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NATIONAL FORESIGHT PROGRAMME POLAND 2020 . Pilot Foresight Project 2003 ? 2005 in the field Health and LifeNational Foresight Programme Poland 2020 ? started in2007 in the fields:. Information
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1. NATIONAL FORESIGHT PROGRAMME POLAND 2020
2. NATIONAL FORESIGHT PROGRAMMEPOLAND 2020
3. Sustainable Development of Poland Quality of life
Sources and use of power resources
Key ecological problems
Environmental protection technologies
Natural resources
New materials and technologies
Transport
Integration of ecological policy with sectoral policies
Product policy
Sustainable development of regions and areas
4. Informations and Telecommunications Technologies Access to information
ICT and the society
ICT and education
e-Business
New media
5. Security Economic security (external and internal)
Intellectual security
Social security
Technical and technological security
Development of civic society
6. Budget of National Foresight Programme Poland 2020 Public budget of science
about 1300000 EURO
7. The NFP Poland 2020 main objectives:
setting the Polands development vision up to 2020
building consensus with main stakeholders
defining priorities in the area of R&D
rationalization of the expenditures from public funds
promoting Science for Economy
creating a social dialogue language and culture of thinking about the future
8. NFP Poland 2020 metodology: Several techniques used in combination Experts panels
Main panel
Research Area Panels (3)
Topic Panels (20)
SWOT analysis
Delphi analysis (2 rounds)
STEEP analysis
Social consultations
Cross-impact analysis
Scenarios building
9. Organization and managment of NFP Poland 2020: Minister of Science and Higher Education (sponsor, supervisory and decision-making body):
Steering Committee (consultative and advisory body)
Foresight Unit in Department of Science Strategy and Development (responsible for coordination of project and cooperation between main actors)
Support Group (consists of young researchers acequiring knowlege and experience)
10. Organization and managment of NFP Poland 2020: Coordination Consortium (responsible for programme):
Institute of Fundamental Technological Research (project coordinator, managment and organization, foresight metodology)
Institute of Economics of the Polish Academy of Science (economic and statistical research)
PENTOR Research International (social research opinion, organization of public debates and communication with the society)
Partner Institutions (scientific and analytical support)
11. Stages of the National Foresight Programme Poland 2020 Creation of a database and launch of the Programmes on-line portal
Determination of the composition of the Main Panel, the Research Area Panels and the Topic Panels and adoption of the general assumptions of the Programme
Training workshops concerning the foresight methodology and study of the national foresight projects and Delphi analysis
Conference opening the Programme
Work by expert panels: analysis of the current knowledge, SWOT, brain-storming, cross-impact analysis, initial list of research priorities, initial version of the scenarios, determination of theses for the Delphi analysis, selection of target groups
First round of the Delphi analysis and preparation of results
12. Stages of the National Foresight Programme Poland 2020 Work by expert panels: analysis of results of the Delphi analysis, PEST analysis, cross-impact analysis, re-determination of research priorities, preparation of an initial version of the scenarios
Second round of the Delphi analysis and preparation of results
Work by expert panels: analysis of results of the Delphi analysis, preparation of an initial version of the Final Report
Public debate and consultations presentation of the results of the Delphi analysis
Work by the panels: preparation of a cluster map, final version of the scenarios, the Final Report and recommendations for the Ministry of Science and Higher Education
Conference summarizing the Programmes performance