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CONVERGENCE!

CONVERGENCE!. Vint Cerf Google February 2012. When does POTS vanish?. 1976 FCC Brief on Computer and Communications Convergence (Wiley) Wireline is eroding. Replaced by cable/fiber Wireless is gaining.

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CONVERGENCE!

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  1. CONVERGENCE! Vint Cerf Google February 2012

  2. When does POTS vanish? • 1976 FCC Brief on Computer and Communications Convergence (Wiley) • Wireline is eroding. Replaced by cable/fiber • Wireless is gaining. • Remnants of wired POTS will be around along with wireless for at least two decades more. • Major indicator will be VOIP used to link POTS calls rather than other way around.

  3. Interconnection • High speed IP interconnection is becoming a driver. Peering terms will evolve. 100G+ • P2P “calls” will vie for market share (Skype, etc.) • ENUM may re-appear (important signal). LTE and IPv6 end-to-end open new possibilities. • Conferencing will move towards IP-based services (Gotomeeting, hangouts, etc.)

  4. Quality of Service • Standards still vital – but arguments over QOS may diminish with increased bandwidth. • BITAG can opine but SDOs will drive. • Transcoding will be painful and may lead to adoption of more common practices

  5. IP and Public Policy • IP-based solutions can be far better than conventional 911 • Detailed location information (in-building, possible sensing of local conditions…) • Improvements in Public Safety Communications (cf: NIST VCAT Report) • Captions independently manipulated, translated, etc. • Crowd-sourced assistance • Improved speech recognition and generation • Richer range of multimedia entertainment options

  6. Privacy and Safety • Edge devices, servers and clouds must become more robust and resistant • Browsers and Operating Systems need serious work • Intermediaries need to protect their infrastructure and defend against DOS but apps operators should defend against malware that attacks at application layer. • International conventions for law enforcement and societal conventions for behavior needed. • Strong authentication has a role; so does anonymity.

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