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Information and Planning 2. “We are just statistics, born to consume resources” Horace. “If one does not know to which port one is sailing, no wind is favourable” Seneca. Peter Sims Professor of Public Health Medicine University of Papua New Guinea P.O.Box 5623, BOROKO.
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Information and Planning 2 “We are just statistics, born to consume resources” Horace petersims@upng.ac.pg
“If one does not know to which port one is sailing, no wind is favourable”Seneca Peter Sims Professor of Public Health Medicine University of Papua New Guinea P.O.Box 5623, BOROKO petersims@upng.ac.pg
Planning starts with a Problem • Stakeholder’s views • SWOT analysis • Problem tree • Solution tree • Options • Project formulation petersims@upng.ac.pg
The If and Then Cycle • If children sleep under impregnated bed nets-Then they will suffer from less malaria • If they have less malaria-Then they will have less anaemia and better growth • If they have better growth-Then there will be less stunting • If they are less stunted-Child health has improved petersims@upng.ac.pg
The If and ..Then Cycle Bednets in rural Africa PROJECT PROGRAMME Malaria Prevention Improve CHILD HEALTH PLAN petersims@upng.ac.pg
PLAN- PROGRAMME-PROJECT petersims@upng.ac.pg
Plan Programme Project petersims@upng.ac.pg
THE LOGICAL FRAMEWORK petersims@upng.ac.pg
Risk Management Strategy Risk-Low capacity of key personnel Consequence (High) 3 Probability (Low) 1 Risk Rating = 3 x 1 = 3 petersims@upng.ac.pg
Operational Planning • Short to medium term planning to achieve short term goals petersims@upng.ac.pg
Strategic Planning • Longer term planning to think 3-5 years out • To think the unthinkable • The “what if”questions • Option Appraisal • Model building petersims@upng.ac.pg
Option Appraisal Factor Weighting Score Wtd Score Value for 4 70 280 Money Health gain 3 50 150 Donor 2 80 160 Support Politics 1 80 80 Total for this 670 Option petersims@upng.ac.pg
So What? • Where are we now? • Where do we want to go? • How do we get there? • How do we know when we arrive? petersims@upng.ac.pg
There are paper plans and real plans petersims@upng.ac.pg
The best laid plans of Mice and Men, Gang aft agley ROBERT BURNS petersims@upng.ac.pg