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Weekly Weather Briefing “Critical Fire Weather West” NWS Albuquerque June 16, 2014. Severe Weather June 6 th through 8 th. Hail Damage Corona. 14 Tornadoes across Northern & Central NM. EF1 Tornado Damage 6E Encinoso Photo by Jennifer Palucki. Most Recent Temperatures.
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Weekly Weather Briefing “Critical Fire Weather West” NWS Albuquerque June 16, 2014
Severe Weather June 6th through 8th Hail Damage Corona 14 Tornadoes across Northern & Central NM EF1 Tornado Damage 6E Encinoso Photo by Jennifer Palucki
Chuska Mountains, NW New MexicoAsááyi Lake Fire Photos Courtesy of SW Incident Management Team 3
Wind and Moisture Trends AVERAGE Precipitable Water (inches) MoisteningTuesday MON TUE WED Wind Gust Potential (kts) THU
Upper Level Forecast Chart(Image is Moisture) Tuesday Tuesday: Another breezy to windy day, especially northwestern half of the forecast area. Critical fire weather in parts of Rio Grande to NW mountains. Just enough moisture for some isolated dry (little rainfall) t-storms.
Tuesday’s Forecast Highest Wind Gusts (MPH) Minimum Humidity (%) Departure from Normal Windy + Dry + Dry T-Storms
Upper Level Forecast Chart(Image is Moisture) Wednesday Wednesday: Low pressure system moves over the central Rockies, bringing final day of stronger winds to NM. Critical fire weather in NW and West Central NM. Still some isolated dry T-storms central areas with wetter storms in eastern plains.
Upper Level Forecast Chart(Image is Moisture) Thursday Thursday: Finally, a reduction in winds. Dryline poised over east central to southeast NM where a few strong T-storms could develop.
Upper Level Forecast Chart(Image is Moisture) Friday Friday: Dryline remains in place over east central to southeastern NM with a weak back door front entering the northeast, and these will be the focus for any T-storms.
Upper Level Forecast Chart(Image is Moisture) Weekend Outlook Saturday Sunday Weekend: Subtropical (weak) high pressure may establish itself over the Pacific with potential moisture intrusions into eastern NM. Note available moisture over Old Mexico that could seep northward into NM for an onset of more widespread showers and T-Storms. Note that one forecast model is indicating a fairly “wet” upcoming weekend for the eastern half of NM.
6-10 Day Precip Outlook: June 21-25 http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/610prcp.new.gif
Monsoon Outlook Available at top of our web page: www.weather.gov/abq
Monsoon Outlook Available at top of our web page: www.weather.gov/abq
Week at Glance Hazards & Impacts Outlook None Minor Significant Major Tuesday (critical fire weather) Wednesday (critical fire weather) Thursday (PM t-storms in Eastern Plains) Friday (PM t-storms in Eastern Plains) Weekend (PM t-storms in Eastern Half of State) Synopsis Critical fire weather conditions will last into Tuesday and Wednesday, especially in central to western areas of NM as strong winds aloft combine with dry conditions. Some isolated storms will be possible in the east central to southeastern plains each day with some dry (little rainfall) storms working into more central areas of the state Tuesday and Wednesday. There is potential for a more active t-storm period Friday through the weekend over the eastern half of the state.
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