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MAKING (OR NOT MAKING) OUR WORLD DISASTER RESILIENT IS OUR LEGACY History Will Decide Which Legacy We Actually Leave. Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, Vienna, Virginia, USA . DISASTER RESILIENCE HAS A VERY HIGH BENEFIT/COST. 1 < BENEFIT/COST < 1000
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MAKING (OR NOT MAKING) OUR WORLD DISASTER RESILIENTIS OUR LEGACYHistory Will Decide Which Legacy We Actually Leave Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, Vienna, Virginia, USA
DISASTER RESILIENCE HAS A VERY HIGH BENEFIT/COST 1 < BENEFIT/COST < 1000 THE PAYOFF IS GREATER SAFETY, SECURITY, AND QUALITY OF LIFE FOR EVRYONE
AT PRESENT, OUR WORLD IS NOT DISASTER RESILIENT • FLOODS • SEVERE WINDSTORMS • EARTHQUAKES • TSUNAMIS • DROUGHTS • VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS • LANDSLIDES • WILDFIRES
JULY 13, 2013 MILLIONS OF COMMUNITIES ARE NOT RESILIENT TO FLOOD DISASTERS
CAUSES OF RISK BUILDING IN FLOOD PLAIN INUNDATION AND SCOUR INTERACTION WITH HAZARDOUS MATERIALS EFFECTS OF WATER ON STRUCTURE & CONTENTS FLOODS INCREASED POTENTIAL FOR HEALTH PROBLEMS, INJURIES, AND DEATH CASE HISTORIES LOSS OF FUNCTION OF CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE VULNERABILITY OF NON-STRUCTURAL ELEMENTS
LESSONS LEARNED ABOUT DISASTER RESILIENCE ALL FLOODS PREPAREDNES FOR THE EXPECTED AND UNEXPEDTED IS ESSENTIAL FOR BECOMING DISASTER RESILIENT
LESSONS LEARNED ABOUT DISASTER RESILIENCE ALL FLOODS EARLY WARN-ING (THE ISS) AND EVACU-ATION ARE ESSENTIAL FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE
LESSONS LEARNED ABOUT DISASTER RESILIENCE ALL FLOODS TIMELY EMERGENCY RESPONSE IS ESSENTIAL FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE
LESSONS LEARNED ABOUT DISASTER RESILIENCE ALL FLOODS RECOVERY AND RECON-STRUCTION USUALLY TAKES LONGER THAN THOUGHT.
JULY 13, 2013 MILLIONS OF COMMUNITIES ARE NOT RESILIENT TO HURRICANE OR TYPHOON DISASTERS
CAUSES OF RISK WIND AND WATER PENETRATE BUILDING ENVELOPE UPLIFT OF ROOF SYSTEM FLYING DEBRIS PENETRATES WINDOWS STORM SURGE AND HEAVY PRECIPITATION SEVERE WINDSTORMS IRREGULARITIES IN ELEVATION AND PLAN CASE HISTORIES POOR WORKMANSHIP IGNORING NON-STRUCTURAL ELEMENTS
LESSONS LEARNED ABOUT DISASTER RESILIENCE ALL WIND-STORMS PREPAREDNES FOR THE EXPECTED AND UNEXPECTED IS ESSENTIAL FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE
LESSONS LEARNED ABOUT DISASTER RESILIENCE • ALL WINDSTORMS • WITHOUT ADEQUATE PROTECTION, HIGH VELOCITY WIND WILL LIFT THE ROOF OFF OF NON-ENGINEERED BUILDINGS.
LESSONS LEARNED ABOUT DISASTER RESILIENCE • ALL WINDSTORMS. • DISASTER-INTELLIGENT COMMUNITIES USE TIMELYEARLY WARNING TO EVACUATE PEOPLE AND TO PREPARE.
LESSONS LEARNED FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE • ALL WINDSTORMS • CAPACITY FOR INTELLIGENT EMERGENCY RESPONSE IS ESSENTIAL FOR COMMUNITY RESILIENCE.
LESSONS LEARNED FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE • ALL WINDSTORMS • CAPACITY FOR RECOVERY AND RECONSTRUCTIONIS ESSENTIAL FOR COMMUNITY RESILIENCE.
