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Bromley Joint Strategic Needs Assessment 2012

Bromley Joint Strategic Needs Assessment 2012. Key points for children, young people and families Bromley Children and Young People Partnership Board 23 July 2013 Michael Watts Senior Planning and Development Officer | London Borough of Bromley michael.watts@bromley.gov.uk.

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Bromley Joint Strategic Needs Assessment 2012

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  1. Bromley Joint Strategic Needs Assessment 2012 Key points for children, young peopleand families Bromley Children and Young People Partnership Board23 July 2013 Michael WattsSenior Planning and Development Officer | London Borough of Bromley michael.watts@bromley.gov.uk

  2. About the Joint Strategic Needs Assessment • It describes the main issues affecting the health and wellbeing of the population of Bromley • It covers the short term (3 to 5 years) and longer term (5 to 10 years) • It informs the strategic planning and commissioning of services and interventions • It is owned by the Borough’s Health and Wellbeing Board • It was presented to, and endorsed by, the Health and Wellbeing Board on 30 May 2013

  3. Demographics • The latest (2012) estimate of the resident population of Bromley is 316,647 • risen by 21,072 since 2001 • It is expected to increaseto: • 326,217 by 2017 [+9,570] • 332,956 by 2022 [+16,309] • The number of 0 to 4 year olds will increase from 21,215 in 2012 to 23,115 in 2017 [+1,900] • The number of births risen considerably in recent years • 29.1%increase between 2002 and 2011, and is likely to continue to do so • 18% resident children and young people population is made up of Black and Minority Ethnic (BME) groups: • Compared to an average Black and Minority Ethnic profile of 28.6% in Bromley’s schools

  4. The Health of People in Bromley (1) Life expectancy • Life expectancy at birth in Bromley has been rising steadily over the last 20 years • However, life expectancy is 7.8 years lower for men and 6.2 years lower for women in the most deprived areas of Bromley compared with the least deprived areas • The infant mortality rate in Bromley (3.0 per 1,000 live births) is lower than in England as a whole (4.4 per 1,000 live births) Obesity • Data collected for Bromley as part of the National Child Measurement Programme (NCMP) show • rising trends in the prevalence of overweight in children in Reception Year and Year 6 • a slight drop in the prevalence of obesity in the same age group

  5. The Health of People in Bromley (2) Teenage pregnancies • In 2010 there were 143 conceptions in females aged between 15 and 17 years - a rate of 26.4 per 1,000 female population aged 15 to 17 years • This is lower than both the London rate (37.1) and the England rate (35.4) • There has been a 17.8% reduction in the under 18 conception rate since 1998 • Of the 143 under 18 conceptions in 2010, 93 (65%) resulted in a termination of pregnancy • This is significantly higher than the England rate (50.3%), and slightly higher than the London rate (62.5%)

  6. Educational Attainment (1) Early Years Foundation Stage (usually aged 5) • Performance has been improving year on year since 2008 • 68% of Bromley pupils achieved the expected level of performance in 2012 • The gap between the highest performing pupils and the lowest 20% has been reducing - 33% in 2010 to 29.2% in 2012 Key Stage 1 (usually aged 7) • Performance is consistently at or 1-2 percentage points higher in all areas than performance nationally • However, the gap in performance at Key Stage 1 between pupils eligible for Free School Meals (FSM) and non-eligible is not narrowing • Pupils not eligible for FSM consistently perform better than those eligible

  7. Educational Attainment (2) Key Stage 2 (usually aged 11) • Performance is consistently above performance achieved nationally • The gap in attainment in combined English and Mathematics between those pupils eligible for Free School Meals and those who are not has decreased year on year - from a gap of 29% in 2008 to 22% in 2012 • A higher percentage of pupils in Bromley schools made the expected amount of progress between the Key Stage 1 and Key Stage 2 in 2012 than nationally Key Stage 4 (usually aged 16) • Pupils achieve higher that the national average - 68% of pupils gaining 5+ A*-C grades (including English and Mathematics) compared with 58% nationally in 2012 • The Free School Meal/Non Free School Meal gap has fluctuated over the last 3 years

