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www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories /images/globalwarming5. Michigan Greenhouse Gas Inventory Project. April 12, 2004. Pierre Bull Asako Yamamoto Colin McMillan Faculty Advisor Prof. Greg Keoleian. Clients. Michigan Department of Environmental Quality
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www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories /images/globalwarming5 Michigan Greenhouse Gas Inventory Project April 12, 2004 Pierre Bull Asako Yamamoto Colin McMillan Faculty Advisor Prof. Greg Keoleian
Clients • Michigan Department of Environmental Quality • Contact: David Mason (masondw@michigan.gov) • Michigan Environmental Council • Contact: David Gard (davidmec@voyager.net) • U.S. EPA Region 5 – Chicago Regional Office
Michigan Climate Projections Year 2030 Your age ~50 Ann Arbor climate: Winters Columbus, OH Summers St. Louis, MO Year 2095 Your kids’ age ~85 Ann Arbor Climate: Winters Marietta, OH Summers Memphis, TN Source: Confronting Climate Change in the Great Lakes Region. Union of Concerned Scientists. http://www.ucsusa.org/greatlakes
For effective state-wide climate change mitigation policies, greenhouse gas emissions need to be accurately accounted for Currently, Michigan is one of seven states without a thorough assessment of its greenhouse gas emissions Addressing Climate Change in Michigan
Project Goals • The accounting team will conduct a comprehensive inventory of annual greenhouse gas emissions originating within the state of Michigan • A ten year GHG projection model for the state of Michigan will be created based on assessment of GHG emissions between two time periods from 1990 to 2003.
Accounting Questions • What is the relative contribution of the different greenhouse gases to the total warming effect in terms of million metric tons of carbon emitted (MMTCE)? • Which economic sectors are the biggest emitters? • What sectors can have reduced emissions from simple policy changes? • Are there any carbon sinks worth noting and how can they be measured? • How much of the GHG emissions are a result of economic demand outside the state for goods/services produced in Michigan? • At what resolution can the research team disaggregate data from each economic sector?
Data Collection:EPA - SIT Program • The U.S. EPA developed a statewide greenhouse gas inventory program for accounting projects, called the State Inventory Tool (SIT) • The SIT is excel-based and is divided into major economic sectors • A large amount of “default” data has been entered based on EPA estimations from national greenhouse gas inventories
Data Collection:Data Sources (60%) Michigan State Government • Executive Branch Agencies • Agriculture • Environmental Quality • Natural Resources • Transportation • Executive Branch: Agencies, Boards & Commissions • Automotive Regulation • Census & Statistical Data for Michigan • Center for Geographic Information • Environmental Science Board • Industries (20%) Intra-state Industry and Environment Consortiums (can lead us to data sources) (5%) Consumer utilities (can lead us to sources) (5%) U.S. EPA • TRI • Air Quality Office (5%) U.S. DOE • Energy- and transportation-related emissions annual reports (5%) Others…
Data Collection:Economic Sectors • Emissions from fossil fuel combustion • Methane and Nitrous oxide emissions from stationary combustion • Methane and Nitrous oxide emissions from mobile combustion • Methane emissions from natural gas and oil systems
Data Collection:Economic Sectors • Non-energy GHG emissions from industrial processes • Domesticated animals • GHG emissions from livestock manure management • Agricultural soil management
Data Collection:Economic Sectors • Agricultural crop wastes • Solid waste disposal • GHG emissions from wastewater
Final Thought In the past fifty years, the world’s annual carbon emissions have quadrupled. • Given the potential devastating impacts from climate change to Michigan’s most valuable natural resources and economic productivity, the need to act now is imperative. • “In God We Trust; All Others Bring Data.” • (Hawken, Lovins and Lovins. 1999 Natural Capitalism. NY: Little Brown and Co.) • Questions?