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Kosovo Jan Pieter Catrysse , Tomoyuki Yamada. Structure. 1. Historical Background 2. Key events & Tipping points 3. Failures & Lessons 4. The Significance of Kosovo Case 5. Current Situations and Issues to Ponder. Yugoslavia -Serbia and Kosovo-. Population -Albanians: Majority
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Structure • 1. Historical Background • 2. Key events & Tipping points • 3. Failures & Lessons • 4. The Significance of Kosovo Case • 5. Current Situations and Issues to Ponder
Yugoslavia-Serbia and Kosovo- • Population -Albanians: Majority -Serbs: Minority • Yugo’s political system -Federation consisted of republics -Granted Kosovo autonomy till 1994
What brought about the nightmare? • Ibrahim Rugova • Leader of Democratic League of Kosovo(DLK)
Resolution 1160 • Demand both Kosovar Albanians and Serbs to stop waging violence against each other • Encourage both sides to solve the current situation peacefully(somewhat tilting to the autonomy of Kosovo)
Resolution 1199 • Calls for immediate cease fire negotiation(same as Resolution 1160) without any military back-up • More words trying to stop ethnic-cleansing • Excerpt from Resolution 1199 “to resolve existing problems by political means on the basis of equality for all citizens and ethnic communities in Kosovo”
NATO’s activation order and Resolution 1203 • NATO’s activation order on 13th Oct -means to pressure Milosevic to sit on the peace negotiation • This time the actual bombing didn’t happen ! • Resolution 1203 confirmed the significance of military force to ensure peace negotiations would succeed.
NATO’s Bombardment in 1999 • Clinton and Blair -took initiatives • Targeting Serbian war machinery, but later infrastructure(bridges, plants etc.)
Finally Peace ……? • Resolution 1244 1999 6th June • Its content is: • Kosovo gained autonomy and the first election for Kosovo Assembly resulted in Rugova’s election as president. • 2008 declared independence
Failures - what could/should have been done- • 1. Didn’t learn little from Bosnia intervention lack of important info • 2. Exaggeration of the situation(Clinton’s remark to equate Serbian cleansing to Nazi Holocost) • 3. Set the standard of “Humanitarian intervention”. • 4. The source of problem is not oppressive Serbs, but democratisation based on ethnic nationalism.
Alternative discourse: Western Propaganda Powerful justification of bombardment “To protect civilians from the impending catastrophe” What happened in Kosovo is equal to Nazi Holocost(Clinton’s remark)
The Dark Side of Democracy • Democracy: The Govt. of “the people”, by “the people”, for “the people”. • Question is… WHO ARE THE PEOPLE?
Last Resort: Opinion with hindsight • 13th Oct NATO’s activation order could pull the deal from Milosevic • Might have been a chance to do the same with the aerial and ground forces deployment to pressurise him
Proportionality: the process was unfair • FRY and KLA both waged violence against each other though FRY’s brutality was more intense. • It seems that the UN and the US, the UK began to tilt toward Kosovo independence after FRY started ethnic-cleansing. • The fact that KLA killed/abducted Serb citizens was not much of a popular attention.
Positive Humanitarian Outcome • Short-term: Retaliation, not reconciliation -Common myth about Genocide or Ethnic-cleansing: WHOLE ethnic group VS Another WHOLE SOME from one ethnicity VS Another SOME • Long-term: OSCE supervised elections, Rugova became the president of Kosovo Assembly
Selectivity • If the UN and NATO countries knew at all, they wanted to clean up the backfire of Dayton • Kosovo was the case leading to the emergence of R2P criteria • The intention to protect Humanitarian values counts more than alturism.
Lessons • 1. The effectiveness of air strike(not the decisive way to resolve conflicts) • 2. Peace-building rather than Peace-making have to be more thoroughly planed and eagerly implemented
Cycle of Rebirth: Cull the weeds and burn its roots • Ethnicity-based politics: Should rest in peace • Just holding elections and changing “bad and even criminal leader” are mostly temporary solution. • Possible alternative solutions -The installation of “the spirits of democracy” aka compromises - (less realistic) exchange of ethnic minorities
The legacy of Kosovo Case • The emergence of the notion of “R2P” http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rusF4OJzGbo • The new norm of “Humanitarian Intervention” -conventional: national integrity is the priority and clear distinction bet. Humanitarian and national interests -New: the merger of Humanitarian values and self-interest (Blair and Clinton’s speech) “Be Humanitarian first, then Realist”
Current situation of Serbia&Kosovo • Population: Albanians around 98% and Serbs 2% • Economic situation: not really prospective, one of the most poorest countries in Europe. • Ethnic tension bet. Kosovar Albanians and Serbs still lingers.
EU as ”a Broker” “Don’t be shy!”