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Managing for Results in Country Programming. Managing for Results in Timor-Leste Rosa Alonso I Terme East Asia-Pacific Region. The LICUS Dilemmas. LICUS Countries face two difficult dilemmas:
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Managing for Results in Timor-Leste Rosa Alonso I Terme East Asia-Pacific Region
The LICUS Dilemmas • LICUS Countries face two difficult dilemmas: • They need “quick wins”/results the most for social stability and political credibility reasons, but … • They have the least capacity to deliver them and are often reluctant to work with civil society, which is seen as “competition” to the the new Government
LICUS Dilemmas • LICUS countries: • Need to focus on institution-building, but • That often leads to unrealistic expectations on: • Timing--how quickly these institutions can be built • Design--the level of complexity of institutions
LICUS Dilemmas • Focusing on (final) results/outcomes is important, but • Monitoring the sequence betweenpolicies/inputs—outputs—intermediate outcomes—final outcomes is key in low capacity environments
Timor-Leste—Starting from Scratch • Prior to independence, planning was not a productive exercise for the Timorese, as their fate was dependent on others • Timor-Leste’s officials had very little (if any) experience in Government, and • Hence, it was crucial tostart from the beginning
Timor-Leste—Plans, Budgets and Results • Timor-Leste’s Government started its operations with the goal of encouraging a practice and culture of : • Planning out agency/ministry programs (called annual action plans--AAPs) and • Linking plans with results • Line ministries produce annual action plans linked to budgets and sector strategies when they exist • …and, in some cases, the plans are also linked to outputs or intermediate outcomes
Timor-Leste—Plans and Results • At the beginning, there were no sector strategies and hence AAPs played a crucial role in laying out agency programs to achieve results • However, the focus was mainly on planning activities, with the link to outputs and final outcomes being much more tenuous
Timor-Leste--Monitoring • All ministries send their AAPs to the planning office of the Ministry of Finance • Who collects them and monitors them through quarterly monitoring reports • This instills discipline into the process
Timor-Leste—Feeding Monitoring Results Back into Policy-Making • As usual, the weakest link is feeding monitoring results back into the policy-making process: • The capacity of MPF to assess/evaluate why some line ministries are (under)performing is weak and • The QRMs are not used in the budgeting process—hence the strength of the disciplining mechanism is undermined
Looking Forward—Focus Scarce Capacity on Implementation • Substantial focus—need to shift scarce capacity from: • Emphasis on the legal framework and designing strategies, policies and sector investment programs (17!) to • Policy implementation, budget execution and the achievement of results
Looking Forward--Planning • Decentralize planning--line ministries should take the lead in the AAP process • Increase focus on results—AAPs should increasingly focus on linking plans to outputs and outcomes and move away from micro-planning
Moving Forward--Implementation • Improved implementation will require: • Building capacity—at line ministries, MPF and districts • Decentralization—planning, monitoring and expenditure management to line ministries (and execution to districts) • Delegation—decision-making is highly centralized, empowering mid-level managers would expedite implementation
Moving Forward—Implementation II • Improved information flows, communication and coordination: • Among line ministries (e.g, Ministry of Public Works and Education) • Between line ministries and MPF • Between the center and the districts • Across management levels within ministries
Moving Forward with Implementation—Contracting Out • A good possibility for using large resource availability to deliver results would be contracting out: • The management of whole low-performing ministries (accompanied with capacity-building and exit strategy) • The delivery of specific functions within ministries (e.g. PFM or delivery of school materials) …but it is unlikely the Government would be willing to explore these options
Looking Forward--Monitoring • Monitoring systems: • Increasingly, MPF should focus on monitoring a core set of PRSP/NDP indicators and not the whole AAPs • Sector monitoring should be carried out by: • Line ministries and • Sector working groups of Government, donors (and, hopefully, civil society)
Looking Forward—Feeding Monitoring Results into Policy-Making • Making better use of monitoring results--QRMs should feed into the budget process and sector policy reviews • Building capacity—need to build up monitoring and evaluation capacity in line ministries and at MPF • Enhancing demand for accountability—through improved dissemination of key information and involvement of civil society and Parliament in monitoring and evaluation