Presented to the Toronto Training Board Dec 8, 2009

1. GTA Goes GEA: Green Fuel for Job Growth Presented to the Toronto Training Board Dec 8, 2009 Robert Hellier, Manager Centennial Energy Institute Chair, Ontario Sustainable Energy Association (OSEA)

2. GTA Goes GEA Bill 150 Green Energy & Green Economy Act (GEGEA) • Ontario legislation • Royal Assent in May 2009 • Most advanced energy policy in North America • 6 months to develop cross-cutting policy • Initiatives in two main areas; • Sustainable Energy Generation • Energy Conservation & Efficiency • Critics call it the Green Electricity Act for failing to address liquid fuels & thermal energy

3. GTA Goes GEA GEA Components • Sustainable Energy Generation • Directs the Ontario Power Authority (OPA) to develop a Feed-in-Tariff (FiT) & microFiT program with standard rules, contracts & pricing for RE projects • Establishes Renewable Energy Facilitation Office (REFO) to facilitate RE projects ( Green Energy “Czar”, Sue Lo) • The Ontario Energy Board (OEB) required to consider RE, smart grid & electric vehicles in planning • Supports “Community Power” & Aboriginal communities.

4. GTA Goes GEA GEA Components Sustainable Energy Generation • Requires transmitters & distributors give RE projects priority access to grid • Streamlined approvals process for RE projects, balancing green energy needs with public & environmental protection. • Incentives for community & household scale RE projects (zero- or low-interest loans)

5. GTA Goes GEA GEA Components Energy Conservation & Efficiency • Energy efficiency becomes key purpose of Ontario Building Code (OBC) • Energy audit required prior to selling or leasing real property • Allows government to require energy conservation & demand management plans & energy standards. • Allows government to require energy conservation & efficiency in capital investments

6. GTA Goes GEA GEA Components Energy Conservation & Efficiency • OEB required to consider conservation in planning & implement conservation & demand management (CDM) targets • Environmental Commissioner of Ontario required to prepare 2 new annual reports: • energy conservation of electricity, natural gas, propane, oil & transportation fuels • progress of provincial activities to reduce greenhouse gases

7. GTA Goes GEA GEA Components “Time-of-Use” Electricity Rates Gradual phase in with full implementation by 2011 Winter 2009 (November 1 - April 30) TimePeriod¢/kWh Weekdays - 7 am to 11 am On-Peak 9.3 Weekdays - 11 am to 5 pm Mid-Peek 8.0 Weekdays - 5 pm to 9 pm On-Peak 9.3 Weekdays - 9 pm to 7 am Off-Peak 4.4 Weekends - All day Off-Peak 4.4

8. GTA Goes GEA Green Jobs & Megawatts (MW) • Canada's potential in the RE sector could create 5,000 MW & 13,000 jobs (2.5 jobs/MW) by 2012 (Industry Canada ) producing $10 billion revenue. • CanWEA estimates 55,000 MW of wind capacity & 52,000 jobs, including in rural communities (1 job/MW).  • Germany’s 31,000 MW of installed RE capacity produced 240,000 jobs (8 jobs/MW) • Ontario’s success will depend on fostering green manufacturing & R&D

9. GTA Goes GEA Ontario’s Electricity Consumption Consumption by province 1990 & 2006

10. GTA Goes GEA Ontario’s RE Capacity Can wind drive jobs? • 55,000 MW of capacity (onshore & offshore) • 10 regions shown (68 sites), with 8700 MW, could produce 21300 GWh of electricity/year (OPA, 2006) • If Canadian R&D & Mfg, this = 72,000 jobs • Canada’s installed wind energy capacity is now 3,000 MW. • Expected 12,000 MW of wind energy by 2015 (CanWEA )

11. GTA Goes GEA Ontario’s RE Capacity Job & Employment Breakdown for Wind Industry • CanWEA scenario assumes limited CDN development of wind energy turbine mfg supply chain • University College Trades General total • 2,900 13,400 7,600 6,200 30,100 • 10% 45% 25% 20% • Most general & trades level jobs will be in on-site (rural)

12. GTA Goes GEA Ontario’s Grid Capacity Can grid expansion drive jobs? • Smarter, more robust grid req’d to accept RE projects • Grid expansion will employ 20,000 over next 3 years (OPA) • Significant trades level opportunities, again on-site (905, rural)

13. GTA Goes GEA Ontario’s Energy Auditing Sector How will mandatory home energy audits create jobs? • Currently 25,000-30,000 home energy audits/yr • Could expand to 200,000/yr • Increase from 150 to 800 energy auditing jobs • Spin-off jobs: energy retrofitters, HVAC & lighting technicians • GTA will benefit greatly • NRCan Certification not easy. Requires bldg science knowledge, bldg measures & energy modelling skills

14. GTA Goes GEA Reports on Green Jobs “Building the Green Economy” GEEA, BlueGreen Canada & WWF • Estimates green energy (generation & conservation) investments yield approx 15 jobs/1$M • Of these, 8 are direct, 7 indirect • $47.1B/10 years will create 90,000 jobs & 22,100 MW (replaces coal)

15. GTA Goes GEA Reports on Green Jobs “Building Bright Futures” Electricity Sector Council PV production (MW) for 13 countries in 2007

16. GTA Goes GEA Reports on Green Jobs “Building Bright Futures” Electricity Sector Council PV panel sales doubled in 2007-08

17. GTA Goes GEA Reports on Green Jobs “Building Bright Futures” Electricity Sector Council Labour Shortages expected in 2011

18. GTA Goes GEA Conclusions • Significant job growth of 50,000-90,000 over 10 years expected provincially. GTA will benefit from R&D, finance & upper mgmt jobs IF design & mfg attracted to province. • Bulk of direct employment resulting from GEA require postsecondary education & technical in nature • Most jobs not requiring post-secondary will be in on-site construction, therefore outside GTA (wind, biomass, biogas hydro) • Expected shortages due to rapid sector growth complicated by high retirement rates in utilities and trades • Principal RE in GTA will be solar (Michelle Bird to discuss)

19. GTA Goes GEA Questions? Thank-you rhellier@centennialcollege.ca