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Presentation Overview. Investment Thesis External Analysis PEST Analysis Industry Analysis Internal Analysis Qualitative Size-Up Quantitative Analysis Discounted Cash Flow Competitor Comparables Investment Risks Recommendation. Investment Thesis. Industry Analysis. Internal Analysis. Qu
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2. Presentation Overview Investment Thesis
External Analysis
PEST Analysis
Industry Analysis
Internal Analysis
Qualitative Size-Up
Quantitative Analysis
Discounted Cash Flow
Competitor Comparables
Investment Risks
Recommendation
3. Investment Thesis Stock Price is Very Undervalued
One of the lowest Leverage Ratios
Was not involved in risky credit securities
Profitable Even during Financial Crisis
Painted with the same brush
4. External Analysis P.E.S.T Analysis
Industry Analysis
5. P.E.S.T Analysis Political
Political Intervention in Capital Markets
Economical
Credit Crisis
Possible World Wide Recession?
Housing Markets
Social
People becoming more risk-averse
Growth in Emerging Markets?
Technological
Online Banking??
6. Industry Competitors
7. Key Industry Ratios
8. Industry Analysis Effects of Leverage
9. Industry Analysis Effects of Leverage
10. Industry Analysis Effects of Leverage
11. Industry Analysis Effects of Leverage
12. Company Overview Large Spanish Bank Market Cap of $50.85 Billion
133,000+ Employees in 3 Continents
11,685 Branches
Predominantly in Retail Banking
Removed from Credit Crisis
13. Industry Consolidation Two major acquisitions
Acquired Sovereign Bancorp Inc (US company based in Philadelphia)
13/10/08
75.65% stake (already owned 24.35%)
$1.910 billion 3.81/share 0% premium
0.2924 ADR for 1 SOV (Stock-for-stock)
Acquired Alliance & Leicester plc (UK mortgage bank)
14/07/08
$2.511 billion 5.97/share 36.4% premium
1 share for 3 A&A
Financed through issuance of 138.9 million new STD shares
14. Write-downs vs Stock price
15. Qualitative Analysis
16. Qualitative Analysis
17. Qualitative Analysis
18. DCF Valuation
19. DCF Sensitivity Analysis
20. Comparable Valuations
21. Triangulation
22. Investment Risks Non Performing Loan (NPL) Risk
Currency Risk
Merger Execution Risk
Political Risk
Market Risk
23. Recomendation
Buy 100 Shares @ $8.13 = $813.00