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Physics of Weather . Presented by: Taylor, Anna, & Kirstie. Introduction. All weather can be predicted and understood through physics. Weather can never be 100% accurate because of all of the variables accounted for. We’re now going to explain three types of natural disasters….
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Physics of Weather Presented by: Taylor, Anna, & Kirstie
Introduction • All weather can be predicted and understood through physics. • Weather can never be 100% accurate because of all of the variables accounted for. • We’re now going to explain three types of natural disasters…
Why do Earthquakes happen? • The Earth is like a gigantic puzzle, it’s made up of many pieces • These pieces are called tectonic plates • In 1915 Alfred Wegener proposed the idea of continental drifts as a way to explain the findings of similar fossils across lands separated by entire oceans. • This idea was not widely accepted until the 1960s and this is when the concept of tectonic plates caught on
A map of the Tectonic Plates which make up the Earth's crust
Earthquakes • The ground beneath us is constantly moving • Below the surface is warm molten rock and it’s movement is governed by convection • The hotter rock near the core of the Earth is less dense and it moves upwards, as it cools down it becomes denser and sinks down • These currents are what slowly propel the tectonic plates
Earthquakes • These interactions between plates build up elastic strain energy • Eventually the potential energy becomes too much for the plates to handle and the rocks "slip" in a sudden fast motion • The location of the fault where this slip occurs is called the hypocenter from which seismic waves spread throughout the surrounding area • These are the waves people tend to feel during an earthquake
Earthquakes • Tectonic plates are in constant motion and rub against each other • They can move at a rate of millimeters per year • While at other times, the accumulated strain is released in earthquakes with a slip rate of meters per second
Earthquakes • These seismic waves radiate in all directions from where the energy was released underground, this is called the focus • Directly above ground is the theearthquake’s epicenter • This is where the earthquake will be the strongest
Haiti, January 12, 2010 7.0 magnitude earthquake
Japan, March 12, 2011 8.9 magnitude earthquake
Earthquakes • The result can be a slight tremor that is not even felt or can be a full blown earthquake causing terrible damage • The majority of earthquakes happen along the tectonic plate boundaries, although most are so weak they go unnoticed
Earthquakes • Can earthquakes be predicted? • The answer is no • Scientists are unable to issue an advanced warning for evacuation, however they do occur in predictable locations along fault zones • For places with a high rate of historic activity, the chance that a quake will hit in a future period of several decades can be quite high • According to Thomas Jordan, director of the Southern California Earthquake center, there are models that say within the next 30 years there is a 38% chance of an earthquake in southern California of a 7.5 or greater magnitude • But using the same model to predict an earthquake within the next week the chance drops to .02%
Earthquakes • In order to predict earthquakes scientists need reliable precursors. If any such precursors do exist, scientists have been unable to find them. • Seismologists have studied a variety of potential signals, such as increases in radon gas concentrations, changes in electromagnetic activity, foreshocks signaling a larger quake, warping or deformation of the Earth’s surface, geochemical changes in groundwater, and even unusual animal behavior before an earthquake – all have been unsuccessful
Earthquakes • Researchers are continuing to look at changes in electromagnetic signals prior to major earthquakes as a precursor • The approach is buoyed by the work of Friedemann Freund at the NASA Ames Research Center in California. • He has shown that compressing a rock can lead to the formation of positive electrical charges in the earth that could account for unusual electromagnetic signals prior to an earthquake…this research is still ongoing
Tornadoes • Definition: a localized, violently destructive windstorm occurring overland, especially in the Middle West, and characterized by a long, funnel-shaped cloud extending toward the ground and made visible by condensation and debris. • Strongest winds on the planet are within a tornado. • Around 1,000 strike the U.S. per year.
How do tornadoes form? • First, warm damp ground is required. • Needed are two different patches of air moving towards one another, with warm air low and cold air high. • The warm air then rises, causing the cold air to take its place down low. This causes the spinning patch of air on the ground. • They always begin in a storm because of the air movement already.
Formation continued… • Interactions between air at different altitudes causes storms, lightning, rain, air circulation, and strengthen the rotating updraft. • A column of spinning air can form, which narrows and spins faster and extends higher into the storm.
