  25. 3SAQS Technical Committee Workshop3SDW First Use Case Report and ResultsMay 29, 2013 Shawn McClure (CIRA) Zac Adelman (UNC-IE)

  26. 3SDW First Use Case • Use Cases • Conceptualizations of how a software system will be used • Aid project managers and developers in compartmentalizing a problem into workable components/deliverables • 3SDW Use Case • Launch of the 3SDW website and beta testing of the functionality • Test the 3SDW in registering users, distributing data, and receiving results back into the system • Subset (2 months) of WestJump AQMS modeling data • Participants: NPS (Mike Barna) and EPA (Gail Tonnessen) • Feedback from the use case testing will be used to improve the operational and technical components of the 3SDW Three State Air Quality Study

  27. First Use Case - Beta Test Steps • Testers visited the TSDW website and registered with the system to create an account • Testers visited the Data Request web page and entered their requests for the WestJump Base08b dataset • Each request was stored in the database • The system determined whether or not each request could be automatically filled or had to be manually assembled • The system sent emails to the appropriate TSDW team members to notify them of the data requests • TSDW team members assembled the dataset requests (copied the relevant data files onto hard drives) • The datasets (hard drives) were delivered to the beta testers • The system updated the dataset requests to reflect their “filled” status

  28. First Use Case - Beta Test Steps (cont’d) • Using the delivered datasets, testers ran the models and generated results • Testers returned the model output results to the 3SDW • The test results were assessed by TSDW team members • Testing outcomes were summarized for the May 3SAQS Technical Workshop • The TSDW team refines the dataset ordering, download, packaging, and delivery system according to lessons learned • The TSDW team develops the nextUse Case testing scenario(s)

  29. 3SAQS First Use Case WJAQMS Emissions, meteorology, & AQM data WestJumpAQMS AQM post-processed data Metadata Database 3SDW Data request Model analysis IC/BC development 3SDW Web Interface Evaluation graphics and statistics Post processing USFS & NPS Modelers IC/BC data Air quality modeling 3SAQS Emissions & meteorology data Three State Air Quality Study

  30. 3SAQS First Use Case WJAQMS Emissions, meteorology, & AQM data WestJumpAQMS AQM post-processed data Metadata Database 3SDW Data request Model analysis IC/BC development 3SDW Web Interface Evaluation graphics and statistics Post processing USFS & NPS Modelers IC/BC data Air quality modeling 3SAQS Emissions & meteorology data Three State Air Quality Study

  31. 3SAQS Technical Committee WorkshopStatus of 3SAQS Base08a Emissions Improvement and Modeling ActivitiesMay 29, 2013 Zac Adelman (UNC-IE)

  32. WestJumpAQMS Emissions Data and 3SDW Improvement Priorities Meteorology Inventory Data Temporal Allocation Spatial Allocation Chemical Speciation AQM-Ready Emissions Emissions processing schematic Three State Air Quality Study

  33. WestJumpAQMS Emissions Data and 3SDW Improvement Priorities Meteorology Inventory Data Temporal Allocation Spatial Allocation Chemical Speciation AQM-Ready Emissions Initial 3SAQS work focused on improving the non-inventory emissions data from WJAQMS Three State Air Quality Study

  34. Emissions Improvements Summary • Made obvious improvements identified during screening of WestJumpAQMS modeling • Gathered all available data • What data were available at the states/agencies that we can use for emissions processing? • Stack testing data for VOCs and PM speciation • Shapefiles for oil and gas sources, agricultural sources, industrial sources • Temporal profiles and chemical speciation data • Prioritized inventory sources and target potential improvements Three State Air Quality Study

  35. High profile/high impact anthropogenic emissions sources in CO, WY, UT 3-state counties • NOx • Oil and gas sources (drill rigs, compressor engines,heaters) • On-road mobile • Rail (diesel class 1 locomotives) • Industrial and residential natural gas combustion • EGUs • VOC • Oil and gas sources (venting, fugitives, and dehydrators) • On-road mobile • Recreational vehicles and pleasure craft • Chemical manufacturing • NH3 • Agriculture (livestock) Three State Air Quality Study

  36. 3SAQS Spatial Allocation Data Updates • New Surrogates • Replaced NLCD 2001 with NCLD 2006 landuse/landcover surrogates • Replaced 1999 FEMA building square footage surrogates with 2010 FEMA-HAZUSv2.1 building square footage surrogates • Replaced TIGER line rail mileage surrogates with 2012 NTAD rail density surrogate • New ERTAC rail yard surrogate • Updated CO livestock surrogates with swine CAFOs • New WY livestock surrogate with CAFO point locations • New VMT-weighted roadway surrogates for CO on-road sources • Updated assignments/cross-referencing • Changed allocation of ATV/ORV/snowmobiles from rural to forest land • Reassigned livestock sources from total ag to pasture land • Reassigned fertilizer sources from total ag to crop land (except animal waste spreading) Three State Air Quality Study