  8. Special Educational Needs and Disabilities (1) Population • In 2012 there were 9,205 pupils in Bromley schools with Special Educational Needs, an increase of 1,193 since 2008 • The number of pupils with Statements increased from 1,585 in 2008 to 1,779 in 2012 Attainment • 30.8% of the 117 Statemented pupils achieved the required level in reading at Key Stage 1 compared to 96.4% of pupils who have no SEN in 2012 • A decline on 2011 - 38.9% of 95 children • The results are similar for subjects at Key Stage 2 • 20.8% of the 68 pupils who have a full Statement achieve the expected level of 5+ GCSEs A*-C including English and maths compared to 78.3% of pupils who have no special needs • An improvement on 2011 - 16.8% of 68 children

  9. Special Educational Needs and Disabilities (2) Specialist services • Referrals to the Specialist Support and Disability Panel increased by 19% between 2010-11 and 2011-12 • an increase of 38 children to 240 • The Supporting Inclusion in Pre-School (SIPS) programme supported 8% more pre-school children with severe and complex needs within their local community pre-school setting • In addition, 22 children with complex health needs have been supported across 18 mainstream primary and secondary schools in the Borough without requiring a full Statement • Including some requiring airway support, Hickman lines, support for complex diabetes and gastrostomy tube feeding

  10. Children’s Safeguarding and Social Care Referrals • Safeguarding referrals have increased by 85% between 2007/08 and 2011/12 • from 1,441 in 2007/8 to 2,679 in 2010/11 • Initial contacts have increased by almost 300% between 2007/08 and 2011/12 • from 3,425 in 2007/8 to 10,132 in 2011/12

  11. Children in Care (1) Population • Children in Care in Bromley have increased by 18% (46) between 2007/08 and November 2011/12 to 301 Timeliness of adoption • From 2009 to 2012 the average time between a child entering care and moving in with its adoptive family within Bromley is 689 days • A significant decrease than the average time between 2008 and 2011 which was 804 days • However, longer than both the average for England (636 days) and the average of the ‘statistical neighbours’ (580 days)

  12. Children in Care (2) Education, employment or training • The percentage of young people aged 19 who were looked after aged 16 who were in education, employment or training has increased by 18% between 2010 (31%) and 2012 (49%) • Now above the national average of 36% in 2012 Stable home • The percentage of young people aged 19 who were looked after aged 16 who were in suitable accommodation has increased by 7% between 2010 (84%) and 2012 (91%) • Now above the national average of 88% in 2012 • Since 2010 been above the England average for the percentage of children in care with 3 or more placements during the year

  13. Emotional and mental health • The measure of overall emotional wellbeing in children and young people is lower than would be expected • Changes to services locally have resulted in difficulty accessing CAMHS services by front-line services • There is some indication that children and young people are not able to talk to their parents, family or friends when they are worried • Suicide rates are fairly low but there is a clear rise in recorded self harm in young people • The increase in self-harm is seen in both sexes, but it is particularly apparent in adolescent girls, where it is increased from 15 in 2000 to 58 in 2010 • Local Special Educational Needs and Disabilities data from schools shows higher rates than would be expected of children with learning disabilities and children on the autistic spectrum

  14. Young carers • A total of 847 young carers were known to Carers Bromley in September 2012 compared to 539 in June 2009 • An increase of 57% • Young carers are less likely to be happy at school and more likely to be bullied than young people with no caring responsibilities • Carers are more likely to experience poor health with people providing high levels of care twice as likely to be permanently sick or disabled

  15. Ideas for 2013 refresh Thoughts for discussion: • What are the key areas that you would expect to see in the 2013 refresh? • Have we missed any key needs of the population? • Do you have any data that you can provide to contribute to the 2013 refresh?

  16. Contact details Michael Watts Senior Planning and Development Officer Education, Care and Health Services London Borough of Bromley E-mail: michael.watts@bromley.gov.uk Tel: 020 8461 7608

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