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Statewide Transit Strategic Plan - Steering Committee Meeting -. October 14, 2010 California Department of Transportation University of California Transportation Center. Updated Baseline Report per Committee Suggestions. 1. Transportation for Disabled, Senior, and Low-Income Travelers. 2.
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Statewide Transit Strategic Plan - Steering Committee Meeting - October 14, 2010 California Department of Transportation University of California Transportation Center
Transportation for Disabled, Senior, and Low-Income Travelers 2 Inventories: • Many different kinds of providers (public transit agencies, social services agencies, health care agencies, private for-profit companies, faith-based groups) • Many different kinds of services (transportation to medical appointments, special equipment for disabled transportation, reverse commute / job access, demand response, vouchers for transit/taxi service) Challenges to Coordination: • Constraints from funding sources, limited knowledge of other providers with whom to coordinate, tight budgets, limited ability to share resources/equipment Challenges for Rural Areas: • Longer distances, high-cost services, fewer options for travelers
3 Cost of Driving Alone • Travelers who have a choice of modes usually think about immediate costs of individual trip: i.e., fuel, parking, tolls, time costs vs. cost of transit fare, waiting time, walking time • Fixed costs (insurance, maintenance, buying a car) add much more to the actual cost of driving • External costs—not paid for by driver—include congestion, air pollution, greenhouse gas emissions, traffic services, noise, induced sprawl Costs of owning an automobile Source: Litman, Transportation Cost and Benefit Analysis
Pedestrians and Bicycles 4 Pedestrians: Stops and stations: benches, shade Surrounding streets: sidewalks, pedestrian signals, safe crossings, good road connectivity, directroutes Bikes: Capacity limits (2-3 bikes per rack on buses; limited space on peak-hour trains) Sharing road space (bikes and buses) Safe, secure bike parking; bike stations; bike sharing Source: LACMTA Source: City of Covina
California Population Projection 2050 5 <Total Population> % Change, 2010-50 Yr2050 59.5M Statewide +52% Yr2010 39.1M Source: The California Department of Finance
California Population Projection 2050 6 <Total Population> # Change, 2010-50 Yr2050 59.5M Statewide +20.4M Yr2010 39.1M Source: The California Department of Finance
California Population Projection 2050 7 <Latino> % Change, 2010-50 Yr2050 31.0M Statewide +114% Yr2010 14.5M Source: The California Department of Finance
California Population Projection 2050 8 <Latino> # Change, 2010-50 Yr2050 31.0M Statewide +16.5M Yr2010 14.5M Source: The California Department of Finance
California Population Projection 2050 10 <Over 65 Yrs Old> # Change, 2010-50 Yr2050 11.6M Statewide +162% Yr2010 4.4M Source: The California Department of Finance
California Population Projection 2050 3 <Over 65 Yrs Old> # Change, 2010-50 Yr2050 11.6M Statewide +7.2M Yr2010 4.4M Source: The California Department of Finance
11 Common Performance Measures found In SRTPs (% of agencies studied that report using each measure)
Policy Issues & Data Sources 13 U.S. Population Census 1990, 2000 & 2010 American Community Survey (ACS), 2005-08 Zip Business Pattern (ZBP) Series, 1998-2008 Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics (LEHD), 2002-08 U.S. Census Bureau TIGER/Line & BTS National Transportation Atlas Database (NTAD) Caltrans Freeway Performance Measurement System (PeMS) Database Texas Transportation Institute # of HHs, Jobs, and Services (e.g., retail shops) within ½ Mile of Transit Stops or Highway Ramps • # Jobs within ½ Hr. Via Car vs. Transit • # Jobs within ½ Hr. via Car vs. Transit • Mean Travel Time • (Work & Non-Work) • Peak Hour Traffic Speed & Delay • Travel Time Index (TTI)
14 Isochronic Measure of Job Accessibility for Mission Valley Tract, 2000 Number of Jobs that can be reached via Auto-Highway during P.M. Peak Hour 0-60 min. 1,375,000 0-45 min. 1,180,000 0-15 min. 380,000 0-30 min. 735,000 SAN DIEGOCOUNTY DATA: SanDAG Network; CTPP, Parts 1, 2
15 Isochronic Measure of Job Accessibility via Public Transit: Mission Valley, 2000 Number of Jobs that can be reached via Transit during P.M. Peak Hour SAN DIEGOCOUNTY DATA: SanDAG Network; CTPP, Parts 1, 2
