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ALLIED FORCES NORTH EUROPE

ALLIED FORCES NORTH EUROPE. Operational Analysis Support to a Combined Joint Headquarters on a Crisis Response Operation. ALLIED EFFORT 01 CJTF and CJFCC HQ in Wroclaw/ Poland. CJTF Headquarters. Command Group. SPECIAL STAFF. LIAISON. POLAD. LEGAD. PIO. OA. CJ 1 PERS. CJ 2 INTEL.

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ALLIED FORCES NORTH EUROPE

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  1. ALLIED FORCES NORTH EUROPE Operational Analysis Support to a Combined Joint Headquarters on a Crisis Response Operation

  2. ALLIED EFFORT 01CJTF and CJFCC HQ in Wroclaw/ Poland

  3. CJTF Headquarters Command Group SPECIAL STAFF LIAISON POLAD LEGAD PIO OA CJ 1 PERS CJ 2 INTEL CJ 3 OPS CJ 4 LOG CJ 5 PLANS CJ 6 CIS CJ 8 BUDFIN CJ 9 CIMIC CJ ENGINEER PRIMARY STAFF MJLC SUPPORT HQ Support CIS Support

  4. CJTF HQ OA Composition • Complement • 3 Staff Officer/Civilian Analyst • OA Trained with Experience • Augmentees • Implementation • RHQ AFNORTH Special Staff • Analyst from NC3A • Limited Reach-back

  5. OA Responsibilities • Participates in HQ Processes • Provides OA Support to HQ Staff • Uses OA Methods to Provide Insights, Results and Recommendations • Imports or Develops Tools • Liaises with OA in HQs and Outside • Identifies long-term theatre-wide issues for further analysis

  6. 1200 0700 1900 1100 1500 OA in the Decision Cycle 1200 DARB 1300 IOWG 1030 JOPG 1330 CLC 1300 DOS/CO Coord Mtg 1400 CICOM 0930 JCB 1400 COM CJTF Prep Meeting 1000 COS VTC 1500 SACEUR VTC 0830 Daily Staff Brief 1630 COM CJTF VTC 0645 CG Situational Awareness COM CJTF HQ Conf (Following the VTC) 1845 Situational Awareness Note 1 Note 2 0100 JCB WG 2000 JCB WG

  7. Analysis • Supporting Operational Planning • Situation Analysis • Decision Support • Course of Action Development and Comparison • Risk Assessment • Modelling Impact of Refugee Movements • Monitoring Compliance • …

  8. Current LandSituationShowing ZOS Forces and Refugee Camps

  9. Current LandSituationShowing Force Potential of Tanks

  10. Decision SupportHQ Location Criteria • Political • evenhandedness, perception • Liaison (C2 Arrangements) • UNHR, CORAL, OPAL, Subordinate, IO,… • Infrastructure • Transportation, HNS, Buildings, Access... • COMMS, Media • Security • Handover

  11. Operational RiskCORAL vs GFOR Air Forces

  12. Comparison of Force Strength

  13. Ground Force Attrition with and without Contribution of Air

  14. Impact of Refugee Movements on GFOR LOC

  15. Non-compliance incidents

  16. OF4s in one Room Availability of warm water Meetings without output DVD NUMBER Morale TIME Exercise Artificialities

  17. Lessons Identified • Exercise artificialities and data collection caused challenges. • OA Team composition needs adjusting • Nucleus staff member, Admin, Skills • OA Toolkit needs expanding • Challenge is to make it robust but manageable. • Model development needs to be encouraged • Uncertainties during planning • Criteria for success in CRO • Joint aggregation and syncronization • Flexibile and responsive!

  18. Conclusion • Groundwork for OA in CJTF HQ laid • Team-building achieved in HQ and analysis community • HQ supported with analysis • Skills and models tested against real world problems and operational timelines • Valuable experience gained

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