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REGIONAL TRAVEL DEMAND MODEL IMPROVEMENT PROJECT. An Update to The SCAG Regional Modeling Task Force By March 26, 2003. Presentation Overview. Project Scope Activity Update Common MPO Improvements Future Needs Short-Term Model Improvements Continuing & Future Activities. Project Scope.
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REGIONAL TRAVEL DEMAND MODEL IMPROVEMENT PROJECT An Update to The SCAG Regional Modeling Task Force By March 26, 2003
Presentation Overview • Project Scope • Activity Update • Common MPO Improvements • Future Needs • Short-Term Model Improvements • Continuing & Future Activities
Project Scope • Purpose & Objectives • Technical Approach • Schedule
Purpose & Objectives • Region’s growth outstripping current tools • Significant trade-offs must be considered • Enhance the model’s responsiveness • Improve the analysis of emerging issues • Increase utility for regional consistency
Technical Approach • Review the previous improvement program • Inventory other MPOs’ programs • Identify future modeling needs • Review SCAG’s current regional model • Develop a short-term improvement program • Develop a long-range strategy • Assemble a model review panel • Coordinate with the Modeling Task Force • Prepare final report
Activity Update • Other MPO Improvement Programs • 12 large MPO model improvement programs • Candidate Peer Review Panel members • Future Modeling Needs • Opportunities for improvement • Expanded modeling capability • Short-Term Model Improvements • Retain structure - model recalibration • Incremental component enhancement
Baltimore (BMC) Boston (CTPS) Denver (DRCOG) Detroit (SEMCOG) Houston (HGAC) Los Angeles (SCAG) New York (NYMTC) Portland (Metro) Sacramento (SACOG) San Francisco (MTC) Seattle (PSRC) Washington (WashCOG) Recent ActivitiesMPOs Surveyed
Transportation-Land Use Integration Volume-Delay Curves Trip Generation External Trips Trip Purpose Expansion Trip Distribution Models Destination-Choice Trip Distribution Models Mode Choice Models Nested Logit Models Zone Structure Revision Area Typology Truck Modeling Time of Day Modeling Peak Spreading Models Regional Travel Surveys Tour-based Activity Modeling Common MPO Improvements
Future Needs • Implement sub-area modeling capability • Perform highway assignment validation for both volumes & speeds • Refine heavy duty truck model • Develop transportation-land use linkage • Improve HOV modeling • Link and inter-relate all modeling components • Improve data collection for modeling purposes
Short-Term Improvements Recalibrate trip generation & distribution models Recalibrate mode choice model Revise highway network assignment Multimodal Highway Network Assignment Volume-Delay Curves Peak and Off-peak Network Refinement Heavy-Duty Truck Passenger Car Equivalents Supplemental Improvements Peak Spreading External Trips
Continuing & Future Activities • Summarize Current Model Improvements • Procure Short-Term Model Improvements • Organize Model Review Panel Session • Develop Long-Range Improvements