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Industry Viewpoint – Block 0. Carlos Cirilo Assistant Director Infrastructure Strategy. 16 November 2012. 57 million jobs. 2030. 82 million jobs. $6.9 trillion. $2.2 trillion. T he Challenge. Traffic growth Outpacing Capacity. Aviation emissions challenge……. 1600. Pre-recession.
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Industry Viewpoint – Block 0 Carlos Cirilo Assistant Director Infrastructure Strategy 16 November 2012
57 million jobs 2030 82 million jobs $6.9 trillion $2.2 trillion Industry Viewpoint - Block 0
TheChallenge Traffic growth Outpacing Capacity
Aviation emissions challenge…… 1600 Pre-recession ICAO forecast 1400 CO2 emissions from the global fuel burn of commercial airlines Post-recession 1200 IATAforecast 1000 800 Million tonnes CO2 600 © IATA 628 Mt (2010F) 400 200 0 Industry Viewpoint - Block 0 2029 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 2020 2023 2026
2010 2020 2050 1.5% p/a fuel efficiency Working towards Carbon-Neutral Growth Carbon-Neutral Growth from 2020 Implementation of global sectoral approach 50% reduction in net CO2 emissions over 2005 levels Global Aviation Industry Targets Industry Viewpoint - Block 0
What is the Solution? ASBU Industry Viewpoint - Block 0
Focus on Block 0 Performance Improvement Areas Block 0 (2013) Airport Operations Globally Interoperable Systems and Data Optimum Capacity and Flexible Flights Efficient Flight Path Industry Viewpoint - Block 0 7 Global Air Navigation Industry Symposium 20-23 September 2011 7 7
B0: Capabilities available in 2013 Planning Decisions based on business case and validation results as developed during the previous phase B3 B0 B2 B1 SIMPLIFIED LIFECYCLE V0 Identification of Needs V1 V1 Concept Definition V2 V2 Feasibility R&D Pre-Industrial Development and Integration - V3 V3 Industrialisation V4 V4 Implementation V5 Deployment V5 Decision V6 Operations V6 Decision Operations V7 Decommissioning V7 Decision Decision IOC Initial Operational Capability Standardisation activities Block Maturity Lifecycle Industry Viewpoint - Block 0 8 Global Air Navigation Industry Symposium 20-23 September 2011
Block 0: Capabilities within our graspoverview • Improved airport accessibility – using Performance-based Navigation (PBN) • Improved flexibility and efficiency in descent profiles – Continuous Descent Operations (CDO) • Improved flexibility and efficiency in departure profiles – Continuous Climb Operations (CCO) Industry Viewpoint - Block 0
Block 0: Capabilities within our graspPBN • PBN is today and we have to implement now: • Main enabler for runway safety • Increase accessibility of airports • Increase of airspace efficiency • Environmental solutions (noise and emissions) • PBN is the key building block for next generation airspace concepts (SESAR, NextGen, CARATS, etc.) Industry Viewpoint - Block 0
Implementing PBN Incentives can lead to early benefits The Air Navigation System benefits from early implementation Industry Viewpoint - Block 0
Safety - Accessibility RNP Approach RNP Approach allows 3D use Industry Viewpoint - Block 0
Optimized Tracks RNP AR Optimized Tracks Savings via: NIBAT – 3.8 NM EDLOR – 7.2 NM ORDEP – 10.3 NM KLAFU – 7.7 NM RABIV – 7 NM SIVAL – 5.7 NM ≈ 7 NM PBN Symposium 2012
Block 0: Capabilities within our graspCDO and CCO • CDO and CCO provide significant benefits in terms of: • Fuel burn reduction • Gaseous emissions reduction • Noise reduction • CDO and CCO enabled by Performance-based Navigation Industry Viewpoint - Block 0 16 November 2012
Continuous Descent Operations (CDOs) • Save fuel 125-1400 lbs • Up to 40% less noise • Reduced radio transmissions • Lower pilot workload • Reduced hearback / readback errors 15
Fuel savings/emission reduction Miami CDO demo Published STAR East Flow operations 4 Tracks Atlanta CDO demo Published STAR West Flow operations 11 Tracks CDOs provide large benefits in fuel, emissions, and flight time reductions • Atlanta (ATL) : • North Arrival STAR at Atlanta (ATL) • 144 Liters of fuel savings and 360kg reduction in CO2 emissions per flight • North Arrival STAR at Miami (MIA) • 182-197 liters of fuel savings and 460-500kg reduction in CO2 emissions per flight Vertical Profiles Vertical Profiles • 600 CDO night demos at ATL from August – November 2008 • Two North Arrival STARs • 151-227 liters of fuel savings and 380kg reduction in CO2 emissions per flight Industry Viewpoint - Block 0
Beyond Planning… ICAO and its partners are already addressing roll-out of PBN and associated airspace design features such as CDO and CCO. But assistance and full support from all our aviation stakeholders is needed. Industry Viewpoint - Block 0 16 November 2012
Final remarks • Capabilities with in our grasp. Don’t let it slip through your fingers…. • PBN is the key stepping stone and affects all corners. • In order to create a sound basis for the future of our air navigation system we all need to contribute • Starting now. Industry Viewpoint - Block 0 16 November 2012
Industry Viewpoint - Block 0 16 November 2012
Industry Viewpoint – Block 0 Carlos Cirilo IATA ciriloc@iata.org Tel +1 514 8740202 ext. 3620