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Permission to Succeed. Declan Billington Chairman CBI Northern Ireland. The (NI) Economy is not really very sustainable; there’s not a strong enough business community and that needs to be reformed and structured Peter Hain, Secretary of State 8 th May 2007. Peter Hain, Setting the Scene.
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Permission to Succeed Declan Billington Chairman CBI Northern Ireland
The (NI) Economy is not really very sustainable; there’s not a strong enough business community and that needs to be reformed and structuredPeter Hain, Secretary of State 8th May 2007 Peter Hain, Setting the Scene
Current State of the economy – The spin • NI GDP growth levels, at 2%-3% above GB • Employment is at a record high • Unemployment at a 26 year low • NI’s GDP growth is currently the fourth fastest-growing of the 12 UK regions • Property price boom So what's the problem?
But… here’s what’s really happening • over dependence on the public sector • (NI public sector employs 1 in 3 of all workers and 60% of all females in employment) • an annual subvention from GB £6.8bn. 31% Deficit pa hardly the sign of a successful economy..
Dependency growing NI GDP growth levels, at 2% - 3% above GB Driven by Public sector spending growth (approx 5% pa
Underdeveloped private sector • 89 per cent of local firms employ fewer than 10 people • Only 65 companies employ more than 500 workers • 10 companies account for 50% of all NI exports • NI has second-lowest level of business formation of the 12 UK regions • NI has second-lowest level of business growth in the UK
Society Issues Is this the foundation for political stability • NI has the highest level of both long-term unemployment and youth unemployment in the UK • NI has amongst the best - and the worst - qualified working populations (with 2 or more A-levels) • Some wards in Belfast and Derry have amongst the highest levels of deprivation in Europe • Approx 44,000 children here live in extreme poverty • We need to create up to 140,000 jobs next decade (last decade we created 85,000 jobs)
Over 530,000 people (41% of working -age population) not economically active
141k 97k Falling unemployment masks rise in benefit claimants (hidden unemployment)
And what of the Westminster endowment? £50 Billion peace dividend ? Spin Lower Corporation tax ? "Hanson plan" to transform the economy by 2015? (Regional Economic Strategy)
The Reality • £50Bn package • In reality estimated to be £100m extra from Treasury. • £ 78m to avoid water charges • £20m for first year funding of innovation fund • Hanson’s Regional Economy Strategy • By 2015, Wage gap (75% of GB private sector) and Gross Value added (80% of GB average) have closed by 0.5% hardly transformational.
Conclusion: We can no longer look to others to solve our problems. • We need Leadership for change from within Northern Ireland. • From our politicians • underpinning peace with prosperity • putting the economy top of the priority list • Making the tough choices
“The Executive must seize this moment and begin to build a society, underpinned by a strong local economy.” ? Well, it’s a start
Will Business step up to the challenge: Who in Business must step up to the mark and lead the economic change needed?
Economy You!!
What is our potential? We only need look at the original celtic tiger…. • The Year is 1900. • The UK’s third largest city (Belfast) dominates globally in the industries it is in: • Ship building – The finest ships in the world • Textiles – Dominating trade globally • Heavy engineering This is our pedigree!
How did we do it before? By using only the natural drive and talent of local people , we became the industrial Workhorse of the British Isles
Ask not what your country can do for you--ask rather what you can do for your country." Finally, in the words of JFK.
Its our future Its time to take the lead