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MBA BUSINESS RESEARCH PROJECT

MBA BUSINESS RESEARCH PROJECT. “A Study into Commercial and Technical Considerations for the Future Use of Marine Energy in New Zealand” Simon Fleisher MBA MEng CEng FIMechE. PRESENTATION OUTLINE. Introduction Literature Review Research Design and Data Collection

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MBA BUSINESS RESEARCH PROJECT

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  1. MBA BUSINESSRESEARCH PROJECT “A Study into Commercial and Technical Considerations for the Future Use of Marine Energy in New Zealand” Simon Fleisher MBA MEng CEng FIMechE

  2. PRESENTATION OUTLINE • Introduction • Literature Review • Research Design and Data Collection • Discussion and Analysis • Conclusions • Recommendations

  3. 1. INTRODUCTION The Past……………The Future?

  4. 2. LITERATURE REVIEW “Cost, performance, and economic assessments are heavily influenced by site conditions.” “Resource power density drives the cost of electricity, as is the case for most renewable energy generation.”

  5. 2.(a) TIDAL RESOUCE

  6. FAMOUS TIDAL RESOUCES

  7. NZ TIDAL RESOUCE

  8. 2.(b) WAVE RESOUCE

  9. WAVE FLUX (NI)

  10. WAVE FLUX (SI)

  11. HEIGHT OF TIDE

  12. TIDAL STREAM PREDICTIONS

  13. POWER OUTPUT CURVE

  14. HISTOGRAM

  15. 2.(c) TECHNOLOGY MATURITY

  16. 2.(d) NO OF TIDAL VENDORS

  17. MCT

  18. OPEN HYDRO

  19. 2.(e) NO OF WAVE VENDORS

  20. OSCILLATING WATER COLUMN

  21. PELAMIS

  22. OYSTER WAVE

  23. 3. RESEARCH DESIGN “What has the Literature Review told me?” “Get more Detail (Resource, Technical) Probe into the Economics, Investigate the Supply Chain, Peer Review against other Countries.”

  24. 3. RESEARCH DESIGN “Act as the Innovator – What do I Need to Know?” “Get a Balanced View – Talk to all Parts of the Industry – Device Developers, Electricity Generators and Retailers, Consultants, Industrial Entrepreneurs, and Government.”

  25. 4. DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS (a) Technical Developments (Device / BoP) (b) Technical Standards (c) Prototype to Production (d) Commercial Developments (UK / NZ)

  26. 4. DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS (e) Installation Costs (f) Operations and Maintenance Costs

  27. 4. DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS

  28. 4. DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS (e) Installation Costs (f) Operations and Maintenance Costs (g) EBOP and Transmission (h) Capital Cost and Power Output

  29. 5. CONCLUSIONS (a) Resource: Tidal - Good, Wave - Excellent (b) Demand: Currently Flat, Will INCREASE

  30. 5. CONCLUSIONS

  31. 5. CONCLUSIONS

  32. 5. CONCLUSIONS (a) Resource: Tidal - Good, Wave - Excellent (b) Demand: Currently Flat, Will INCREASE (c) LCOE is high (2030: $240-$350/MWh)

  33. 5. CONCLUSIONS

  34. 5. CONCLUSIONS (a) Resource: Tidal - Good, Wave - Excellent (b) Demand: Currently Flat, Will INCREASE (c) LCOE is high (2030: $240-$350/MWh) (d) Expertise exists but is Fragile (e) Supply Chain is Fragmented

  35. 5. CONCLUSIONS (f) Nil Government Support (g) Not Commercially Viable before 2030 (Mainstream Cost Differentiation) (h) Niche Market Application

  36. 5. CONCLUSIONS

  37. 5. CONCLUSIONS (f) Nil Government Support (g) Not Commercially Viable before 2030 (Mainstream Cost Differentiation) (h) Niche Market Application (i) Prioritise Installation and O&M Costs

  38. 6. RECOMMENDATIONS (a) AWATEA to continue Promoting ME (b) Government Support must be Provided (c) Research into Cost Reduction Pathways

  39. 6. RECOMMENDATIONS TIDAL WAVE

  40. 6. RECOMMENDATIONS (a) AWATEA to continue Promoting ME (b) Government Support must be Provided (c) Research into Cost Reduction Pathways (d) Device Integration and Transmission (e) Produce Strategic Roadmap

  41. 6. RECOMMENDATIONS

  42. 6. RECOMMENDATIONS (a) AWATEA to continue Promoting ME (b) Government Support must be Provided (c) Research into Cost Reduction Pathways (d) Device Integration and Transmission (e) Produce Strategic Roadmap

  43. ANY QUESTIONS? simon.fleisher@googlemail.com

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