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Technological change and institutional implications Dag Standal SINTEF Fisheries and aquaculture. The ”Norwegian model”. 1990-91: Rejected the introduction of a ITQ model 1991- : IVQ model - :Strong emphasis on: diverse ownership of quotas and vessels (rural policy)
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Technological change and institutional implicationsDag StandalSINTEF Fisheries and aquaculture
The ”Norwegian model” • 1990-91: Rejected the introduction of a ITQ model • 1991- : IVQ model • - :Strong emphasis on: • diverse ownership of quotas and vessels (rural policy) • maintain a diverse fleet structure via the allocation policy (”the trawl ladder”) • IVQ model: integrates vessels and quotas in one system (market) • Input regulations (technology) and output (biology) are integrated. • Main challenge in terms of capacity: balancing input and output regulations • Cut down unprofitable overcapacity !
Table 1Number of vessels above 28 meters and % change, 1988 and 2003. • Length group(m) 1988 2003 % • 28 - 39,9 232 93 -60 • 40 - 49,9 125 107 -14 • 50 - 59,9 74 74 0 • 60 - 43 88 +105 • Total : 474 362 - 24 • Reduction in number of vessels • Structural changes
Table 2Technical parameters for arctic trawlers built in 1988 – 2002 (cod/shrimp trawler). • Building year : 1988 2002 1988-2002 • Lenght (m): 61.50 64.00 1.04 • Breadth (m): 12.80 16.60 1.30 • Prod. cap (tons): 20 35 1.75 • GRT: 1905 2574 1.35 • HP: 3342 8046 2.41 • Number of trawls 1 3 2.00 • Catch (tons) 1000-1500 3000-4000 2-3 • Trawl doors (tons): 4.5 7.0 1.56 • Crew (number.): 14 14 1.00 • Electronics: echo sounder echo sounder Catch sensor catch sensor trawl sensor GPS
Table 3Development in size for different gears, 1988 - 2003 . • Gear- Gear Gear • dimension dimension factor (R) • Gear 1988 2003 1998-2003 • Shrimptrawl : 168 294 3.00 • Cod trawl: 60 120 2.00 • Blue whiting trawl: 1200 2400 4.00 • Purse seine: 105 280 180 000 1.71 • Long line: 20 000 35 000 1.75 Source: Norwegian gear producers and fishermen, 2004.
Tabell 5Technical capacity development entire fleet above 28 meters, 1988 og 2003.
Institutional boundaries and technological adaptations, Norway. • Unregulated species in Norwegian fisheries, 2004 (tons): • Blue whiting : 852 000 Total Nowegian catch: 2 549 000 tons. • Shrimp : 60 000 • Tusk/ling : 27 000 • Horse mackerel: 10 000 • Other : 30 000 • Total (unreg.) : 979 000= 38. 40 % of total ctach. • Source, Fisheries Directorate, 2006. • ”Technology does not follow the institutional boundaries” • Combination of closed and restricted open access fisheries • Capacity expanding adaptations !
Capacity feedback systems Stock (border) TAC Cod, herring, mackerel, etc. Allocation policy (output) Institutional boundaries Institutional boundaries Structure policy (markets) Restricted open access /combined fisheries Restricted open access /combined fisheries Capacity (input) Capacity feedback Capacity feedback
The Unit Quota System, 1984-2006. Year : No. of quotas Duration No. of pr. vessel (years) quota-markets 1984-1997: 2 13 3 1997-2003: 3 18 3 2004 -2005: 3 eternal 1 2005- : 3 20/25 1
Developent, number of vessels and average quotafactors, cod trawlers, 1991-2006.
Future challenges- technological development? • ”Stagnated technology” (path dependency and a predictable pattern) • No paradigmatic innovations sice the 70’s (excpept for electronics, GPS etc.). • Heavy fuel consumption, strong increase in fuel costs • Deep sea fleet towards a critical mass in regard to innovations? • No. Of vessels, 2008 2015 • Cod / shrimp trawlers : 50 decline • Herring/mackerel/blu whiting : 47 decline • Long lining : 25 decline • Loosing out of the national innovation system? • The deep sea fleet as future market for todays manufacturers of equipment ? • Further pressure on todays structural policy or a change towards ITQ.