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The First International Workshop of CAAM 3-5 March 2012. Climatic changes and evaluation of their effects on agriculture in Asian monsoon region (CAAM). Project leader: Prof . Masaru Mizoguchi Department of Global Agricultural Science The University of Tokyo. What is CAAM Project?.
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The First International Workshop of CAAM 3-5 March 2012 Climatic changes and evaluation of their effects on agriculture in Asian monsoon region (CAAM) Project leader: Prof. Masaru Mizoguchi Department of Global Agricultural Science The University of Tokyo
What is CAAM Project? • under the research framework of the Green Network of Excellence (GRENE) • One of 7 selected-projects • Biodiversity, Climate, Land, Water, Agriculture, Health, DIAS • from 2011 to 2015 (by the end of March 2016) • supported by the Japanese Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology (MEXT)
Budget in 5 years • (2011) 63 Million JPY • (2012) 54 Million JPY • (2013) 50 Million JPY (hopefully) • (2014) 50 Million JPY (hopefully) • (2015) 50 Million JPY (hopefully) • (Total)Approx. 267 Million JPY
Objective of this workshop • To discuss our research implementation and collaboration in each country • by exchanging present research activities related with CAAM project • To make short presentation • about research activities on the related topic and expectation for CAAM project.
Background • Asian monsoon region • Large population (more than 60 % in the world) • Many agricultural countries • Rapid development • Rapid change in land use • Need for adaptation and mitigation strategies in agriculture • against the predicted climatic changes • Control of GHG from agricultural fields • Problem • Lack of agro-meteorological and climatological data-bases
Project aims • To improve the reliability of future climate prediction • To develop the information platform • which will be useful to design adaptation and mitigation strategies in agriculture • against the predicted climatic changes in Asian monsoon region
Research targets • Development of agro-meteorological and climatological data-bases • Evaluation of land surface conditions on climate • Elucidation of the effects of climatic changes on major crops • Development of the information platform to design adaptation and mitigation strategies of major crops against the predicted climatic changes • in Asian monsoon region
Objectives • Development of information system on agrometeorologicaland climatological data in Asian monsoon region • that can be utilized in DIAS (Data Integration and Analysis System) • Evaluation of land surface conditions on climate characteristic in Asian monsoon region • by utilizing climate model outputs available in DIAS
Objectives • Elucidation of climate changes on major crops in Asian monsoon region • by field surveys and development of evaluation system utilizing meteorological data and crop models • Development of information platform to design adaptation strategies of major crops • against the predicted climatic changes • to evaluate the mitigation potential • by reducing green house gasses from agricultural sector in Asian monsoon region
Planned benefits • Development of information platform on climate changes, land use, and agro-meteorology, • that on the prediction of major crops against the predicted climatic changes for designing adaptation and mitigation strategies in Asian monsoon region • Education of young scientists in Asian developing countries who will lead researches on • adaptation and mitigation strategies against the future climatic changes • development of regional collaboration network by them
Planned benefits • Development of research platform • for adaptation and mitigation policies in Asian agricultural sector • against the future global warming in the coming post-Kyoto Protocol period
Members • Climate change research team 1 (CCR-1) • Department of Geography, Tokyo Metropolitan University (GEO-TMU) • Leader: Dr. Hiroshi G. Takahashi • Member: IkumiAkasaka • Climate change research team 2 (CCR-2) • Research Institute for Global Change, Japan Marine-Earth Science and Technology (RIGC-JMSTEC) • Leader: Prof. Jun Matsumoto • Members: Shin-yaOgino, Nobuhiko Endo, Hisayuki Kubota, Shuichi Mori
