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Towards a Sustainable Transport System - the implications for transport planners. Presentation to TPS Board 18 November 2008 Billy Parr LB Waltham Forest. Outline. Timeline Key messages from Eddington and Stern Government response Implications of the Government’s response
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Towards a Sustainable Transport System - the implications for transport planners Presentation to TPS Board 18 November 2008 Billy Parr LB Waltham Forest
Outline • Timeline • Key messages from Eddington and Stern • Government response • Implications of the Government’s response • - Carbon reduction • Road pricing • New approach to transport planning • Scheme assessment • Future schemes • Governance • Job prospects
Timeline Jul 05: Stern commissioned Dec 06: Eddington Report published Jan 08: Interim consultation Autumn 08: Full consultation Spring 09: White Paper Mar 05: Eddington commissioned Oct 06: Stern Review published Oct 07: TASTS published Jul 08: Progress update Early 09: Green Paper
Stern Key messages The economics of climate change “Establishing a carbon price essential” “Stabilisation of CO² emissions is feasible” “Global cost of 1% of GDP per annum” “… one of the most expensive sectors from which to cut emissions”
Eddington Key messages Long-term impacts of transport on economy “Widespread road-user charging essential” “Network broadly in the right places” “Sophisticated policy mix” “…focus on urban areas, international gateways and inter-urban corridors” “…not seduced by grands projets”
Government response • Towards a Sustainable Transport System (TASTS) • ‘Rich and dirty’ or ‘poor and green’ is false dichotomy • Policy objectives rejigged, with ‘less carbon’ rising to second • Reasonable coverage of most issues…… • ……but lacking commitment in key areas?
Government response • Key areas • Supports carbon pricing • Adoption of long-term decision-making cycle…. • …coupled with NATA refresh • Scope for new governance arrangements • Supports creation of IPC
Implications • In order of perceived importance • - Carbon reduction • Road pricing • New approach to transport planning • Scheme assessment • Future schemes • Governance • Job prospects
Carbon reduction • Scale of challenge • Carbon pricing and reduction trajectories crucial • Inclusion of aviation in EU Emissions Trading scheme • Need to factor carbon into decision making process • Currently lack of clarity over weighting of goals
Road pricing • Significant discrepancy • Eddington advocates widespread scheme by 2015…. • ……but DfT focus still on local ‘pilot’ schemes • Anti-road pricing petition a factor in this? • Consequences • Lack of clear direction for transport planners • Onus for developing schemes remains at local level • Reconciliation issues
New approach to planning • Consequences • Funding restricted to only the most worthwhile schemes? • Linked to IPC, timely and resource efficient decision making?
Assessment • Need to ‘listen to the numbers’ • NATA refresh • Monetisation of full economic and carbon-related impacts likely to feature highly • However • Increasing complexity of assessment and appraisal? • Loose commitment to NATA lite
Future schemes • DfT support for Eddington’s take on small scale schemes • Uncertain future for High Speed Rail
Governance • Potential reform of governance arrangements • Creation of Integrated Transport Authorities • Extension of existing PTA powers and remit • However • Lack of commitment in TASTS means that the benefits of ITAs may never be fully realised ITA powers Bus quality contracts Highway maintenance Bus priority Quality partnerships Strategic road and rail powers Local Transport Plans Traffic calming
Job prospects • Additional workload as a result of more rigorous NATA framework? • Need for development of new skills? • Possible reshuffle of public sector structures?
Conclusion • TASTS will have some positive implications • Lack of detail and commitment in key areas such as road pricing • Unless rectified by time of next White Paper, significant difficulties for transport planners as a result • Biggest single issue going forward will be the need to reduce transport-related carbon emissions
Thank you for listening Any questions? billy.parr@walthamforest.gov.uk