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Progress Report to COPUOS STSC Thomas D. Jones, PhD tj@space-explorers Vienna, Austria

Progress Report to COPUOS STSC Thomas D. Jones, PhD tj@space-explorers.org Vienna, Austria 15 Feb 2011. Comet Tempel 1. Overview Introduction ASE NEO Hazard Decision-Making Results: Mission Planning & Operations Group Workshop

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Progress Report to COPUOS STSC Thomas D. Jones, PhD tj@space-explorers Vienna, Austria

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  1. Progress Report to COPUOS STSC Thomas D. Jones, PhD tj@space-explorers.org Vienna, Austria 15 Feb 2011

  2. Comet Tempel 1

  3. Overview • Introduction • ASE NEO Hazard Decision-Making • Results: Mission Planning & Operations Group Workshop • Opportunities for International NEO Cooperation

  4. ASE Commends Progress on NEO Research • Japan/JAXA Success with Hayabusa Sample • Recovery • U.S.A./NASA Encounters with NEOs & Small Bodies • Deep Impact at Hartley 2 • Stardust at Tempel 1 • Dawn at Vesta and Ceres • NASA Discovers NEOs with WISE • Canada/CSA and Planned NEOSSat • Russia/Roskosmos Mission to Phobos

  5. 2011 CQ11 • Discovered 4 Feb • Near-Miss 5480 km • ~ 1 m diameter • Billion small NEOs • Dramatic Orbit Change

  6. Fireballs ~ 30 multi-kiloton explosions annually

  7. ASE NEO Decision-Making Process • Authored by ASE Panel on Asteroid Threat Mitigation, 2007-2008 • “Asteroid Threats: A Call for Global Response” • http://space-explorers.org/committees/NEO/neo.html • International Process for NEO Decision-Making • Functional Diagram for NEO Response Process

  8. ASE NEO Decision-Making Process • “Asteroid Threats: A Call for Global Response” • http://space-explorers.org/committees/NEO/neo.html • Submitted to COPUOS in 2009 • COPUOS STSC Provides Template for Framework and Future Agreement • Follow-up Workshops to Explore NEO Functional Framework

  9. ASE Co-sponsored NEO Workshop Series, with: • Secure World Foundation • Foreign Ministry, Mexico • Regional Centre for Space Science and Technology Education for Latin America and the Caribbean • European Space Agency • IAWN Workshop (Mexico City, January 2010) • MPOG Workshop (Darmstadt, October 2010)

  10. Mission Planning & Operations group • Workshop Executive Summary • MPOG Proposed Role: • Information Requirements Enabling Planning & Operations • Deflection Decision & Event Timing • Evaluate Deflection Concepts • Cost Models • Help MAOG Identify Operations Process

  11. MPOG Workshop Executive Summary Findings • MPOG-like group should be established by space agencies • Identify to space agencies the technical issues to be explored for planetary defense • Create synergies among international programs and activities • e.g. planetary defense, science, exploration

  12. MPOG Workshop Executive Summary Findings • Propose NEO Research Objectives to Guide Space Agencies • Addressing critical areas for effective NEO deflection strategies • Recognized value of finding hazardous NEOs early • Identify threats • Obtain precision tracking for decision making • Averts costs of future deflection missions • Strategy requires upgraded search capability

  13. MPOG Workshop Supplemental Findings • MPOG should develop set of reference NEO deflection scenarios & mission plans • MPOG to identify information needed from IAWN • Require clear lines of responsibility from policy makers to the MPOG • MPOG terms of reference to be developed by AT14

  14. Forward Work on NEO Decision-Making • AT14 and space agencies to further develop concepts of IAWN and MPOG • Mission Authorization and Oversight Group • High-level: Security Council? • Multi-lateral discussions at COPUOS and among member states, agencies • Member States & Agencies Cooperate on Technical Research and Programs to Inform Decision-Making

  15. Opportunities for Further Progress • Agencies can organize for Planetary Defense • Recommendations of NASA ad hoc Task Force • Organize, Search, Characterize, Respond, and Lead • Highlights: Space-based Search Telescope • Last-Minute Warning for Small NEO Impacts • International Deflection Mission • http://www.nasa.gov/pdf/490945main_10-10_TFPD.pdf

  16. ATLAS LSST

  17. 2008 TC3

  18. Conclusions • COPUOS STSC Has Come Far on NEO Hazard • Global Nature of NEO Hazard Requires Cooperation • STSC Members Must Build on Momentum of Discoveries • ASE’s Network of Space Explorers Will Continue to Assist, Educate, Communicate, and Encourage

  19. Association of Space Explorers Helping Turn the NEO Hazard into Opportunity http://www.space-explorers.org

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