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Tonight’s Agenda

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Tonight’s Agenda

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  1. THERE ARE NO WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, OR RESULTS OBTAINED FROM ANY INFORMATION DISCUSSED DURING HAWKTRADE MEETINGS.  Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investment returns and principal value will fluctuate, so that investors' shares, when sold, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Investing in any financial instruments does not guarantee that an investor will make money, avoid losing capital, or indicate that the investment is risk-free. There are no absolute guarantees in investing. HAWKTRADE and its members do not bear any responsibility for losses or gains made by members trading on their personal accounts based on analysis from HAWKTRADE meetings.

  2. Tonight’s Agenda • HawkTrade Info • The Big Picture • Europe

  3. THERE ARE NO WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, OR RESULTS OBTAINED FROM ANY INFORMATION DISCUSSED DURING HAWKTRADE MEETINGS.  Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investment returns and principal value will fluctuate, so that investors' shares, when sold, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Investing in any financial instruments does not guarantee that an investor will make money, avoid losing capital, or indicate that the investment is risk-free. There are no absolute guarantees in investing. HAWKTRADE and its members do not bear any responsibility for losses or gains made by members trading on their personal accounts based on analysis from HAWKTRADE meetings.

  4. About HawkTrade…

  5. HawkTrade Meetings • When:Every Sunday, 6:30PM • Where: W207 in PBB • Who: Any UI Student, Faculty, or Staff • Attendance:Must attend half of meetings to claim prizes • Dues: $15 Annual Due

  6. HawkTrade Meetings • Recap Previous Week • Break Down the Macro Situation • Discuss Government Decisions • Teach About Different Investment Tools • Analyze Individual Companies • Compare Sectors • Listen to Analysts

  7. HawkTrade Stock Investment Competitions Semester Long Competitions Entrance Fee’s

  8. IOWAHAWKTRADE.com “2011 Student Organization Website of the Year”

  9. US Index Performance *As of market close 9/9/11

  10. Mid-Year Outlook: Positive Points • The economy has created about 200,000 new private sector jobs per month this year, the strongest pace since before the financial crisis. • Corporate earnings continue to rise at a double-digit pace as they near all-time highs and analysts are upwardly revising estimates. • Businesses are now increasing their spending and driving growth after a decade of under-investing. • Business confidence is up; the Conference Board’s CEO Confidence Survey found the most bullish outlook by CEOs since 2004. • Financing conditions for the consumer and business are improving rapidly; banks have started making more loans and high-yield bond yields are the lowest in history.

  11. Mid-Year Outlook: Positive Points • The declining US dollar is boosting earnings and making U.S. products more competitive globally. • Inflation is likely near its peak in China and in other nations, suggesting rates will soon rise. • U.S. businesses have plenty of cash to spend on hiring, capital, dividends, and mergers and acquisitions (M&A). • Stock market valuations remain below long-term averages, which is favorable. • Individual and institutional investors have plenty of cash on the sidelines.

  12. Mid-Year Outlook: Negative Points • Central banks in both emerging and developed economies are raising interest rates to fight rising inflation. • Home prices are falling again; the price of existing homes in the United States declined 3% over the past year (ending May 2011). • Intensifying European debt problems and Japan’s recession are contributing to slower global growth. • Consumer confidence is well off the financial crisis and recession lows of 2009, but has only rebounded to levels in line with prior recession low points.

  13. Mid-Year Outlook: Negative Points • Ever-present terror threats heightened by turmoil in the Middle East and North Africa is keeping oil prices elevated and has the potential to disrupt oil supplies — further boosting already high prices at the pump. • The battle over the U.S. debt ceiling combined with state budget challenges may result in less fiscal stimulus. • Consumer income growth adjusted for inflation has been falling in recent months as reflation has taken place.

  14. What it will take to get the global economy/market going

  15. Need for a turnaround in Housing

  16. Fri 09 Sep 11 | 11:11 AM ET Obama’s Job Plan

  17. Pointing Fingers • QE1 … QE2… QE3??? • Obama or Europe?

  18. The ECB (European Central Bank) • The “Federal Reserve” of Europe • Administers Monetary Policy for the 17 EU Counties • Headed Jean-Claude Trichet • Single Mandate • Price Stability

  19. Portugal. Italy. Greece. Spain. • Root of Europe’s Problem • Spending too much

  20. Fri 09 Sep 11 | 12:30 PM ET Europe Stop at min 3:45

  21. http://www.cnbc.com/id/44457678

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