JULY 13, 2013 MILLIONS OF COMMUNITIES ARE NOT RESILIENT TO EARTHQUAKE DISASTERS
CAUSES OF RISK INADEQUATE RESISTANCE TO HORIZONTAL GROUND SHAKING SOIL AMPLIFICATION PERMANENT DISPLACEMENT (SOIL FAILURE AND SURFACE FAULTING ) IRREGULARITIES IN MASS, STRENGTH, AND STIFFNESS EARTHQUAKES FLOODING FROM TSUNAMI WAVE RUNUP AND SEICHE CASE HISTORIES POOR DETAILING OF STRUCTURALSYSTEM IGNORING NON-STRUCTURAL ELEMENTS
LESSONS LEARNED ABOUT DISASTER RESILIENCE ALL EARTHQUAKES PREPAREDNESS FOR ALL OF THE LIKELY AND UNLIKELY HAZARDS AND RISKS IS ESSENTIAL FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE
LESSONS LEARNED ABOUT DISASTER RESILIENCE ALL EARTH-QUAKES BUILDING CODES AND LIFELINE STANDARDS ARE ESSENTIAL FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE
LESSONS LEARNED ABOUT DISASTER RESILIENCE ALL EARTHQUAKES TIMELY EMERGENCY RESPONSE IS ESSENTIAL FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE
LESSONS LEARNED ABOUT DISASTER RESILIENCE ALL EARTHQUAKES IF APRIORI PLANS FOR RECOVERY AND RECONSTRUCTION ARE ABSENT, THE PROCESS WILL BE LONG, COMPLEX, AND HIGHLY POLITICAL
JULY 13, 2013 MILLIONS OF COMMUNITIES ARE NOT RESILIENT TO TSUNAMI DISASTERS
CAUSES OF RISK HIGH VELOCITY IMPACT OF INCOMING WAVES INLAND DISTANCE OF WAVE RUNUP VERTICAL HEIGHT OF WAVE RUNUP INADEQUATE RESISTANCE OF BUILDINGS TSUNAMIS FLOODING CASE HISTORIES NO WARNING, OR INADEQUATE WARNING PROXIMITY TO SOURCE OF TSUNAMI
LESSONS LEARNED ABOUT DISASTER RESILIENCE • ALL TSUNAMIS. • DISASTER-INTELLIGENT COMMUNITIES USE TIMELYEARLY WARNING FROM A TSUNAMI WARNING SYSTEM TO EVACUATE PEOPLE FROM HARM’S WAY.
JULY 13, 2013 MILLIONS OF COMMUNITIES ARE NOT RESILIENT TO DROUGHT DISASTERS
CAUSES OF RISK PROLONGED LACK OF PRECIPITATION LOSS OF SOIL MOSTURE LOSS OF AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY DEPLETION/POLLUTION OF GROUND WATER DROUGHTS LOSS OF VEGETATION CASE HISTORIES INSECT INFESTATION PROGRESSIVE LOSS OF LAND BY DESERTIFICATION
JULY 13, 2013 MILLIONS OF COMMUNITIES ARE NOT RESILIENT TO VOLCANIC ERUPTION DISASTERS
CAUSES OF RISK PROXIMITY TO LATERAL BLAST IN PATH OF PYROCLASTIC FLOWS IN PATH OF FLYING DEBRIS (TEPHRA) IN PATH OF VOLCANIC ASH (AVIATION) VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS IN PATH OF LAVA FLOWS CASE HISTORIES IN PATH OF LAHARS IGNORING WARNING TO EVACUATE
THE KEYS TO RESILIENCE: 1) KNOW THE ERUPTIVE HISTORY OF YOUR REGION’S VOLCANOES,2) BE PREPARED3) HAVE A WARNING SYSTEM 4) EVACUATE5) LEARN FROM THE EXPERIENCE AND START OVER
TECHNOLOGIES FOR MONITORING, FORECASTING, AND WARNING ARE VITAL FOR BECOMING RESILIENT
JULY 2013 MILLIONS OF COMMUNITIES ARE NOT RESILIENT TO LANDSLIDE DISASTERS
CAUSES OF RISK BUILDING ON UNSTABLE SLOPES SOIL AND ROCK SUCEPTIBLE TO FALLS SOIL AND ROCK SUCEPTIBLE TO TOPPLES SOIL AND ROCK SUCEPTIBLE TO SPREADS LANDSLIDES SOIL AND ROCK SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOWS CASE HISTORIES EXCESSIVE PRECIPITATION OR GROUND SHAKING BARE, OVERSTEEPENED SLOPES
LESSONS LEARNED ABOUT DISASTER RESILIENCE ALL LANDSLIDES PREPAREDNES FOR THE EXPECTED AND UNEXPEDTED IS ESSENTIAL FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE
LESSONS LEARNED ABOUT DISASTER RESILIENCE ALL LANDSLIDES TIMELY EMERGENCY RESPONSE (SEARCH AND RESCUE) IS ESSENTIAL FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE
JULY 13, 2013 MILLIONS OF COMMUNITIES ARE NOT RESILIENT TO WILDFIRE DISASTERS
CAUSES OF RISK LIGHTNING STRIKES MANMADE FIRES PROXIMITY OF URBAN-WILDLANDS INTERFACE WIND DIRECTION AND SPEED WILDFIRES DEFORESTATION CASE HISTORIES DENUDED SLOPES HOT, DRY WEATHER
LESSONS LEARNED ABOUT DISASTER RESILIENCE ALL WILDFIRES PREPAREDNES FOR THE EXPECTED AND UNEXPEDTED IS ESSENTIAL FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE
LESSONS LEARNED ABOUT DISASTER RESILIENCE ALL WILDFIRES EARLY WARN-ING (THE ISS) AND EVACU-ATION ARE ESSENTIAL FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE
LESSONS LEARNED ABOUT DISASTER RESILIENCE ALL WILDFIRES TIMELY EMERGENCY RESPONSE IS ESSENTIAL FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE
LESSONS LEARNED ABOUT DISASTER RESILIENCE ALL WILDFIRES RECOVERY AND RECON-STRUCTION USUALLY MEANS HAVING THE CAPACITY TO START OVER.
