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This report presents the economic forecast for Missouri in 2015, focusing on key indicators such as business loans, real estate loans, bank loans, personal income, wages, and unemployment rates. It also examines the employment trends, sales taxes, and consumer sentiment in the state.
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2015 Missouri Economic Forecast Dr. David Mitchell, Director Bureau of Economic Research Professor of Economics
Real Missouri Bank Loans Past Due 30-89 days (thds of dollars)
Real Missouri Bank Loans Past Due 90+ days (thds of dollars)
Missouri Unemployment Rate 9.6% 6.3%
Other Unemployment Rates 6.0% 4.9%
Labor Force in Missouri + 55,800 over 27 months
Missouri Employment *Peak 2,811K (2/2008) *Trough 2,649K (1/2010) *Current 2,789K [11/2006]
Missouri Employment 2,754K Dec 99 *Peak 2,811K (2/2008) *Trough 2,649K (1/2010) *Current 2,789K [11/2006]
Change in Missouri Employment (Pct growth - Jun 2009 to Present)
Change in Missouri Employment (SA Establishment Survey with 100 = 1stmonth of recovery)
Millions of Real Missouri Sales Taxes (End of Fiscal Year) in Sep ‘12 Dollars
Millions of Real Missouri Sales Taxes (YTD) in Sep ‘12 Dollars
Millions of Real Missouri Corporate Income Taxes (End of Fiscal Year) in Sep ‘12 Dollars
Millions of Real Missouri Corporate Income Taxes (YTD) in Sep ‘12 Dollars
Millions of Real Missouri Income Taxes (End of Fiscal Year) in Sep ‘12 Dollars
Millions of Real Missouri Income Taxes (YTD) in Sep ‘12 Dollars
Arvest Consumer Sentiment Survey • Interviewed 400 people in MoKan, Arkansas, and Oklahoma • Identical questions to the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Survey so that the results can be compared directly • This is used to create an index which tracks consumer sentiment relative to a past date
Arvest Consumer Sentiment SurveyExpected Change in Financial Situation in a Year
Arvest Consumer Sentiment SurveyExpected Change in Business Conditions in a Year
Arvest Consumer Sentiment SurveyExpected Change in Business Conditions in 5 Years