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REPLACEMENT OF natural gas residenTial consumption by electricity SO AS TO SOLVE ARGENTINE NATURAL GAS CRISIS AND RED

REPLACEMENT OF natural gas residenTial consumption by electricity SO AS TO SOLVE ARGENTINE NATURAL GAS CRISIS AND REDUCE GREENHOUSE GASES EMIsSIONS. by Martín Gesualdi , Tecnolatina S.A, Suipacha 1111, Buenos Aires, Argentine , Phone/Fax +54 11 4312 0066,

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REPLACEMENT OF natural gas residenTial consumption by electricity SO AS TO SOLVE ARGENTINE NATURAL GAS CRISIS AND RED

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  1. REPLACEMENT OF natural gas residenTial consumption by electricity SO AS TO SOLVE ARGENTINE NATURAL GAS CRISIS AND REDUCE GREENHOUSE GASESEMIsSIONS by Martín Gesualdi, Tecnolatina S.A, Suipacha 1111, Buenos Aires, Argentine, Phone/Fax +54 11 4312 0066, E-mail: martin.gesualdi@tecnolatina-sa.com.ar

  2. REPLACEMENT OF natural gas residenTial consumption by electricity • Introduction • Argentine Natural Gas Market • PowerMarket • Proposal • Results • Conclusions

  3. FIXED AND LOW RATES 2001-2012 Argentine Gas MarketEvolutionINTRODUCTION • HIGH GROWTH RATES OF NATURAL GAS DEMAND • INSUFFICIENT INVESTMENTS FOR EXPLORATION AND DEVELOPMENT • NATURAL GAS RESERVES DECLINING • NATURAL GAS PRODUCTION DECLINING • DOMESTIC PRODUCTION OF NG UNABLE TO SUPPLY LOCAL DEMAND • NEED TO IMPORT NATURAL GAS • NEGATIVE IMPACT IN ARGENTINE ENERGY TRADE BALANCE • POWER PLANTS FORCED TO IMPORT LIQUID FUEL TO REPLACE THE LACK OF NG • INCREASE GHG EMISSIONS

  4. 2013 ArgentineEnergySituationArgentine Natural Gas Market In the last ten years Argentine energy paradigm changed completely. Comparing 2004 with 2013, the situation is the following:

  5. 2013 ArgentineEnergySituationLOCAL NG PRODUCTION AND RESERVES • Argentine NG production declining, as a result of the lack of incentives to invest, had become the main important problem of energy market. • Reserves of NG also went down as a consequence of the lack of investments in exploration and development -15%

  6. 2013 ArgentineEnergySituationExports and Imports of NG Imports were needed to cover the gap between domestic production and demand

  7. 2013 ArgentineEnergySituationDEMAND AND SUPPLY OF POWER Despite similarities with gas market, power market was able to supply local demand during last decade

  8. 2013 ArgentineEnergySituationDEMAND AND SUPPLY OF POWER The new generation was based on thermal fired facilities (mainly Combined Cycles), that had to be supplied by NG and liquid fuels (diesel oil and gas oil).

  9. 2013 ArgentineEnergySituationENERGY TRADE BALANCE In 2011 Energy trade Balance turned negative because of LNG and liquid fuels imports for power generation .

  10. 2013 ArgentineEnergySituationPOWER MATRIX AND GHG EMISSIONS Argentine power matrix has an important reliance on hydrocarbons. However, only an 18 % of electricity is generate with coal, diesel oil and fuel oil According to Greenhouse Emissions Standards, in 2012 the power matrix generated 47 millions of tons equivalent of CO2. And considering that 125.7 TWh were generated by power matrix, the tons eq. of CO2/MWh coefficient was 0.38

  11. PROPOSALTHEORICAL ANALISIS - Example 2012 Allowstoheat 8 MM of homes • Average NG residential consumption: 38 MMm3/d PROPOSAL • Replacement of averagestovesbyefficientair conditioner-split to heat homes Allowstoheat 8 MM of homes • 35 MMm3/d of NG 142 GWh ArgentineThermal Park (2300 kcal/kwh) CONSIDERING 2012 ARGENTINE POWER MATRIX • 17 MMm3/d Allowstoheat 8 MM of homes 142 GWh SAVINGS: 21 MMm3/d Estimate: 1,100 MM of usd per year

  12. PROPOSALPOLICIES TO CARRY OUT • To increase residential NG price. • To subsidize electrical devices for heating • To forbid the use of NG in new buildings EXPECTED BENEFITS • Less emission • Greater available gas for industrial consumption • More NG available for Power Generation • Less Import • Energy Trade Balance surplus. • Higher natural gas wellhead price received by producers

  13. ASSUMPTIONS 2013-2023 • By 2017 Nonconventional gas will already be part of the energy matrix. • Average Annual rate of demand growth of power and gas of 4 %. • Progressive reduction of NG Imports. • Reduction of residential NG consumption for heating. • Diversification of Power Matrix. • New electrical plants • Growth of residential power demand in winter.

  14. RESULTS: Considering assumptions and policies proposed, Argentine power matrix would evolve towards the following scheme:

  15. RESULTS: The expected 2023 Power Matrix will generate less greenhouse emissions. This way the emissions of power matrix would be reduced from 0.38 ton eq. of CO2 to 0.14 ton eq. of CO2/MWh.

  16. CONCLUSIONS • The replacement of argentine natural gas residential consumption by electricity will: • Increase the availability of supply to the Industry. • Reduce to 0 the use of liquid fuels. • Reduce Greenhouse Gases Emissions. • Turn positive Energy Trade Balance.

  17. THANK YOU

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