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Valley Import Overview Jeff Billo Regional Planning Group Meeting July 22, 2014. Outline. Valley Overview Future Transmission System Needs Discussion and Next Steps. Valley Overview - 2014. Valley Interface. 6. 2. 3. 7. 5. 1. 4. 1769. 300. 600. Gas. Wind. DC-Tie.
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Valley Import Overview Jeff Billo Regional Planning Group Meeting July 22, 2014 Preliminary
Outline • Valley Overview • Future Transmission System Needs • Discussion and Next Steps Preliminary
Valley Overview - 2014 Valley Interface 6 2 3 7 5 1 4 1769 300 600 Gas Wind DC-Tie Preliminary
Valley Transmission - 2016 6 2 3 7 5 1 4 1769 300 600 Gas Wind DC-Tie Preliminary
Background Information • ERCOT Board endorsed Valley Import Project in September 2011 • ERCOT Independent Review indicated that additional reliability upgrades would be needed by 2020 to support import needs • FERC Final Rule on TPL-001-4 effective December 23, 2013 • Adds G-1+G-1 criterion to NERC planning standards (Category P3 contingency) • No loss of load allowed • Corrective Action Plan for “raise the bar” requirements do not have to be in place until 2020 • ERCOT annual stability analysis identified reliability criteria violations in the Valley Preliminary
Valley Load Forecast (2014 RTP) Preliminary
Valley Import Study • Study Case • 2016 Summer Peak (SSWG, March 2014) • Base Case Condition • All Valley Gas Generation at Pmax • Lobo – North Edinburg 345 kV in service (with series capacitor) • North Edinburg – Loma Alta (Cross Valley) 345 kV in service • Valley Wind Output = 10% dispatch • Railroad DC-Tie no import/export • Steady State PV Analysis Preliminary
VSAT Results • Base Case Notes: • G-1includes entire combined cycle train • N-1 includes 345 kV transmission line • Dynamic analysis results (ongoing work) may show stability limits lower than in the above table Preliminary
Discussion • N-1+N-1 and G-1+G-1 are the significant contingencies for the Valley • Entire combined-cycle train is treated as G-1 in this assessment (consistent with Planning Guide 4.1.1.1) • ERCOT is working on dynamic stability analysis • ERCOT will work with area TSPs and RPG to evaluate project alternatives to address the reliability need • Static and/or dynamic reactive devices • Ajo – Caballo 345 kV line (suggested in 2011 ERCOT Independent Review) • San Miguel – Lobo – North Edinburg second circuit • Additional import path • Railroad DC tie assumption Preliminary
Valley Potential Gen (by County), COD by 2016 200 6 399 200 230 500 2 3 7 5 1 268 4 1601 1769 600 300 200 1198 2000 Gas Wind DC-Tie PG 6.9 Wind FIS Wind FIS Gas Preliminary
Questions/ Comments? Preliminary