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Longterm M anagement of H azardous E vents

Longterm M anagement of H azardous E vents . The Example of the 2004 T sunami in the Indian Ocean. Environmental R isk A nalysis and M anagement Anne Paulus 1341481 anne.paulus@students.boku.ac.at Lisa Vogel 1341437 lisa.vogel@students.boku.ac.at. Content.

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Longterm M anagement of H azardous E vents

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  1. LongtermManagement ofHazardousEvents The Exampleofthe 2004 Tsunami in the Indian Ocean Environmental RiskAnalysis andManagement Anne Paulus 1341481 anne.paulus@students.boku.ac.at Lisa Vogel 1341437 lisa.vogel@students.boku.ac.at

  2. Content • Case study – Tsunami 2004 in the Indian Ocean • Howcandisasterimpactsbeclassified? • Definition ofvulnerabilityandresilience • Long termmanagement • Discussion • Conclusion 2/16

  3. Tsunami in the Indian Ocean 3/16 http://www.worldatlas.com/aatlas/infopage/tsunami.gif

  4. Tsunami in the Indian Ocean More than 283.000 deaths 4/16 http://theipdblogpao.blogspot.co.at/2010/06/issue-4.html

  5. Tsunami in the Indian Ocean Damagetohouses,infrastructure, livelihoods: estimatedtoexceed $10 billion 5/16 http://www.coolgeography.co.uk/GCSE/AQA/Restless%20Earth/Tsunamis/before_after_tsunami_2004_500.jpg

  6. Effectsand Impacts Disastereffects = total loss + total damage Disasterimpacts = consequencesofthedisastereffects on post-disasterphase 6/16

  7. Impacts Paul 2011 Damagedinfrastructure Saltwaterintrusion Perceptionofaffectedarea Loss ofworkingplace Pollution ofgroundandsurfacewater Decrease in tourism Increase in poverty Economicloss Decline in drinkingwaterquality 7/16

  8. Impacts Positive impactsof a disaster Chance forecosystemregeneration 1. Deposition ofdebrisandsand on erodedbeaches 2. Improvedhabitatsuitabilityforturtles 3. Biodiversityconservation http://www.panoramio.com/photo/34624837 8/16

  9. Resilience & Vulnerability • Vulnerability „thedegreetowhich a systemislikelytoexperienceharm due toexposureto a hazard, either an exogenouspertubationor an endogenous stress orstressor“ (Turner et al., 2003) • Resilience „theamountofdisturbance a systemcanabsorband still remainwithinthe same domainsofattraction“ (Resilience Alliance) 9/16

  10. Resilience & Vulnerability 10/16 http://knowledge.allianz.com/environment/food_water/?2081/sustainable-fishing-why-and-how

  11. Long Term Management 11/16 http://danling.com/earthling/nd/UNIT1ScienceOfND/nhpics/Images/01_16.html.

  12. Long Term Management Protectionofcoastalecosystems Early Warning System Tsunami Permanent resettlement Emergency shelter 12/16 http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-xFVtLzZpsnI/ Un8b1BmjI1I/AAAAAAAAACQ/UPkuQiQi3S8/s1600/Cycle-disastermgmt.png

  13. Pre-DisasterRecoveryPlanning • New concept • Developed by IRP • Not yet commonly applied • Can improve response and recovery IRP (2013) 13/16

  14. Resettlement in Sri Lanka IRP (2013) 14/16 http://www.asianews.it/files/img/SRILANKA_%28F%29_1023_-_IDPs_resettlement_Prog_started_yesterday_-_2.jpg

  15. Discussion • Positive impactsoftsunami •  socialconsequences not fornature •  needforinterdiscipliaryapproach • PDRP  planning in predisasterphase • Avoidmistakesas in Sri Lanka • Consider different spheres • Howtoimplementtheoreitcalconcepts in real lifemanagement (e.g. resilience)? 15/16

  16. Conclusion Summary • Goal oflongtermmanagement: improveresilience, reducevulnerability • Cyclicalplanning • Transdisciplinaryresearch Open questions • Howcanlongtermimpactsbemanaged? • Howcanconceptsbeadapted in real life? 16/16

  17. References Adger, W.N., Hughes, T.P., Folke, C., Carpenter, S.R. and Rockström, J. (2005): Social-Ecological Resilience to Coastal Disasters. Science 309, pp. 1036-1040. Dikau, R. andWeichselgartner, J. (2005): Der unruhige Planet. Der Mensch und die Naturgewalten. Darmstadt, Germany. Felgentreff,C. andGlade, T. (2008): Naturrisiken und Sozialkatastrophen. Berlin, Germany. Ingram, J., Franco, G., Rumbaitis-del Rio, C. and Khazai, B. (2006): Post-disaster recovery dilemmas: challenges in balancing short-term and long-term needs for vulnerability reduction. Environmental Science & Policy 9, pp.607-613. International Recovery Platform (IRP) (2013): Recommendations for recovery and reconstruction in Post-2015 Global Framework for DRR (HFA2): summary of consultations. Kobe, Japan. Lindenmayer, D.B. and Tambiah, C.R. (2005): 2004 Tsunami Cleanup. Conservation Biology 19, p.991. Nachtnebel, H.-P. (2014): How to express reliability, failure and risks. Lecture notes. BOKU, course: Environmental risk analysis and management. Paul, B.K. (2011): Environmental Hazards and Disasters (Contexts, Perspectives and Management). Chichester, United Kingdom. Szczuciński, W., Chaimanee, N., Niedzielski, P., Rachlewicz, G.,  Saisuttichai, D., Tepsuwan, T.,  Lorenc, S. and Siepak, J. (2006):  Environmental and Geological Impacts of the 26 December 2004 tsunami in Coastal  Zone of Thailand - Overview of Short and Long-term Impacts. Polish Journal of Environmental Studies 15, pp.793-810. World Tourism Organization (WTO) (2005): Indicators of sustainable re-development and risk management for tourism in the context of tsunami recovery Phuket, Thailand.

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