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Emerging Technologies & Energy Trust’s Resource Assessment

Emerging Technologies & Energy Trust’s Resource Assessment . New Approach. Consider range of emerging technologies Predict future improvements in cost & savings Be realistic about odds of fruition Define incrementally to conventional measures. Risk Considerations.

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Emerging Technologies & Energy Trust’s Resource Assessment

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  1. Emerging Technologies & Energy Trust’s Resource Assessment

  2. New Approach • Consider range of emerging technologies • Predict future improvements in cost & savings • Be realistic about odds of fruition • Define incrementally to conventional measures

  3. Risk Considerations • How developed is the market? • Are there manufacturers? • Is the public likely to accept the product? • Is there a contractor/installer network?

  4. Risk Considerations • Is the technology proven? • Single lab/field tests • Small volume manufacturer • New product but broad appeal • Proven technology, but different market or application • Proven technology in target application

  5. Risk Considerations • How confident are we in the data? • Manufacturer’s claims/case studies • Lab/field test • 3rd party lab/field test • Multiple tests or evaluations

  6. Example Emerging Technologies • LEDs • Advanced HVAC controls • Advanced refrigeration controls • Advanced solar water heater • Heat recovery ventilation • CO2 heat pump water heaters • Gas absorption heat pump water heater

  7. Results

  8. Room for Improvement • Are we evaluating the right risks? • Are the risk factors appropriately scaled? • Include more emerging technologies

  9. Thank You • Ted Light • Sr. Planning Project Manager • ted.light@energytrust.org • 503-445-7643

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