NATURAL HAZARDS • PEOPLE & BLDGS. • VULNERABILITY • LOCATION • PREPAREDNESS • PROTECTION • EARLY WARNING • EMERGENCY RESPONSE • RECOVERY and • RECONSTRUCTION DISASTER ASSESS. POLICY OPTIONS ACCEPTABLE RISK RISK UNACCEPTABLE RISK THE CA: DISASTER RESILIENCE GLOBAL COMMUNITIES DATA BASES AND INFORMATION HAZARDS: GROUND SHAKING GROUND FAILURE SURFACE FAULTING TECTONIC DEFORMATION TSUNAMI RUN UP AFTERSHOCKS
Hazard Characterization Public/Private Sector Partnerships Update Knowledge Bases After Each Disaster Vulnerability Assessment Use of the Knowledge Base Disaster Scenarios For Training Up Close and Personal Learning Best Practices Towards Disaster Resilience Towards “Intelligent Cities” Collect, Store and Process Data Distance Learning Warning Systems Cause & Effect Relationships Educational Surges for Disaster Resilience Event-Action Associations Interface with Other Information Sources Increased Knowledge, and Understanding EDUCATION FOR GLOBAL DISASTER RESILIENCE GOAL: An Infrastructure For Delivering Knowledge and Information to Communities in Real and Near-Real Time THE KNOWLEDGE BASE CAPACITY BUILDING CONTINUING EDUCATION
NORTH AMERICA’S DISASTER CAUSING EVENTS • FLOODS • HURRICANES • EARTHQUAKES • TORNADOES • ICE STORMS • VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS • LANDSLIDES
NORTH AMERICA’S DISASTER CAUSING EVENTS • WILDFIRES • TSUNAMIS • ENVIRONNMENTALMPACTS • TERRORISM
TOWARDS DISASTER RESILIENT COMMUNITIES Integrate Preparedness, Protection, Early Warning, EM Response. and Recovery. & Recon. Strategies NORTH AMERICA’S PRIORITIES IMPROVE PUBLIC AWARENESS USE LAND-USE PLAN TO AVOID HAZARDOUS AREAS MATCH BUILDING AND INFRASTRUCTURE DESIGN WITH HAZARD DEMAND IMPROVE HAZARD CHARACTERIZATION MODELS AND SCENARIO MAPS IMPROVE EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS, EM. RESPONSE, AND RECOVERY REDUCE URBAN VULNERABILITIES IMPROVE CAPABILITY TO CONDUCT PRE-DISASTER STUDIES FOR FUTURE USE REDUCE ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS
TOWARD DISASTER RESILIENT COMMUNITIES Integrate Preparedness, Protection, Early Warning, EM Response, and Recovery. & Recon. Strategies NORTH AMERICA’S PRIORITIES(CONTINUED) IMPROVE ALL HAZARDS WARNING SYSTEMS IMPROVE PREVENTION, MITIGATION AND PREPAREDNESS POLICIES IMPROVE THE NEXT GENERATION OF BUILDING CODES AND STANDARDS IMPROVE WAYS TO SHARE EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES IMPROVE UNDERSTANDING OF DAMAGE FROM EACH POTENTIAL DISASTER AGENT ENHANCE EDUCATION AND TRAINING PROGRAMMES IMPROVE WAYS TO SHARE “BEST PRACTICES” CLOSE “IMPLEMENTATION GAPS “
ASIA’S DISASTER CAUSING EVENTS • FLOODS • EARTHQUAKES • TSUNAMIS • TYPHOONS/CYCLONES • VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS • LANDSLIDES • DROUGHTS • ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS
TOWARDS DISASTER RESILIENT COMMUNITIES Integrate Preparedness, Protection, Early Warning, EM Response. and Recovery. & Recon. Strategies ASIA’S PRIORITIES IMPROVE PUBLIC AWARENESS USE LAND-USE PLAN TO AVOID HAZARDOUS AREAS MATCH BUILDING AND INFRASTRUCTURE DESIGN WITH HAZARD DEMAND IMPROVE DISASTER PLANNING SCENARIOS IMPROVE EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS, EM. RESPONSE, AND RECOVERY REDUCE URBAN VULNERABILITIES IMPROVE POST-DISASTER STUDIES FOR THE LESSONS REDUCE ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS