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Conference of European Statisticians Session 1- The Demographic Impact of Migration Paris, 12 June 2008 Migration statistics: conceptualisation and measurement in the European Union Submitted by STATISTICS AUSTRIA Stephan Marik-Lebeck. www.statistik.at. CONTENTS. Introduction
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Conference of European Statisticians Session 1- The Demographic Impact of Migration Paris, 12 June 2008 Migration statistics: conceptualisation and measurement in the European Union Submitted by STATISTICS AUSTRIA Stephan Marik-Lebeck www.statistik.at
CONTENTS • Introduction • Definitions of duration for residents and migration • Methodological approaches in migration statistics • Data sources for migration statistics in EU-Member States • Measurement concepts of international migration in EU-Member States • Conclusion
Data sources and statistical procedures of migration statistics in EU Member States
Introduction • definitions for the measurement of migration flows and population stocks vary greatly among EU-Member States • differences mostly reflect national administrative procedures • different rules for nationals, EEA citizens and third-country nationals • reflect distinct legal situation • Length of validity of permits determines timing applied to migration statistics for third-country nationals and to a lesser degree also EEA citizens • while for the immigration of non-nationals most MS use a timing of twelve months, nationals are often are registered instantly. • The situation for emigration is not exactly symmetric. • many Member States opt for an absence of twelve months minimum to count a person as an emigrant.
Methodological approaches in migration statistics EU countries define different time-spans to count migration flows • UN recommendations (1998) on the measurement of migration distinguish three main categories: • Long-term migrants (actual / intended) length of stay > 12 months • Short-term migrants (actual / intended) length of stay 3-12 months • Temporary stayers (actual / intended) length of stay < 3 months • For purposes of migration statistics the recording of the first two categories is recommended • but focus on long-term migrants
Actual length of stay between registration and de-registration Intended length of stay Statistical Adjustments unchanged administrative Data DATA SOURCES FOR MIGRATION MEASUREMENT IN EU-COUNTRIES • Migration statisticsin EU-Member States available through two main sources: • surveys (e.g. LFS; International Passenger Survey,…) or • administrative registration systems. • 2/3 of EU-Member States have already implemented registration systems, but use them in very diverse ways
ADVANTAGES & DISADVANTAGES OF DIFFERENT TIME SPANS FOR MEASURING MIGRATION Three Months (= including Short-Term-Migration): + Concordance with legal framework • free movement of EU citizens limited to three months w/o obligation to register • Validity of tourism visas to EU limited to 90 days Persons staying longer need to register / residence permit + Greater Timeliness and more rapid Availability of Data Less need for estimations to comply with EU regulation • Limited impact of Short-Term-migration in relation to Long-Term-Migration BUT large difference in migration flows (AT ~ 30%) through increase of circular / seasonal migration, i.e. since 2004 EU enlargement • - Currently no consistency with administrative systems in majority of countries • BUT gradual harmonisation of legal framework might increase consistency
CURRENT PREFERENCES OF MIGRATION MEASUREMENT IN EU-COUNTRIES • limited comparability of migration statistics between countries • difficulty of determining migration flows between EU-countries • In addition, this may well contrast with definitions for measurement of population stocks • little harmonisation of migration flows and population stocks • difficulty in creating a consistent population accounting system in which the population change between two dates of reference can be unambiguously explained through demographic components(births deaths, immigration emigration)
International Migration in Austria 2003-2006 by different time spans
International Migration in Austria 2003/2006 by different time spans
OPEN POINTS Problems related to the proposals of the EU- regulation • Statistics according to national definitions may differ significantly from those according to the EU-regulation • national statistics are usually based on administrative systems whose legal base is not designed to the needs of statistics and cannot easily be adjusted for coherence with the regulation publication of two different figures on international migration likely • no consideration of short-term migration • Focus on long-term migration brings about methodological difficulties for the allocation of the population on regional level • esp. for multiple internal migrations during reference year
Social Statistics and Ethnic Diversity Should we count, how should we count and why? Montréal 6-8 December 2007 Migration statistics: conceptualisation and measurement in the European Union Submitted by STATISTICS AUSTRIA Stephan Marik-Lebeck www.statistik.at