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Vision for a resilient, technologically advanced world prepared to reduce risks associated with space weather; a federal partnership enhancing real-time awareness, forecasts, and warnings for national security and infrastructure protection.
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Unified National Space Weather Capability Dr. Jack Hayes NOAA Assistant Administrator for Weather Services Director, National Weather Service
Why? • Increasing potential for major impacts on advanced technologies that underlie critical infrastructure and national security • Next solar maximum expected in 2013 • Expect vulnerabilities to grow with growing technological advances • Need to continue to optimize and coordinate U.S. space weather investment to provide the right information to the right people at the right time to enhance resiliency and reduce vulnerability • Need to extend these capabilities worldwide to protect people, infrastructure, and the global economy and raise awareness where no space weather services are currently available
Vision A Resilient Technologically-Advanced World, Prepared to Meet the Challenges of Living with a Space Weather Producing Star, by Understanding and Reducing Our Risks and Vulnerabilities, While Partnering for Progress and Prosperity.
Unified National Space Weather Capability A federal interagency partnership facilitated by OFCM to improve space weather science and services the 2013 solar maximum and beyond • Increase real-time space situational awareness as solar disturbances trigger potentially high-impact space weather • Increase space weather forecast accuracy through research-operations partnership • Increase operational space weather warning accuracy and lead time for vulnerable infrastructure and missions • Provide a US contribution to international space partnership – consistent with President’s Space Policy
Unified National Space Weather Capability • National Space Weather Program Partners DOC/NOAA, DOD, DOE, DHS, DOI/USGS, DOT/FAA, NASA, NSF, DOS • OFCM facilitates development of national framework to • Capitalize on unique agency roles, responsibilities, and capabilities • Build a synchronized national effort spanning observations, models, applications, forecasts, warnings, dissemination, outreach and education • Enhance individual agency-specific mission needs, while leveraging national capabilities as needed • Link to existing international frameworks through United Nations Programs such as WMO, ICAO, COPUOS, OOSA
Action Plan Objectives • Identify critical national needs, capabilities and gaps and develop roadmaps to: • Improve use and integration of available observations into both research and operations • Accelerate Research to Operations for relevant space weather Research & Development • Develop new and improved mission-tailored space weather products and services • Improve collaboration between research community and operational space weather product and service providers • Broaden partnership to include international space weather community • Develop operational web-based space weather portal to provide around-the-clock space weather products that can be used worldwide
Strategy: Within One Year • National Space Weather Portal with best possible space weather products contributed by partners • Validation, verification and transition review of new numerical space weather forecast models for operations at AFWA and SWPC • WMO-facilitated space situational awareness data collection, collation and dissemination initiative • UK Met Office and Korean Radio Research Agency 24x7 operational forecast • Space Weather Prediction Testbed and science community support for targeted research and development product improvement projects
Strategy: Beyond One Year • Create targeted basic and applied research programs to enable future: • Forecasts of X-Class Solar Flares • Regional Forecasts of Moderate to Severe Geomagnetic Storms • Regional Forecasts of Moderate to Severe Radiation Storms • Establish SLA’s and MOU’s to harden inter-agency data, knowledge sharing, and transition-to-operations programs • Secure world-wide backup and product/service dissemination infrastructures to ensure reliable 24x7 on time/all the time delivery of actionable space weather guidance
Follow-on Presentations A coalition of the willing prepared to step up and make unique individual contributions to the unified space weather operational capability • DOD/USAF: Colonel John Egentowich • NASA: Dr. Michael Hesse • NSF: Dr. Richard Behnke • DOI/USGS: Dr. David Applegate