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Rick Tumlinson David Gump Asteroid Initiative Idea Synthesis Workshop October 1, 2013. Sustainability must be the top goal. Cancelled. terminated. descoped. Cancelled. descoped. terminated. deferred. defunded. terminated. Indefinitely delayed. “Under review”.
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Rick Tumlinson David Gump Asteroid InitiativeIdea Synthesis Workshop October 1, 2013
Sustainability must be the top goal Cancelled terminated descoped Cancelled descoped terminated deferred defunded terminated Indefinitelydelayed “Under review”
Where All NEO Initiatives Will End Up … …Unless a sustainable path is chosen
Value of NEOs to NASA Science Data / Space Exploration Operations Planetary Defense Propellant In-transit Shielding Aerobrakes Enabling Moon/Mars
NEOs Serve Industrial Markets Too Space habitats Water for life support, fuel for station-keeping, etc. Space-based transfer stages Propellant to boost payloads from LEO to GEO Communications satellites Propellant to extend operational life Moon/Mars cost will be lowestif NASA can buy from athriving NEO industry
A “Free Space” Commercial Architecture Serves All Interests Moon ISRU serves lunar activities Mars ISRU serves Martian exploration Free Space serves all these destinationsplus Earth orbit
Initiative for Commercial Asteroid Development - iCAD Joint NASA – Industry Approach Pools goals, technologies and infrastructure to deliver lower-cost exploration and robust space development Enhances Planetary Defense
iCAD Modeled on COTS Commercial Orbital Transportation Services ILDD Innovative Lunar Demonstrations Data Fixed Price and below-cost to insure private investment Milestones NASA buys what it needs, and industryfunds additional capabilities to serve commercial markets Resulting systems sustained by commercial demand
iCAD– NASA as Partner / Customer Agency Specifies its own needs Provides tech-dev support Purchases data and commodities Private Sector Develops technologies Shapes and Operates Projects Multiple Suppliers for Competition
iCADBenefits Lower NASA Costs Industry shares cost, andthe total cost to be shared is lower Responsive to Congress Cuts off “dog-leg” and hands it to industry;keeps NASA focused on Moon/Mars Resources for the Frontier Industrial lead ensures in-space resources will be available to NASA regardless of future ISRU budgets
iCAD– First Do No Harm Scouting missions are good match to industry’s current capabilities NASA should support scouting missions as first action under an Initiative for Commercial Asteroid Development Sample returns also are well-suited to ICAD procurements
Think About It: Planetary Defense can be almost free Inspecting and managing asteroids will be a profit center for an asteroid industry A robust industry will have in-space hardware and personnel for faster response Multiple “Armageddon” crews will already be in space,skilled and equipped for asteroid management
Additional iCADBenefits Broader Science Commercial prospecting provides non-NASA funding of NEO research More Public Engagement Industry-led missions can include sponsorships and activities that NASA cannot
Initiative for Commercial Asteroid Development - iCAD Lowest Possible Cost – Highest Possible Return NOW: Buy NEO scouting data from competitive suppliers NOW: Specify NASA needs from an ARM and issue BAA for industry ideas Soon: Kick off competitive ARMs serving both NASA and existing in-space markets
A Partnership Era Starts NOW! Working together Everyone Wins!