Systems to Monitor and Evaluate Reconstruction Progress in Aceh

1. Tracking the money and monitoring progress Systems to Monitor and Evaluate Reconstruction Progress in Aceh World Bank Economic Development Seminar Series Jock McKeon – 27 March 2008 World Bank

2. The rationale of post-disaster monitoring and analysis • Quantify needs • Determine reconstruction priorities • Ascertain Government capacity • Allocate funds where they are most needed • Provide transparency and ability to hold agencies accountable

3. Reconstruction highlights Dec 07 • US$6.8 billion allocated to projects • US$4.2 billion (61% allocations) disbursed • US$1.2 billion disbursed to housing • Environment, Energy, and Flood Control sectors remain under-funded • Significant disbursements still required for housing and transport sectors • Disbursements in 2007 slower than expected

4. The money-tracking journey • Assess the damages and losses • Determine needs • Capture commitments and allocations to projects • Identify the gaps • Monitor progress

5. M&E “Tracking the Money” Reconstruction Physical Progress Social and Economic Monitoring • # of house constructed • # of school built • # of health facilities built • Agriculture land restored • # of boat built • Inflation • Employment • Wages • Material Prices • Poverty • IDPs • On Budget • APBN • APBD • Off Budget • Donors • NGOs Reconstruction monitoring & evaluation methodology World Bank BRR BPS BI World Bank BRR UNORC Others

6. The money-tracking journey • Assess the damages and losses • Determine needs • Capture commitments and allocations to projects • Identify the gaps • Monitor progress

7. Damage and losses assessment Guided by BAPPENAS with support from international agencies Released in January 2005 to CGI www.eclac.org/mexico/documents www.worldbank.org/hazards/policy/guidelines.htm

8. Tsunami damage and losses

9. The money-tracking journey • Assess the damages and losses • Determine needs • Capture commitments and allocations to projects • Identify the gaps • Monitor progress

10. Value of Damages Reconstruction needs Reconstruction program Financing Formula Determining the needs – looking ahead

11. Make appropriate adjustments for the needs analysis

12. The money-tracking journey • Assess the damages and losses • Determine needs • Capture commitments and allocations to projects • Identify the gaps • Monitor progress

13. World Bank expenditure tracking methodology

14. The money-tracking journey • Assess the damages and losses • Determine needs • Capture commitments and allocations to projects • Identify the gaps • Monitor progress

15. Sectoral allocations gaps against core minimum needs(allocations minus needs)

16. Spending progress to core minimum needs(disbursements minus needs)

17. The money-tracking journey • Assess the damages and losses • Determine needs • Capture commitments and allocations to projects • Identify the gaps • Monitor progress

18. Total commitments exceed minimum rebuilding costs: US$1.5 bn available for “building back better” Commitments Allocations

19. Aceh tsunami update (Dec 07):US$7.7 bn committedUS$6.8 bn allocated to projectsUS$4.2 bn disbursed

20. Next steps? • Post-conflict monitoring • Continue monitoring of disbursements? (US$2.6 bn to be spent) • Is there potential for Govt to adopt this reconstruction monitoring? (BAPPEDA, BPDE?)

21. Working papers • Managing Post-Disaster Reconstruction Finance - International Experience in Public Financial Management Fengler W, Ihsan A, Kaiser K World Bank, 2008 • Using Data for Ex-Ante Preparedness for Disaster Management - Tracking the 2004 Indian Ocean earthquake and tsunami reconstruction funds in Indonesia McKeon JM World Bank, 2008 • Tracking Financial Flows after Disasters - Reconstruction Expenditure Tracking Analysis Methodology (RETAM) Fengler W World Bank, 2007 • Tracking the Money: International Experience with Financial Information Systems and Databases for Reconstruction Agustina CD World Bank, 2007 http://go.worldbank.org/TTAEQW4DR0

22. www.worldbank.org/id/reconstruction