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Origins of MJO in central, equatorial Indian Ocean Mechanisms for initiation not well understood MJO affects: Monsoons (Onset and Intensity) TC activity in all 3 ocean basins Teleconnections to mid-latitudes Coupling to ENSO (influences onset, intensification and irregularity of ENSO)
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Origins of MJO in central, equatorial Indian Ocean Mechanisms for initiation not well understood MJO affects: Monsoons (Onset and Intensity) TC activity in all 3 ocean basins Teleconnections to mid-latitudes Coupling to ENSO (influences onset, intensification and irregularity of ENSO) DYNAMO---DYNAmics of the MJO Defined phases of the MJO
AMIE and CINDY/DYNAMO Sites CINDY2011/DYNAMO AMIE-Manus AMIE-Gan
DYNAMO—Fall 2011 • GOAL: • Improve the understanding of MJO initiation processes • OBJECTIVES: • Collect observations in the equatorial Indian Ocean needed to understand MJO initiation • Identify critical deficiencies in numerical models responsible for the low prediction skill of MJO initiation • Provide observations that will assist in the improvement of model parameterizations • Provide information that will enhance MJO monitoring and climate predictions on intraseasonal timescales
Radar array in relation to DYNAMO Hypotheses • Deep convection can be organized into an MJO convective envelope only when the moist layer has become sufficiently deep over a region of the MJO scale • Specificconvective populations at different stages are essential to MJO initiation • The barrier layer, wind- and shear-driven mixing, shallow thermocline, and mixing-layer entrainment all play essential roles in MJO initiation in the Indian Ocean
Sounding/Radar Array Dick Johnson and Paul Ciesielski leading radiosonde program
DYNAMO observing network and TRMM 3B43 Oct-Dec precipitation climatology Gan Ship radar 1 Ship radar 2 Diego Garcia
Radar array RV Revelle and RV Mirai: • Scanning C-band and vertically-pointing W-band radars Gan “Supersite”: • DOE AMF2 radars: Could include scanning polarimetric X- and Ka-band radars and a vertically pointing W- or Ka-band radar • Texas A&M SMART-Radar: Scanning C-band • NCAR S-Polka radar: Scanning, polarized, dual wavelength (Ka- and S-band)
Strengths of individual radars AMF2 • Vertically pointing W-band Doppler radars (also in ships): • Non-precip & precip clouds • Light rain • Radiative heating • X- and Ka-band polarimetric Doppler radars: • Air motions in clouds • Liquid water SMART-R and ships • C-band Doppler radars: • Convective and stratiform precipitation • Mesoscale air motions S-PolKa • S- and Ka-band polarimetric Doppler radar: • Hydrometeor type • Non- precip & precip clouds • Air motions • Humidity profile in relation to clouds • Boundary layer
Habitat islands (linked by road) Gan island Geographic setting Addu Atoll
Installation sites suggested by survey team Spit SPolKa AMF2 Addu Atoll
Atmospheric Observations from the Revelle TOGA C-band Doppler Radar NOAA HSRL Doppler Lidar NOAA W-band radar NCAR ISS Aerosol measurements Air-sea fluxes
Who is involved… • Brewer/Wolfe/Fairall • W-band radar, high resolution lidar • Rutledge • C-band scanning Doppler radar • Johnson/Brown (NCAR) • Ship Integrated Sounding System, 915 MHz profiler and radiosonde • Bates • Aerosol, CCN measurements
NASA-TOGA radar • Used successfully in TOGA COARE and elsewhere • 5 cm Doppler radar, single polarization • State of the art signal processor upgrade done • NASA/Wallops personnel and Bob Bowie from CHILL traveling to Darwin now for radar installation next week
Objectives for TOGA based research • Document 3-D structure of precipitating clouds over the course of MJO initiation and link to moisture field • Characterize convective and mesoscale structure, and degree of convective organization and link to environmental shear • Estimate divergence profiles from VAD scans to diagnose heating profiles and the nature of these profiles as the MJO evolves • Document the 2-D flow structure in organized convective systems and compare to conceptual models for momentum transport • Produce high quality rain maps based on TOGA reflectivity data (S-polKa polarimetric data will help develop appropriate Z-R relationships)
TOGA COARE observations of mesoscale organization and rainfall contributions Rickenbach and Rutledge (1998) Pre-MJO and at leading portion of MJO Light wind and post MJO westerly phase
R/V Revelle Built: 1996 Length: 277’ Beam: 52'5” Draft (max): 17’ Crew: 22 Scientific berthing: 37 http://shipsked.ucsd.edu/Ships/Roger_Revelle/
ESRL (Lidar) Revelle O2 deck Placement w/ PMEL Frames Tip cal ESRL (W-Band) TOGA Radar
IOP SOP Project Timeline 1-OCT 1- NOV 1-DEC 1-JAN 1-FEB 1-MAR 1-APR EOP AMF2, SMART-R, Darwin, Manus S-PolKa, RV Revelle, RV Sagar-Kenya and RV Southern Surveyor (plus EOP observations) RV Mirai (plus IOP observations)
Cruise 1, 29 August to 26 September, Darwin to Phuket Thailand • Cruise 2, Sept 29 to 31 Oct. Port: TBD soon • Cruise 3, Nov 5 to 10 December. Port: TBD soon • Cruise 4, Dec 13 to 5 Jan. Port: TBD soon • Cruise 5, 11 Jan to 16 Feb, ending at Capetwon where the radar will be removed. CSU-CHILL Update