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Increased efficiency of inspection – Putting data to good use statistics & statisticians at the heart of policy 31 May 2013. Secretary of State John Crombez. Social & tax inspection coordination. Last 1,5 year Hired more people => data mining Build new systems Research, the results ongoing
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Increased efficiency of inspection –Putting data to good usestatistics & statisticians at the heart of policy31 May 2013 Secretary of State John Crombez
Social & tax inspection coordination • Last 1,5 year • Hired more people => data mining • Build new systems • Research, the results ongoing • Beware : data mining is not data mining • Less false positives more hits • Answer to a question from society
Putting data to good use • There is a treasure of data available • Laws : links & privacy • If put to good use • Efficiency enhancement of inspection services
Putting data to good use • Data matching • Data mining • Predictive modeling
Data matching • Automatic Number Plate Recognition – Car Registration Tax • Social benefits – ex ante controls
Social benefits • Cumulating unemployment benefits and employment income • A priori controls since 2010 – data matching • Dramatic drop in infractions – ex post controls
Data mining • Social Intelligence and Investigation Service (SIOD) • Special Tax Inspection Service (BBI)
SIOD Fraud risk score
BBI – Organised VAT Fraud • Approach • Year 2000 • Annual loss = 1.1 billion • Situation "out of control" • Joint venture M. of F. & Fed. Police in 2001 • Small team • Develops risk analysis and data mining
so • Stats and data at the heart of efficiency increase of gov ops • Possible to attract and maintain right people and skills? • Acceptance of new systems?