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Show Me the Money Financing in Support of Multilateral Environmental Agreements. Alan Miller International Finance Corporation November 11, 2009. Outline of Presentation. Climate Financing: Great Expectations 1990-’95: where it all started Kyoto Protocol: putting our faith in markets
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Show Me the MoneyFinancing in Support of Multilateral Environmental Agreements Alan Miller International Finance Corporation November 11, 2009
Outline of Presentation • Climate Financing: Great Expectations • 1990-’95: where it all started • Kyoto Protocol: putting our faith in markets • Going to Copenhagen
Financing in the Bali Action Plan • One of four “pillars” – but closely related to two of the remaining three: • Developing country commitments • Technology
II. The first MEA financial agreements: 1990 - 1995 • Multilateral Ozone Fund created by London Amendments to Montreal Protocol (1990) • Board under COP guidance, evenly divided governance • “incremental cost” funding (why?) • GEF pilot program (1991 – 1994) hosted by World Bank • GEF Instrument 1995
Key considerations • Elimination of ozone depleting substances mainly about replacing industrial chemicals – a well defined problem with clear ICs • In creating GEF, donors wanted to avoid multiplicity of funds, avoid new institutions, and promote synergies • Funding by pledging, 3 to 4 year cycles • High technical content – TEAP and STAP
III. Kyoto Protocol (1997) • Recognition donor funds not likely to be sufficient for climate change • Perceived value in market based approaches • COP assumes major administrative role in the the CDM Executive Board (defining “additionality”) • First significant recognition of independent need for funding of adaptation with voluntary funds (LDCF, SCCF) and Adaptation Fund • Significant features in the AF: dedicated funding from CDM; majority governance by recipients • What’s “incremental” – shouldn’t we do what saves money? A development baseline?
IV. Going to Copenhagen • More about governance and power, less about substance • “Direct Access” and the role of the MDBs • Declining belief in markets and demand for public finance • Adaptation rising • Link to reform of IFIs and the role of the G20 • What is funding for -- compensation?
Likely Outcomes? • Climate funding will dominate all environmental aid • A Board will be created under COP authority with multiple funds receiving “guidance”, with funding from different sources • Distinctions will need to be made between countries with financial management capacity and those without • Funding will be increasingly “programmatic”
Continuing Questions • Fiscal oversight • Funding for new technology and tech transfer, e.g. CCS • Role of the private sector • If adaptive capacity is fundamentally equivalent to development, will climate change and development assistance merge?