Note: Gray represents no transit services 16 Isochronic Measure of Job Accessibility for Mission Valley Tract Number of Jobs that can be reached via Transit during P.M. Peak Hour 0-60 min. 340,000 0-45 min. 285,000 0-30 min. 170,000 0-15 min. 75,000 DATA: SanDAG Network; CTPP, Parts 1, 2
Transit Policies & Data Sources (Con.) 19 <Other>
Transit Policies & Data Sources (Con.) 19 <Other>
20 TOD Residents: Evidence from California (2003) • Ridership Bonus: Transit commute shares exceed surrounding city by a factor of 5; Commute VMTestimated to be 80% lower Source: Lund, Cervero, Willson (2004) Avaiilable: CA TOD Database http://transitorienteddevelopment.dot.ca.gov/
Performance Measures 21 Gauged by: • Inputs(e.g., $ per hour of transit) • Outputs(e.g., # of vehicle-miles of service) • Outcomes(e.g., improved transit accessibility) Examples for Recent Initiatives in CA: • Fare Media • BRT (Bus Rapid Transit) • HSR (High Speed Rail) Proposal
Ex.1 Fare Media Performance 22 Clipper Card in San Francisco TAP Card in Los Angeles Compass Card in San Diego “Transit Service” Coverage: # of POS machines & % of smart card passengers Connection: # of transit agencies Reliability: travel speeds & on-time arrival “Transit Operation ” Passengers per revenue mile or revenue hour Operating cost per revenue mile or passenger mile External revenues (e.g., retail payment) Farebox recovery ratio
Ex.2 BRT Performance 23 Orange Line “Transit Service” Coverage: Ave. 9,495 pop. in ½ mi buffer Ave. 5,159 emp. in ½ mi buffer Operating Hours: 21 hrs Frequency: 155 buses per day Info/Schedule: 100% (13 out of 13 stops) Connection: Ave. 2.23 feeder bus lines/stop Ave. 315 P&R lots /stop Price: Base Fare = $1.50 & Transfer = $0.35 in Los Angeles “Transit Market” Ridership: Ave. 2,153 daily boardings/stop “Built Environment (Land Use)” Street Connectivity (links/nodes): Ave. 2.22 in ½ mi buffer Bench: 100% (13 out of 13 stops) High-Quality Bus Service + Built Environment Shade Cover: 100% (13 out of 13 stops) Source: 2008 data from MTA & Qualitative Surveys
Ex.3 HSR Performance 24 “Transit Service” California HSR Projected: 86 trains/day in San Jose “Transit Market” Projected: 15,000 boardings/day Journey to Work Modal Share 08’ Public Transport: 5.3% Walk, Bike, Taxi & Others: 12.0% Drive Alone: 71.6% Car Pooled: 12.8% “Economic Development” In 5 km of the proposed HSR station Employment 08’: 191,000 jobs Employment Grow 00’-08’: -8.9% Economic Specialization 08’ (LQ >1) Construction: 1.59 Wholesale Trade: 1.40 Today’s Projections & Figures Professional Service: 1.56 Management Company: 1.62 Administrative: 1.47 “Environmental Sustainability” VMT/Capita 08’: 21.0 miles/day in UA Sources: 2008 & 2010 data from Caltrans; ACS; LEHD; Highway Statistics
Discussion Topics from the Last Meeting 26 • Last meeting focused on: • Funding challenges/issues • Transit service & technology challenges/issues/opportunities • Need for outreach • To confirm…Are these the “right” focus areas for the strategic transit plan? Others? • Are there key points or strategies that the plan should emphasize to improve transit service and delivery? • Should we be developing strategies on how to meet the goals of SB 375 and regional visions/efforts? • Are there data needs and the performance measures just discussed on the right track? • Are there key conclusions that should be highlighted in the baseline report or is it best to let the descriptive materials speak for themselves?
Regional Workshops* 25 What should be the objectives, content and format of the workshops? Do you have recommendations on invitees? e.g., transit agencies, MPOs, CMAs, cities, non-profit orgs, others? *Six workshops to be held between now and Spring 2011in So. Cal./SCAG region, San Diego (SANDAG), Bay Area (MTC), Sacramento (SACOG), Central Cal., Northern Cal. (focusing on smaller communities)
27 Discussion Topics • Vision & Priorities for Transit in California • What are the key objectives transit should strive for from a statewide perspective? • What should be the top priorities in trying to achieve these objectives? • What are the commonalities and differences in priorities among the committee members?
28 Other Issues and Topics 1) What are the barriers to improvingtransit (e.g., institutional/ coordination, political, $, operations, technology, service connectivity, etc.) 2) What are some successful examples in the state or elsewhere (including abroad if appropriate?) 3) What could be the state's role in promotingand improving transit? 4) What are some implementable initiatives that could be introduced fairly quickly to noticeably improve transit throughout the state?