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MBA BUSINESS RESEARCH PROJECT. “A Study into Commercial and Technical Considerations for the Future Use of Marine Energy in New Zealand” Simon Fleisher MBA MEng CEng FIMechE. PRESENTATION OUTLINE. Introduction Literature Review Research Design and Data Collection
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MBA BUSINESSRESEARCH PROJECT “A Study into Commercial and Technical Considerations for the Future Use of Marine Energy in New Zealand” Simon Fleisher MBA MEng CEng FIMechE
PRESENTATION OUTLINE • Introduction • Literature Review • Research Design and Data Collection • Discussion and Analysis • Conclusions • Recommendations
1. INTRODUCTION The Past……………The Future?
2. LITERATURE REVIEW “Cost, performance, and economic assessments are heavily influenced by site conditions.” “Resource power density drives the cost of electricity, as is the case for most renewable energy generation.”
3. RESEARCH DESIGN “What has the Literature Review told me?” “Get more Detail (Resource, Technical) Probe into the Economics, Investigate the Supply Chain, Peer Review against other Countries.”
3. RESEARCH DESIGN “Act as the Innovator – What do I Need to Know?” “Get a Balanced View – Talk to all Parts of the Industry – Device Developers, Electricity Generators and Retailers, Consultants, Industrial Entrepreneurs, and Government.”
4. DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS (a) Technical Developments (Device / BoP) (b) Technical Standards (c) Prototype to Production (d) Commercial Developments (UK / NZ)
4. DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS (e) Installation Costs (f) Operations and Maintenance Costs
4. DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS (e) Installation Costs (f) Operations and Maintenance Costs (g) EBOP and Transmission (h) Capital Cost and Power Output
5. CONCLUSIONS (a) Resource: Tidal - Good, Wave - Excellent (b) Demand: Currently Flat, Will INCREASE
5. CONCLUSIONS (a) Resource: Tidal - Good, Wave - Excellent (b) Demand: Currently Flat, Will INCREASE (c) LCOE is high (2030: $240-$350/MWh)
5. CONCLUSIONS (a) Resource: Tidal - Good, Wave - Excellent (b) Demand: Currently Flat, Will INCREASE (c) LCOE is high (2030: $240-$350/MWh) (d) Expertise exists but is Fragile (e) Supply Chain is Fragmented
5. CONCLUSIONS (f) Nil Government Support (g) Not Commercially Viable before 2030 (Mainstream Cost Differentiation) (h) Niche Market Application
5. CONCLUSIONS (f) Nil Government Support (g) Not Commercially Viable before 2030 (Mainstream Cost Differentiation) (h) Niche Market Application (i) Prioritise Installation and O&M Costs
6. RECOMMENDATIONS (a) AWATEA to continue Promoting ME (b) Government Support must be Provided (c) Research into Cost Reduction Pathways
6. RECOMMENDATIONS TIDAL WAVE
6. RECOMMENDATIONS (a) AWATEA to continue Promoting ME (b) Government Support must be Provided (c) Research into Cost Reduction Pathways (d) Device Integration and Transmission (e) Produce Strategic Roadmap
6. RECOMMENDATIONS (a) AWATEA to continue Promoting ME (b) Government Support must be Provided (c) Research into Cost Reduction Pathways (d) Device Integration and Transmission (e) Produce Strategic Roadmap
ANY QUESTIONS? simon.fleisher@googlemail.com