  37. 3SAQS Temporal Allocation Data Updates • Calculated 2008 temperature-dependent monthly and daily profiles for residential wood combustion (RWC) sources • Updated diurnal profile for RWC sources • Calculated 2008 temperature and wind speed-dependent daily profiles for livestock NH3 sources • Computed monthly profiles for residential natural gas combustion • Updated the diurnal profile assignments for off-road recreational vehicles (to decrease overnight emissions) Three State Air Quality Study

  38. 3SAQS Other Emissions Data Updates • Reassigned sources from the non-point inventory as fugitive dust in order to apply transport fractions • Converted the on-road mobile inventory data to a format that works with standard SMOKE • Corrections for double counting of some oil and gas sources in the South San Juan and Permian basins and Southern Ute tribal land Three State Air Quality Study

  39. CO Roadway Layers 2010 TIGER Line • Urban/Rural + Primary/Secondary • Weighting by urban/rural areas of a county • Includes only Interstates, arterials, and collectors 2008 CDPHE VMT • VMT by road segment for highways and major roads • Weighting by VMT • Includes an additional layer of major roads (local) Three State Air Quality Study

  40. CO Roadway Layers CDPHE VMT Shapefile distinguishes areas with higher traffic flow. Without the VMT weighting, the emissions will be allocated uniformly across all cells that intersect with roads. • Current Approach/WestJump: • Onroad inventory SCC codes distinguish between urban and rural sources, which allows for spatial allocation to urban/rural roads • Local road SCCs are using population as a spatial surrogate TIGER data don’t have enough information to represent that some sections of the county have higher traffic volume on the primary roads More of the on-road emissions should go here, than here. VMT Three State Air Quality Study

  41. CO Roadway Layers CDPHE VMT Shapefile distinguishes areas with higher traffic flow. Without the VMT weighting, the emissions will be allocated uniformly across all cells that intersect with roads. • Update for 3SAQS: • Ignore urban/rural distinction in the SCC code and instead weight the roadway surrogates by VMT to take advantage of the better resolution in road segment activity in the CDPHE data • Allocate local roads using the major road Shapefile from CDPHE, weighted by VMT TIGER data don’t have enough information to represent that some sections of the county have higher traffic volume on the primary roads More of the on-road emissions should go here, than here. VMT Three State Air Quality Study

  42. WY CAFO Shapefile • DWQ permitting database includes mostly CAFOs and a few swine operations • Locations are provided in the database but not types of animals Three State Air Quality Study

  43. WY CAFO Shapefile Several WY counties only have a single CAFO in this database If these data are used for spatial allocation, need to limit which SCCs in these counties will be allocated to these single point locations Three State Air Quality Study

  44. Case Study: Fremont County, WY CAFO GIS Shapefile Google Earth Imagery Largest sources of the Fremont County NEI08 NH3 inventory are cattle. Other sources are probably not associated with the CAFO Three State Air Quality Study

  45. WY CAFOs Summary • Shapefile can be used to allocate livestock emissions to modeling grids • Two categories of CAFO identified in the Shapefile: “CAFO” and “Swine” • CAFO category will be used for cattle (except for finishing operations on range/pasture SCCs) • Swine category will be used for swine • Underlying assumption in using these CAFO point data is that they represent all locations of cattle and swine sources in a county • In the absence of CAFO information, we will use the pasture land surrogate for other animal types (horses, poultry, turkeys, etc) Three State Air Quality Study

  46. EIA Monthly Residential Energy Use Database Three State Air Quality Study

  47. 3SAQS Technical Committee WorkshopTechnical Work PlanJune – October, 2013May 29, 2013 Shawn McClure Zac Adelman (UNC-IE)

  48. 3SAQS June-October Workplan • Base 2008 version A – complete SMOKE and CAMx modeling • Base simulation and performance evaluation (June/July) • Pilot cumulative impacts CAMx simulation with source apportionment (August/September) • Base 2011 version A • Collect 2011 NEI data from CO, UT, WY and prepare for SMOKE (June/July) • Develop 2011 oil and gas inventories from existing data (July-September) • SMOKE and CAMx modeling (October-December) • Inventory development and analysis • Future year projection curves (October-November) • Inventory reactivity analysis (July) Three State Air Quality Study

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