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Climatic changes and evaluation of their effects on Agriculture in Asian Monsoon region (CAAM)

CIGR-Ageng2012 Valencia, Spain 10 July 2012. Climatic changes and evaluation of their effects on Agriculture in Asian Monsoon region (CAAM). Masaru Mizoguchi Department of Global Agricultural Science The University of Tokyo. - Introduction- GRENE.

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Climatic changes and evaluation of their effects on Agriculture in Asian Monsoon region (CAAM)

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  1. CIGR-Ageng2012 Valencia, Spain 10 July 2012 Climatic changes and evaluation of their effects on Agriculture in Asian Monsoon region (CAAM) Masaru Mizoguchi Department of Global Agricultural Science The University of Tokyo

  2. -Introduction- GRENE • Green Network of Excellence program (GRENE) • has started from 2011 • under the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology (MEXT) • Based on “the new growth strategy” which was approved by the Cabinet of Japan in June 2010 • Objectives of the program • the domestic leading universities work together to share research resources and research goals • Environmental Information is selected as one of them

  3. What is CAAM? • One project in the environmental information under the research framework of the GRENE • One of 6 selected-projects • Biodiversity, Climate, Land, Water, Agriculture, Health • Climatic changes and evaluation of their effects on agriculture in Asian monsoon region • supported by the Japanese Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology (MEXT) from 2011 to 2015

  4. Background of the CAAM project • Asian monsoon region • Large population (more than 60 % in the world) • Many agricultural countries • Rapid development • Rapid change in land use • Need for adaptation and mitigation strategies in agriculture • against the predicted climatic changes • Control of GHG from agricultural fields • Problem • Lack of agro-meteorological and climatological data-bases

  5. Project aims of CAAM • To improve the reliability of future climate prediction • To develop the information platform • will be useful to design adaptation and mitigation strategies in agriculture against the predicted climatic changes in Asian monsoon region

  6. Research targets • Development of agro-meteorological and climatological data-bases • Evaluation of land surface conditions on climate • Elucidation of the effects of climatic changes on major crops • Development of the information platform to design adaptation and mitigation strategies of major crops against the predicted climatic changes • in Asian monsoon region

  7. Development of Agro-climatological Data-base in the Developing Countries in Asian Monsoon Region (Climate Change Research Team 1: CCR-1)(JAMSTEC) Overseas collaborating institutes Collection and digitization of agro-meteorological and climate data Special obs. solar radiation longwave radiation Routine obs. duration of sunshine, temperature, humidity, wind speed, rainfall 2011 - 2012 Improvement of surface water and energy budget model and calculation of agro-meteorological elements 2012 -2013 In-situ observation (Vietnam, Philippines) Comparisons 2012 - 2013 Formulae Development of station-based and gridded database 2013 - 2014 Calculation CCR2 Scenario data of agro-climatic conditions from AER1, 2 Estimated values solar radiation longwave radiation potential evapotranspiration climatic wetness Completion and opening of the agro-climate database 2014 - 2015 DIAS

  8. 2) Impact of Land-Use/Land-Cover (LULC) Changes on the Asian Monsoon Climate-Land-Atmosphere Interaction Study-(Climate Change Research Team 2: CCR-2)(Tokyo Metropolitan University) Long-term changes in Rainfall over 40 years in May Long-term changes in rainfall (inter-comparison of several rainfall datasets) 2011 - 2012 ＋ ー Meteorological data from CCR1 Boundary condition datasets for climate simulation (soil moisture etc.) 2012 - 2013 Takahashi (2011) Rainfall Change due to land use change Meteorological data from AER2,3 Inter-comparison of CMIP3/5 in terms of Land-Atmospheric interaction. 2013-2014 ＋ DIAS ー Impact of LULC changes on Asian monsoon climate using regional climate model 2014-2015 Takahashi et al. (2010)

  9. 3) Climatic Changes and Evaluation of Their Effects on Agriculture in Asian Monsoon Region Based on a Field Survey -Validation of evaluation system by field survey - (Agricultural Effect Research Team 1: AER-1) (Univ. of Tokyo) Presets for joint research (Thailand, Indonesia) 2011 Cropping survey and understand their characteristics 2012- 2013 rice cassava spinach Spinach field Rain-fed rice field Examination of potential cultivation by crop models Possible cultivation test for suitable crop system CCR-1 2013 - 2014 Cassava field AER-3 AER-2 Development of infrastructure for Web applications use 2015 Simulator for Cultivation Possibility of Rice

  10. 4) Climatic Changes and Evaluation of Their Effects on Agriculture in Asian Monsoon Region Based on a Field Survey- Construction of an Assessment System Using Meteorological Data and Crop Models -(Agricultural Effect Research Team 2: AER-2)(NARO) Existing Results 2011 - 2012 Collecting crop models & params. （for Asian Monsoon Region） • Clop models • Webapplications • Framework for developing applications Rice Cultivar A Rice Cultivar B ・・・ Spinach Cassava ・・・ Rain Fed Rice Field Rice cultivation possibility prediction tool 2012 Implementing cultivation simulators with flexibility which can exchange a crop model Improvement of the framework Simulator execution 　　　　　　↓ Climate change evaluation 2013 - 2014 Results of Climate Change ResearchMeteorological Data+ Climate Change Coef. Verification Correction Improvement of simulators 2015 Implementing web applications → Deploying to DIAS

  11. 5) Development of Information Platform to Design Adaptation and Mitigation Strategies of Major Crops against the Predicted Climatic Changes in Asian Monsoon Region(Agricultural Effect Research Team 3:AER-3) (NIAES) CCR-1 CCR-2 AER-1, 2 Measurement of greenhouse gas emissions from cropland Foreign Institutes for joint research 2011 - 2014 Collecting data of meteorology, soil, land cover and agriculture 2011 - 2014 Evaluation of soil temperature and moisture of cropland 2012 - 2014 Rice field Compilation of agro-climate change scenarios 2014 Database for planning adaptation and mitigation strategies Development of information platform for adaptation and mitigation strategies 2015

  12. 2011 Installation of weather stationin Thailand, Indonesia, Philippines Radiation data in Philippines

  13. International kick-off meeting The First International Workshop of Climatic Changes and Their Effects on Agriculture in Asian Monsoon Region Date: March 3-5, 2012 Venue: Asia Hotel 296 Phayathai Road, in front of RatchathewiSkytrain Station, Bangkok 10400, Thailand

  14. Local tour in the International Workshop Rachaburi, Thailand, March 05, 2012

  15. Conclusions • The CAAM project has just started under the GRENE program in Japan • Development of Agro-meteorological information platform on climate changes • will be useful for the various decision-making in agriculture • Education of young researchers • will lead the study of global warming mitigation measures and adaptation research in Asian monsoon countries

  16. More information aboutthe CAAM project

  17. Gracias! Thank youありがとうございました (Japan)ขอบคุณคุณ (Thailand)Terima kasih (Indonesia)salamat sa inyo (Philippines)Cảm ơn bạn (Vietnam)谢谢 (China)

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