The Revolution of the Digital Economy

1. Agile in the new economy ScrumTotal

2. Are we in the middle of next revolution? ScrumTotal

3. The revolution is already under way. ScrumTotal

4. “Over the last few decades, we’ve grown beyond the Industrial economy - IT economy - Internet economy, each of which led to significant inflection points in growth and prosperity,” says Vivek Bapat, SAP’s global VP for portfolio and strategic marketing. ScrumTotal

5. “In fact, 52% of the Fortune 500 have been merged, acquired, gone bankrupt, or fallen off the list since 2000.  The impact of digital disruption is real.  However, it’s not the technologies that drive this change. It’s a shift in how new business models are created.  We’re moving at a massive scale from systems of transaction (record) to achieving mass personalization at scale (digital)”. R Ray Wang, Disrupting Digital Business, HBR ScrumTotal

6. Convergence of multiple forces is impacting business, economy, society …just name it.. ScrumTotal

7. This new economy, …resulting from the convergence of Social, Mobile, Analytics, Big Data, Cloud, the Internet of Things and the Internet of Everything…. …catalyzed by a new era of hyper connectivity…. is creating spectacular disruption and new opportunities for innovation. ScrumTotal

8. Over the next 10 to 15 years, SAP estimates that the Networked Economy will represent a global economic value of at least $90 trillion. ScrumTotal

9. What this new disruptive digital economy would look like? ScrumTotal

10. Changing Paradigm ScrumTotal

11. Disruptions • Technology and society changing faster than business - accelerated pace of disruption • Marginal costs of producing and sharing goods/services declining • Students are enrolling in free massive open online courses • Social entrepreneurs are bypassing the banking establishment and using crowdfunding to finance startup ScrumTotal

12. Disruptions • In SF, Uber has 3x revenue of the entire prior taxi and limo industry.  • Without owning a single room, Airbnb has more rooms to offer than Hilton. Airbnb has 800 employees, while Hilton has 152,000. • Top Kickstarters raise tens of millions of dollars that once required top-tier investment firms. Source: Tim O’Reilly ScrumTotal

13. Disruptions • First time more than 50% population live in cities • 3 billion connected people so far, will grow 1.5 billion more by 2020, per ITU. • Innovation explosion with more connected people • More room for Design Thinking, Creativity, Imagination • Creates more disruptive stress or opportunity ScrumTotal

14. ScrumTotal

15. Disruption Scenarios Source: Future Scenarios: Frank ScrumTotal

16. Startup surge 97 startups have over $1 billion valuations (WSJ - May 2015) ScrumTotal

17. What will happen if Google comes up with the autonomous car? ScrumTotal

18. Google says accidents will decline by 90% • No auto insurance, car makers will cover that • Fewer body shops • Roadside motel industry will get impacted • Health insurance cost will decline • Car dealers will become app dealers • Car entertainment industry will flourish • What happens to all those Uber drivers when the cars start driving themselves? ScrumTotal

19. Disruption in Education • Pressure will be on employable workforce • Content becomes open and commoditized • Demand for university building, libraries, lecture hall, student housing plummet • A teacher in a disrupted world will become more of a facilitator, seeking to package, conduct, and monitor an optimal experience for learners.  ScrumTotal

20. Disruption in Education ScrumTotal

21. Disruption in Home • Smart home disrupts elder care industry • Connected Health will provide health services everywhere • Home security industry will be disrupted by low cost options • Insurance companies could provide home security as well or vice versa • Smart home integrators will emerge • EarlySense and Evermind have created devices that track patients' sleeping habits and monitor if they are using their life-saving medical devices, respectively. ScrumTotal

22. Disruption in Fintech Banking • Simple, BankMobile, Moven provide banking with no fees.  Disruption: Checking accounts, savings accounts and checks. Money Transfer • Venmo, PayPal, Google Wallet, Snapcash, Transferwise Disruption: ATM cards, cash and checks. Blockchain, a protocol that allows for secure, direct, digital transfers of value and assets (think money, contracts, stocks, IP). Wealth Management • “Roboadvisors” - Acorns, Betterment, Wealthfront, Robinhood allow you to invest money with free stock trades, portfolio management tools and automated investing. Disruption: Large investment corporations like Fidelity ScrumTotal

23. Disruption in Fintech Receiving Payments • Square, Braintree allow small businesses to accept payments Disruption: Credit card companies. Business Loans • LendingClub, eToro (not in the US), CAN Capital and Kabbage , Fundera (match you with lenders) Disruption: Big banks with restrictive loan policies Payroll • Small businesses that can’t afford a dedicated accounting team. Zenefits, Wave and ZenPayroll. Disruption: Accounts payable departments ScrumTotal

24. Disruption in Fintech ScrumTotal

25. Disruption in Telecom • The Telcos will lose a combined $386 billion between 2012 and 2018, UK firm Ovum predicts, from customers usingapps like Skype and Lync. • VoIP will grow at 20% resulting in $63 bil in lost revenue in 2018, Ovum says. • Chat apps WhatsApp and WeChat offer social networks that retain user loyalty and stickiness pushing people to go for smaller voice/text plans. • Telcos homegrown apps for existing customers may not scale • Netflix-Comcast like partnership opens new doors ScrumTotal

26. Why big companies need digital transformation? ScrumTotal

27. Digital Transformation Businesses are realizing that future success is tied to digital transformation: • We are no longer an economy of products and services. • The digital transformation demands that we focus our attention on experiences and outcomes. - An effort to renovate business vision, models, and investments for a new digital economy • I often use the iPhone as an example of a device that destroyed 27 business models. - Enabling companies to operate in a rapidly changing business environment. • Products are getting obsolete very fast. Companies releasing faster into production. ScrumTotal

28. Threats/Opportunities • Internet Companies and start-ups have the advantage • Barriers for new market entrants continue to collapse. • But most companies are traditional companies and have long way to go. • Their organizational policies, practices, processes and structures that inhibit digital transformation will change. ScrumTotal

29. Threats/Opportunities Big companies are not structured for future • Existing assets are getting obsolete • Technology undermines advantages of scale • Need new Agile thinking • Growth oriented • Networked, flat • Management 3.0 • Entrepreneurial and innovative • Agile practices • Fast, Iterative, experimental ScrumTotal

30. Road to Redemption Digital transformation requires an integrated strategy enabled by converging advances in • Technology (Cloud, Mobile, Social and Big Data, plus future scenarios) • Principles and Concepts (Lean/Agile, user centered design, design thinking, Microservices, automation, continuous deployment/integration) • People and Organizations (Mastery, autonomy, purpose, self-organization, collaboration, small distributed teams, crowdsourcing, holacracy) ScrumTotal

31. The Art of Possibility ScrumTotal

32. Presented By ScrumTotal Simple, intuitive and truly mobile Scrum app ScrumTotal