Fujita Scale • Classifies tornadoes according to the damage they cause. • Scale from a F0 to a F6, judging by the amount of damage. • Problems: • Can only be measured after the tornado is gone and the damage is assessed. • Cannot be measure if it results in little damage.
Bernoulli’s Principle • The Bernoulli effect contributes to the damage caused by violent storms by reducing the pressure above a roof and lifting the rough. • Definition: an increase in the speed of a fluid produces a decrease in pressure and a decrease in the speed produces an increase in pressure. • Roofs can be lifted in a tornado, unless they are firmly anchored.
Hurricanes • According to the National Hurricane Center, a hurricane is a rotating, organized system of clouds and thunderstorms that originates over tropical or subtropical waters and has a closed low-level circulation.
Hurricanes – Basic Information • Hurricanes are actually tropical cyclones • they are only given “hurricane” status once they reach a certain wind speed and if they form over the Atlantic and eastern Pacific Oceans • Depending on where they form, they are also called typhoons and cyclones • There are three peak months for hurricanes: August, September and October
Hurricane Categories • There are three categories of tropical cyclones depending on their wind speed. • Tropical Depression, has wind speeds of less than 39 mph • Tropical Storm, has wind speeds of 39-73 mph • Hurricane, has wind speeds greater than 74 mph
Hurricane Scale • Once the storm reaches hurricane status it is described on a scale from 1-5 • 1: 74-95mph, very dangerous winds, generally produces minimal damage. • 2: 96-110mph, extremely dangerous winds with extensive damage. • 3: 111-129mph, extremely dangerous winds with devastating damage. • 4: 130-156mph, extremely dangerous winds with catastrophic damage. • 5: Greater than 157 mph, same damage as a scale 4.
Hazards of Hurricanes • They typically produce strong winds, heavy rainfall and thunderstorms • Sometimes they produce tornadoes, huge waves and currents, inland flooding and storm surges which are an abnormal rise in water generated by a storm. • The strong winds turn everyday items into dangerous projectiles.
How do they start? • Hurricanes are like massive heat engines, they use the warm, moist air as their fuel to produce mechanical energy. • This is why they only form over warm waters near the equator. • As the warm, moist ocean air rises upward, it begins to cause an area of low pressure below. • Over time higher air pressure pushes into the low pressure area which causes the air in the low pressure areas to heat up and rise. • As the warm air rises it begins to cool off and form clouds.
How do they start? continued… • The newly formed clouds and wind spin and grow larger and stronger because they’re gaining energy from the ocean’s heat and evaporating waters. • Eventually the storm will rotate faster and faster, creating the “eye” in the center. • The eye has very low air pressure and is calm and clear in comparison to high pressure areas.
How do they start? continued… • The storm will continue across the ocean but eventually weaken once it strikes land since they’re unable to gain energy from the warm ocean waters.
Random Facts About Hurricanes: • The amount of heat energy that is taken in by a hurricane is the equivalent of half the world’s electrical generating capacity. • Due to physics, hurricanes can be forecasted well in advance and allow people time to prepare. • Tropical Cyclones north of the equator spin counterclockwise, tropical cyclones south of the equator spin clockwise • This is because of the Earth’s rotation on it’s axis.
Conclusion • Now you have seen three types of weather that show how hard it is to predict what will happen and what caused it. • Again, we can try to understand the disasters by using physics, but it is still impossible to be 100% accurate.
References • http://www.physics.org/article-questions.asp?id=50 • http://nyusps.blogspot.com/2011/08/physics-behind-earthquakes_23.html • http://authors.library.caltech.edu/6698/1/KANrpp04.pdf • http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn20243-why-earthquakes-are-hard-to-predict.html • google.com/images • Merriam-webster.com • outreach.phas.ubc.ca/phys420/p420_04/sean • www.spsobserver.org/2011/the-physics-of-tornadoes.pdf • http://ocean.si.edu/blog/ingredients-hurricane • http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/outreach/presentations/2012_02nhcL311_hurricaneLifeCycleHazards.pdf • http://spaceplace.nasa.gov/hurricanes/