* Representing P&W and RR ** Observer

1. Commercial AviationSafety Team (CAST)Update Kyle L. OlsenCOSCAP-South East Asia, MacauOctober, 2008

2. CAST brings key stakeholders to cooperatively develop & implement a prioritized safety agenda Industry Government AIA Airbus ALPA APA ATA IFALPA NACA Boeing GE* RAA FSF • DOD • FAA • Aircraft Certification • Flight Standards • System Safety • Air Traffic Operations • Research • NASA • ICAO** • JAA • TCC • NATCA** • NTSB** • EASA Commercial Aviation Safety Team (CAST) IATA** AAPA** ATAC** APFA** * Representing P&W and RR ** Observer

3. Commercial Aviation Safety Team (CAST) CAST Joint Safety Analysis Teams (JSAT) • Data analyses • Safety enhancement development Joint Safety Implementation Teams (JSIT) • Master safety plan • Enhancement effectiveness • Future areas of study Joint Implementation Measurement Data Analysis Team (JIMDAT)

4. Safer Skies COMMERCIAL AVIATION Controlled Flight GENERAL AVIATION Into Terrain CABIN SAFETY Aeronautical Loss of Control Decisionmaking Passenger Interference Loss of Control Uncontained Engine Failures Weather Passenger Seat Belt Use Runway Incursion Controlled Flight Carry-on Baggage Into Terrain Approach and Landing Child Restraint Survivability Weather Turbulence Runway Incursions HUMAN FACTORS IMPROVED DATA IN OPERATIONS & & ANALYSIS MAINTENANCE

5. General Methodology for Calculating the Potential Benefit of a Safety Enhancing Intervention =  ( ) Accident Risk Reduction , Effectiveness that an intervention has for reducing the accident rate if incorporated Portion of world fleet with intervention implemented

6. CAST Implementation Status

7. 70 Safety Enhancements 47 Complete 23 Underway 23 47 CHANGES from last meeting 2 SEs completed SE129, SE30 2020 Plan Risk Reduction Estimate 74%

8. Regional PerspectiveAccident Rates Vary by Region of the World Western-built transport hull loss accidents, by airline domicile, 1998 through 2007 C.I.S.1 Europe 0.7 China 0.3 United States and Canada 0.4 Middle East 2.3 Asia 2.1 (Excluding China) Africa 10.0 Latin America and Caribbean 2.1 Oceania 0.0 World 1.1 Accidents per million departures 1 Insufficient fleet experience to generate reliable rate.

9. Regional PerspectiveAccident Rates Vary by Region of the World Western-built transport hull loss accidents, by airline domicile, 1998 through 2007 COSCAP CIS C.I.S.1 Europe 0.7 ESSI 35 SEs JAA 11 SEs EASA 62% reduction COSCAP NA, SA, SEA 40 SEs in work 60% reduction China 0.3 United States and Canada 0.4 CAST 70 SEs 47 complete 23 in work 74% reduction Middle East 2.3 Asia 2.1 (Excluding China) COSCAP BAG COSCAP Gulf Africa 10.0 Latin America and Caribbean 2.1 Oceania 0.0 ASET PAAST CFIT and ALAR World 1.1 Accidents per million departures 1 Insufficient fleet experience to generate reliable rate.

10. Moving Forward

11. Safety Plan Development Accident JSITS Case studies Accident JSATS Case studies Safety Enhancements Recommended Plan Revision Emerging Risk Develop Enhancements & Metrics Incident Analysis Process Master Contributing Factors JIMDAT Review CAST Plan Changing Risk Metrics Performance To Plan Review Non- Performance Information Aviation System Changes Identify Hazards Identify Factors Yes Develop Contributing Factors (new or emerging Present In Master Factors FAST Hazards No Demographic Changes Identify Hazards Identify Factors 11-5-03 CAST-051R

12. Aviation Safety Information Analysis Sharing ASIAS Activities Summary to the CAST 7 August 2008

13. Signed MOUs

14. Regional Airlines Outreach

15. Fused Results ASDE-X Airports ATL-BDL-CLT-FLL-HOU IAD-LAX-MCO-MKE-ORD PVD-SDF-SEA-STL ASIAS Architecture:Where We Are FAA ASIAS Data Enhanced Data Management Tools Expanded Analytical Tools DNAA DNFA ASDE-X MITRE CRS Data National Offload Program Data Fusion New Airlines

16. Thank you