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Relationship Between Viral Hemorrhagic Fever Outbreaks and Temperature Perturbations

Relationship Between Viral Hemorrhagic Fever Outbreaks and Temperature Perturbations. Nick Culpepper. Viral Hemorrhagic Fever. Hemorrhagic Fevers are often severe, life threatening diseases characterized by bleeding and extremely high fevers For this study, 4 of the most severe were chosen:

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Relationship Between Viral Hemorrhagic Fever Outbreaks and Temperature Perturbations

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  1. Relationship Between Viral Hemorrhagic Fever Outbreaks and Temperature Perturbations Nick Culpepper

  2. Viral Hemorrhagic Fever • Hemorrhagic Fevers are often severe, life threatening diseases characterized by bleeding and extremely high fevers • For this study, 4 of the most severe were chosen: • Ebola • Marburg • Lassa • Rift Valley

  3. Source of the Data • Cases/Deaths • World Health Organization (WHO) • Centers for Disease Control (CDC) • Temperature/Variation • World Climate • NCEP

  4. Relationships Considered • Actual Temperature vs Cases • Actual Temperature vs Deaths • Temperature Perturbation vs Cases • Temperature Perturbation vs Deaths • Actual Temperature vs Mortality Rate • Temperature Perturbation vs Mortality Rate

  5. Regression Error

  6. Correlation Coefficients

  7. Possible Errors • Different viruses • Different Vectors/Pathways • Mortality Rates • Too Few Major Outbreaks • Poor Temperature Records • Remote Areas • Extended, Ill defined periods of time

  8. Questions?

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