Members • Agricultural effect research team 1 (AER-1) • Department of Global Agricultural Science, The University of Tokyo (GAS-UT) • Leader: Prof. Masaru Mizoguchi • Members: Seishi Ninomiya, Kazuhiko Kobayashi • Agricultural effect research team 2 (AER-2) • National Agricultural Research Center, National Agriculture and Food Research Organization (NARC-NARO) • Leader: Dr. Kei Tanaka • Members: TakujiKiura, HiroeYoshida
Members • Agricultural effect research team 3 (AER-3) • National Institute for Agro-Environmental Sciences • Leader: Dr. Tsuneo Kuwagata • Members: ShigetoSudo, Yusuke Takada, Kazunori Minamikawa
Development of Agro-climatological Data-base in the Developing Countries in Asian Monsoon Region (Climate Change Research Team 1: CCR-1)(JAMSTEC) Overseas collaborating institutes Collection and digitization of agro-meteorological and climate data Special obs. solar radiation longwave radiation Routine obs. duration of sunshine, temperature, humidity, wind speed, rainfall 2011 - 2012 Improvement of surface water and energy budget model and calculation of agro-meteorological elements 2012 -2013 In-situ observation (Vietnam, Philippines) Comparisons 2012 - 2013 Formulae Development of station-based and gridded database 2013 - 2014 Calculation CCR2 Scenario data of agro-climatic conditions from AER1, 2 Estimated values solar radiation longwave radiation potential evapotranspiration climatic wetness Completion and opening of the agro-climate database 2014 - 2015 DIAS
2) Impact of Land-Use/Land-Cover (LULC) Changes on the Asian Monsoon Climate-Land-Atmosphere Interaction Study-(Climate Change Research Team 2: CCR-2)(Tokyo Metropolitan University) Long-term changes in Rainfall over 40 years in May Long-term changes in rainfall (inter-comparison of several rainfall datasets) 2011 - 2012 + ー Meteorological data from CCR1 Boundary condition datasets for climate simulation (soil moisture etc.) 2012 - 2013 Takahashi (2011) Rainfall Change due to land use change Meteorological data from AER2,3 Inter-comparison of CMIP3/5 in terms of Land-Atmospheric interaction. 2013-2014 + DIAS ー Impact of LULC changes on Asian monsoon climate using regional climate model 2014-2015 Takahashi et al. (2010)
3) Climatic Changes and Evaluation of Their Effects on Agriculture in Asian Monsoon Region Based on a Field Survey -Validation of evaluation system by field survey - (Agricultural Effect Research Team 1: AER-1) (Univ. of Tokyo) Presets for joint research (Thailand, Indonesia) 2011 Cropping survey and understand their characteristics 2012- 2013 rice cassava spinach Spinach field Rain-fed rice field Examination of potential cultivation by crop models Possible cultivation test for suitable crop system CCR-1 2013 - 2014 Cassava field AER-3 AER-2 Development of infrastructure for Web applications use 2015 Simulator for Cultivation Possibility of Rice
4) Climatic Changes and Evaluation of Their Effects on Agriculture in Asian Monsoon Region Based on a Field Survey- Construction of an Assessment System Using Meteorological Data and Crop Models -(Agricultural Effect Research Team 2: AER-2)(NARO) Existing Results 2011 - 2012 Collecting crop models & params. (for Asian Monsoon Region) • Clop models • Webapplications • Framework for developing applications Rice Cultivar A Rice Cultivar B ・・・ Spinach Cassava ・・・ Rain Fed Rice Field Rice cultivation possibility prediction tool 2012 Implementing cultivation simulators with flexibility which can exchange a crop model Improvement of the framework Simulator execution ↓ Climate change evaluation 2013 - 2014 Results of Climate Change ResearchMeteorological Data+ Climate Change Coef. Verification Correction Improvement of simulators 2015 Implementing web applications → Deploying to DIAS
5) Development of Information Platform to Design Adaptation and Mitigation Strategies of Major Crops against the Predicted Climatic Changes in Asian Monsoon Region(Agricultural Effect Research Team 3:AER-3) (NIAES) CCR-1 CCR-2 AER-1, 2 Measurement of greenhouse gas emissions from cropland Foreign Institutes for joint research 2011 - 2014 Collecting data of meteorology, soil, land cover and agriculture 2011 - 2014 Evaluation of soil temperature and moisture of cropland 2012 - 2014 Rice field Compilation of agro-climate change scenarios 2014 Database for planning adaptation and mitigation strategies Development of information platform for adaptation and mitigation strategies 2015
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