Yulia Lezhnina Higher School of Economics, Moscow, Russia

1. Elderly Population in a Labour Market: Resource for the Economy or a New Challenge for Social Policy Yulia Lezhnina Higher School of Economics, Moscow, Russia 10-th ESA Conference Geneva, 7-10 September 2011

2. Empiric Data • Russian Longitudinal Monitoring Survey - RLMS, panel research, 2007 (N= 10350, N(pensioners)=3033), 2005 (N=12237, N (pensioners)=3003);  • Needy people in Russia, 2008, hold by Institute of Sociology, Russian Academy of Science (N=1749, N (pensioners) = 520). • Social Policy and Social Reforms by Eyes of Russians, 2006, hold by Institute of Sociology, Russian Academy of Science(N=1750)

3. Rate of pensioners,Rosstat, 1970-2009, %

4. Rate of employed among different groups of pensioners,RLMS, %

5. Financial motive for pensioners’ employment, RLMS Individual income and income per capita for working and non working pensioners Income groups: 1— up to 1500 rub, 2 – 1500-2000 rub, 3 –2001-3000 rub, 4 –3001-4000 rub, 5 –4001-6000 rub, 6 – 6001-9000 rub, 7 – more then 9000 rub

6. Social feeling of pensioners, RLMS, % (agreement with statements)

7. Occupational positions of pensioners and non pensionersRLMS, %

8. Health status of elderly population in the UK and Russia Health status of British population aged 61 according to EQ-5D, 1998, % Health status of Russian population aged 61 according to EQ-5D, 2005, %

9. Chronicle diseases of pensioners, RLMS, %

10. Occupational status of different groups of population, RLMS, %

11. Working experience of pensioners with different occupational status for current employer, RLMS, %

12. Reciprocal exchange with other households, IS RAS, %

13. New Challenges for Social Policy According to: • approach to Health system, • System of education, • developing of «family» infrastructure; and • migration policy, • anti-discrimination law, • employment policy and labour law

14. Yulia Lezhnina jlezhnina@gmail.com

15. Health measurement according to EQ-5D • 3 grades estimations (1-3) according to • Ability to move • Ability to take care of themselves • Every day activity • Pain and discomfort • Anxiety and depression • 5 figures code (11111, etc.) • Enlarged code (healthy-not healthy-sick)

16. Distribution of EuroQol Health States in a UK National Survey and RLMS

17. Consequences of raising the retirement age • The greatest impact on the urban labor markets with growth of the unemployed (including youth) in certain segments • Conservation of ineffective workforce in case of specific human capital with a low level of general human capital possession • The difficulty of access to positions of professionals for more effective and young workers, and maintenance on them low salaries with slowing down of the formation of the Russian middle class • Preservation of structural imbalances in the labor market (labor shortage in positions of manual workers, etc.) Total effect - reduction of economic efficiency and growth of social tension; reducing the costs of the Pension Fund together with a increase in budget expenditures on a number of other areas (transfer for disability, neediness, etc.)

18. Additional Consequences of raising the retirement age according to differentpaths One-stage increase (short-term effects): • "Ivalidization" of elderly people, especially unskilled workers and increasing the load on health system * Bearing high expenditures on adoption of anti-discrimination legislation and the development of expensive retraining programs Gradual increase (medium-and long-term effects): • Reducing the level of human capital of the country's workforce, including both the reduction of its general qualifications, and deterioration of health • The increase of unemployment among pre-pension age population, especially in the stagnating local labor markets Necessity of a set of preliminary measures of social policy before raising the retirement age

19. Схема формирования профессиональных групп