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ROUNDWOOD MARKETS Secretariat introduction by Mr. Volker Sasse

This presentation provides an overview of the roundwood market, removal forecasts for 2001 and 2002, and the impact of climate change and forestry land use policies. It also highlights the changes in roundwood trade flows and the effects of the December 1999 storms on timber markets.

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ROUNDWOOD MARKETS Secretariat introduction by Mr. Volker Sasse

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  1. ROUNDWOOD MARKETSSecretariat introduction by Mr. Volker Sasse UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Fifty-ninth session Geneva, 2-5 October 2001

  2. Contents of presentation • Overview of findings in “Forest Products AnnualMarket Review 2000-2001”• Removal forecasts for 2001 and2002 - EU/EFTA - Other Europe (CEEC) - CIS - North America UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Fifty-ninth session Geneva, 2-5 October 2001

  3. Roundwood market framework • Further stabilisation of the policy framework in CEEC and CIS (increasing production, temporary low consumption)• Uncertainties about future impacts from climate change (storm damages)• Increasing demand in social and environmental benefits from forestry land use• More restrictive agriculture policy, enlargement of forestry land use UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Fifty-ninth session Geneva, 2-5 October 2001

  4. Forest Products Annual Market Review 2000-2001 (1-3) ·  Roundwood was in oversupply in Europe in 2000 following the extensive windthrow from the December 1999 storms, which mainly affected France, Switzerland, Denmark and Germany.·  Among other effects the storm damage led to: an acceleration of production and exports by 12% and 50% respectively, a 30% drop in prices, and a 19% increase in net imports.·Despite the surplus windthrow volumes in 2000 in western Europe, exports of wood raw material to western Europe from CIS as well as from central and eastern European countries increased rapidly by 13% and 8% respectively. UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Fifty-ninth session Geneva, 2-5 October 2001

  5. Forest Products Annual Market Review 2000-2001 (4-6) ·A change in traditional roundwood trade flows is occurring in the UNECE region as evidenced by a significant decrease in Germany's net trade with countries of the EU/EFTA subregion owing to a sharp increase in roundwood imports from the CIS since 1995.·Roundwood production and consumption in the CIS increased significantly, by nearly 60% from 1998, although it had decreased annually since the beginning of market reforms.·Incomes from expansion of roundwood exports from CIS and “Other Europe” countries are increasingly used to improve obsolete machinery leading to increased productivity and medium-term domestic purchasing power. UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Fifty-ninth session Geneva, 2-5 October 2001

  6. Forest Products Annual Market Review 2000-2001 (7-9) ·While the United States lost some market share in Japan, industrial roundwood trade between the United States and Canada is increasing.·Production and consumption of roundwood in the UNECE region both rose almost 5% in 2000, to reach 1.3 billion m3 in 2000, mainly because of the storm damages in Europe; however, removals remain still well below the supply potential of the forests.·Roundwood exports and imports both increased in UNECE region in 2000 by roughly 18%, while net exports expanded same time by 22%. UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Fifty-ninth session Geneva, 2-5 October 2001

  7. Industrial Roundwood – Removals Million m3 UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Fifty-ninth session Geneva, 2-5 October 2001

  8. Industrial Roundwood – Net Trade UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Fifty-ninth session Geneva, 2-5 October 2001

  9. Major industrial roundwood trade flows, in the UNECE region, 1996-1999 around 90 million m3 around 110 million m3 (12 %) (9.3 %) (8.5 %) UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Fifty-ninth session Geneva, 2-5 October 2001 (10.4 %) (8.1 %)

  10. German roundwood net trade(1,000 m3) UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Fifty-ninth session Geneva, 2-5 October 2001

  11. Removals, Consumption and Net trade in Russia, million m3 net trade removals consumption UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Fifty-ninth session Geneva, 2-5 October 2001

  12. Removals, Consumption and Net trade in Poland, million m3 removals consumption net trade UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Fifty-ninth session Geneva, 2-5 October 2001

  13. Removals, Consumption and Net trade in Hungary, million m3 removals consumption net trade UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Fifty-ninth session Geneva, 2-5 October 2001

  14. Industrial Roundwood – Consumption Million m3 UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Fifty-ninth session Geneva, 2-5 October 2001

  15. ROUNDWOOD MARKETSby Mr. Yves Costrel de Corainville, Délégué Général, Fédération National du BoisIncidence of December 1999 storms on timber markets and forest products • From French example/case – first country affected by the catastrophe • Difficulties occurred with timber harvesting • Reactions of timber sector • State of forests and timber markets at present • Instructions/Recommendations for the future UNECE TIMBER COMMITTEE Fifty-ninth session Geneva, 2-5 October 2001

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