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Current Trends of Change in the Population of Texas

Current Trends of Change in the Population of Texas. Karl Eschbach, Ph.D. State Demographer of Texas Director, Texas State Data Center University of Texas at San Antonio TASSCC State of the State 2008 December 11, 2008 Austin, Texas. ?. Iowa. Population 2007 = 2,988,046. Texas 2007.

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Current Trends of Change in the Population of Texas

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  1. Current Trends of Change in the Population of Texas Karl Eschbach, Ph.D. State Demographer of Texas Director, Texas State Data Center University of Texas at San Antonio TASSCC State of the State 2008 December 11, 2008 Austin, Texas

  2. ?

  3. Iowa Population 2007 = 2,988,046

  4. Texas 2007 2007 + 2000 2007 + 64,535 =

  5. Fastest Growing States, 2000-2007

  6. Total Population and Components of Population Change in Texas, 1950-2007

  7. Population Change by Components of Change in the State, 1990-2000 and 2000-2007

  8. Percentage of Texas Population GrowthAttributable to Migration, Observed and Projected

  9. Nativity of Texas Children Under 5 Years Oldin Relation to Mother’s Nativity Source: American Community Survey Microdata, 2007

  10. Annual Net Internal and InternationalMigration to Texas, July 1 to July 1, 2000-2007 Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census Estimates

  11. Population Growth in Texas, 2000-2040 Source: 2006 Texas State Data Center Projections.

  12. Population Growth for Texas, 1980 -2040 (2000-2004 Migration Scenario) Source: 1980-2000 - U.S. Census Bureau Counts; 2007 - Census Bureau Estimates; 2040 - State Data Center 2000-2004 Migration Scenario Projection

  13. Components of Change for Texas,2000 to 2007 Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census Counts (2000); Estimate (2007)

  14. Population and Employment Change in Texas after 2000 Source: Texas Workforce Commission (Employment) U.S. Bureau of the Census (Population). Estimates are for July 1 of each year.

  15. Percent Change in Population andJob Growth in Texas, 1977-2007

  16. Changes in Geographic Distribution in Texas

  17. Internal In-Migration, 2000 to 2007, as a Percent of 2000 Population

  18. Internal Out-Migration, 2000 to 2007, as a Percent of 2000 Population

  19. Recent International Immigration as a Percent of 2007 Population

  20. Percent Growth 1980-1990

  21. Percent Growth 1990-2000

  22. Percent Growth 2000-2007

  23. Projected % Growth 2007-2040

  24. Historical Population Increase for Core-Based Areas in Texas, 1980-2007 Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census Population Counts

  25. Projected Population Increase for Core-Based Areas in Texas, 2007-2040 (Scenario 00-04)

  26. Changes in Age Structure

  27. Age-Sex Structure of Texas, 2007 andProjected 2040 (Scenario 2000-2004) Source: Texas State Data Center Estimates and Projections

  28. Texas Population by Age, 2000 & 2007 Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census Counts (2000); Estimate (2007)

  29. Texas Children by Age, 2000 and 2007 Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census Counts (2000); Estimate (2007)

  30. Percent Change in Enrollment in Texas, 2000-2007

  31. Numeric Change in Enrollment in Texas, 2000-2007

  32. Changes in Ethnicity

  33. Ethnicity & Immigrant Status-State of Texas, 2007 Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, 2007 American Community Survey Microdata File

  34. Immigrant Status by Age for Hispanics in Texas, 2007

  35. % of Growth Due to Each Ethnicity in Texas, 1980-1990, 1990-2000, 2000-2007, and 2000-2040* Sources: U.S. Census Counts, and State Data Center Projections, 0.5 Scenario

  36. When do Hispanics pass Anglos in Texas?When do Hispanics become a majority in Texas? Source: Texas State Data Center Projections

  37. Projected Ethnic Change in the State of Texas, 2000-2040 (Scenario 2000-2004)

  38. Percentage of Texas Population by Ethnicity at Each Age, 2000 Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, 2000 Census of Population

  39. Percentage of Texas Population by Ethnicity at Each Age, 2040 Source: Texas State Data Center, 2000-2004 Projection Scenario

  40. Workforce Renewal in Texas

  41. Educational Attainment (%) of Adults25-64, Texas vs. Rest of the US Source: American Community Survey 2007 Microdata File

  42. Baby Boomers in Texas Workforce • 4.3 million Baby Boomers (born 1946 to 1964) in Texas workforce in 2006 • 700,000 born before 1946 • Total workforce= 11.5 million • Persons born before 1964 are 43% of workforce, and 53% of college graduates in the workforce

  43. Educational Attainment of Baby Boomers in the Texas Workforce vs. Parents of Texas Children Percentage

  44. Ratio of over-represented and under-represented occupations:Parents of Texas children vs. Boomers in Civilian Workforce Source: American Community Survey 2006 Microdata File

  45. Projected Percent of Labor Force by Educational Attainment in Texas, 2000 and 2040

  46. Texas State Data Center and Office of the State Demographer • Karl Eschbach, Ph.D. • Nazrul Hoque, Ph.D. • Jeff Jordan, Ph.D. • Beverly Pecotte (State Data Center, San Antonio) • Sheila Dos Santos-Dierking (Office of the State Demographer, Austin) • Phone 210 – 458 – 6536 (San Antonio) • Phone 512 – 463 – 8390 (Austin) • Website txsdc.utsa.edu

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