Global Land Use and Food in a Finite world

1. Global Land Use and Food in a Finite world Workshop Transatlantic Academy, Washington, DC

2. Foodsecurity Competing claims on land Resource efficiency Smart policies

3. Global Land use and Food in a Finite World

4. Number of hungry people (FAO) Global Land use and Food in a Finite World

5. More factors are key Global Land use and Food in a Finite World

6. Complex linkages Global Land use and Food in a Finite World

7. 7 Global Land use and Food in a Finite World

8. Competing claims in 1970 and 2010 Global Land use and Food in a Finite World

9. Potential of cropland expansion Global Land use and Food in a Finite World

10. Biodiversity in 1970 and 2010 Global Land use and Food in a Finite World

11. Global agricultural area will level off • Huge uncertainties • climate • diet • yield Global Land use and Food in a Finite World

12. Regional differences, change in crop area Global Land use and Food in a Finite World

13. Pressures on biodiversity up to 2050 Global Land use and Food in a Finite World

14. The case of bioenergy • Important role in mitigation • However indirect emissions (fertilizer, transport, production) • Compete with other land use • Food prices • Biodiversity loss • Second generation bioenergy • Sustainability criteria • High yield versus extensive production • Cascading Global Land use and Food in a Finite World

15. Competing goals • Agriculture drives land use change • Land use change drives biodiversity loss Global Land use and Food in a Finite World

16. Effects and points of intervention Global Land use and Food in a Finite World

17. Effficiency forms a key factor in preserving biodiversity, while providing sufficient food for all • In order to provide sufficient food for all, more agricultural production is needed and • to meet the biodiversity goal, no further expansion of agricultural area allowed. • Four major issues • reduction of consumption • global management of land • growth of agricultural yields • the right price of food Global Land use and Food in a Finite World

18. Global Land use and Food in a Finite World

19. 28 November 2011 19 Global Land use and Food in a Finite World EU Resource Efficiency Perspectives in a Global Context

20. 20 20 Global Land use and Food in a Finite World

21. Loss of MSA reduced by enhanced RE; but not stopped#; • Additonal losses (until 2050!) in some regions due to bio-energy for climate mitigation 28 November 2011 21 Global Land use and Food in a Finite World EU Resource Efficiency Perspectives in a Global Context

22. Smart policies - general • No easy solutions • Age old problem of the commons • Major barriers • Not one size fits all • e.g. high yield versus extensive • Beware of trade-offs and look for synergy • e.g. bioenergy • Resource efficiency can bring you a long way but more is needed • Yield (water, fertilizer, management, seeds) • Reduce and reuse waste • Lifestyle changes have a huge potential Global Land use and Food in a Finite World

23. Major barriers to attain goals Global Land use and Food in a Finite World

24. Smart policies - general • No easy solutions • Age old problem of the commons • Major barriers • Not one size fits all • e.g. high yield versus extensive • Beware of trade-offs and look for synergy • e.g. bioenergy • Resource efficiency can bring you a long way but more is needed • Yield (water, fertilizer, management, seeds) • Reduce and reuse waste • Lifestyle changes have a huge potential Global Land use and Food in a Finite World

25. Policy measuresproper prices – proper governments • Correct market failures • property rights, waterpricing, valuing biodiversity • Correct government failures • perverse subsidies, trade barriers • Improve access to knowledge and markets • e.g. infrastructure • Use dynamic society Global Land use and Food in a Finite World

26. Market access in agricultural areas Global Land use and Food in a Finite World

27. Policy measuresproper prices – proper governments • Correct market failures • property rights, waterpricing, valuing biodiversity • Correct government failures • perverse subsidies, trade barriers • Improve access to knowledge and markets • e.g. infrastructure • Use dynamic society Global Land use and Food in a Finite World