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The mission of NOAA's National Weather Service is to provide the best meteorologic and hydrologic forecasts, watches, and warnings possible. This advisory committee focuses on the response to Hurricanes Katrina and Rita, including forecasting, tracking, and communication strategies. It also discusses the future implications of increased hurricane activity and areas vulnerable to disaster.
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Advisory Committee on Water Information Emergency Response toHurricanes Katrina and Rita Scott KiserTropical Cyclone Program ManagerNOAA/NWSJanuary 19, 2006
Mission of NOAA’s National Weather Service To provide the best meteorologic and hydrologic forecasts, watches and warnings possible.
Before Event • Forecasts • Watches • Warnings
Forecast Advisory 15Friday August 26 10 PM CDT Forecast for 115kt (135mph) Katrina Track Forecast Track Advisory 15 Issued
Advisory 20Thursday September 22 10 AM CDT Forecast for Sat 9/24/05 04CDT (09Z) 42 Hr Fcst 29.55N 94.13W 105kt (120 mph) Moving 11kts (13mph) Rita Track Forecast Track Advisory 20 Issued
Single Track Storm Surge Forecast NHC track forecast Shows envelope of high water relative to mean sea level (of 1929)
Before Event • Hurricane Liaison Team • Regional Operations Center • Equipment and staffing checks • Briefings to decision makers • Hydrologists to inland NWS offices • Staff to state emergency operations centers
During Event • Maintain the mission • Communicate and brief decisionmakers • Invoke backup if needed
Post Storm • Establish communications • Reroute data and radar information • Incident meteorologists to support rescue and recovery operations • Assessment of operations
What Does the Future Hold? Long term above average hurricane activity La Nina and El Nino
What Does the Future Hold? There are other sites especially vulnerable to disaster Houston/Galveston New Orleans (again) Tampa Bay Southwest Florida Florida Keys Southeast Florida New York City/Long Island New England