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CROSS-COUNTRY WORKSHOP FOR IMPACT EVALUATIONS IN FINANCE AND PRIVATE SECTOR DEVELOPMENT Dakar, February 1-4, 2010. MALAWI Business Environment Strengthening Technical Assistance Project (BESTAP) Impact Evaluation. Lynda Ndovie. PROJECT COMPONENTS. Title. INTENDED IMPACT EVALUATIONS. Title.
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CROSS-COUNTRY WORKSHOP FOR IMPACT EVALUATIONS IN FINANCE AND PRIVATE SECTOR DEVELOPMENT Dakar, February 1-4, 2010 MALAWI Business Environment Strengthening Technical Assistance Project (BESTAP) Impact Evaluation Lynda Ndovie
PROJECT COMPONENTS Title
INTENDED IMPACT EVALUATIONS Title • Improving access to Commercial Justice (High Court Commercial Division) - Impact evaluation to randomly assign cases from the Magistrate Court to the Newly created HC- CD (treatment group). Is the new court more efficient? Does it improve trust in the judiciary? • Land titling – Impact evaluation to test different targeted incentives to promote Land titling. Following encouragement design, second evaluation to test effects on access to finance and other outcomes of Land titling. Should the government proactively encourage land titling for business development? How? • Business registration – The impact evaluation to test different targeted incentives to promote business registration. Following encouragement design, second evaluation to test effects on access to finance and other outcomes of business registration. Should the government proactively encourage registration for business development? How? • Business Growth Scheme (BUGS)
INTERVENTION Title • Business Growth Scheme (BUGS) • Set up to provide direct technical assistance in a form of matching grant to individual private firms in Malawi. • A total of US$ 2,000,000 (two million) was allocated to be disbursed in matching grants to eligible firms over the 5 years project period (2007-2012). • As at December 2009, 1253 firms have inquired for BUGS assistance.
EVALUATION QUESTIONS Title • Does BUGS services enhance growth of businesses who have a maximum of 10 employees in Blantyre and Lilongwe cities? • Other Outcomes of interest: • Sustainability • Formality • Entrepreneurial activity • Gender disaggregated effects on business owners
EVALUATION DESIGN Title Randomized Phase-in: BUGS has limited resources (2 centers with 7 employees) available at a particular time hence the clients can not be serviced all at the same time.
EVALUATION DESIGN Title STEPS Promotional campaign to attract interest in BUGS resulting into a list of businesses that will participate in the study. Randomization from the list over a period of time (four periods of 6 months each). Everyone is treated but in a phase-in process. The ones that initially get the grant are treatment while those waiting are the control group.
SAMPLING AND DATA Title Size: 1800 firms Period: 18 months 4 groups: 450 firms (75 businesses/month) treated each 6 months (last group only treated after the evaluation is completed) Randomization stratified by gender Surveys: Baseline, mid term after 9 months and follow up at 18 months
TIMELINE FOR IMPACT EVALUATION Title • Concept note: 1 March, 2010 • Reaching consensus with BUGS: April 2010 • Design of promotional campaign: April 2010 • Promotional campaign: May/June 2010 • Hiring survey firm: April – June 2010 • Hiring field coordinator: April – June 2010 • Preparing Baseline survey instruments : May – July 2010 • Baseline survey: August– October 2010 • Baseline analysis and report: November – December 2010 • Randomization: December 2010 • Intervention: January 2011 – June 2012 • Mid term survey: October 2011 • Follow up survey: July – August 2012 • Impact Evaluation analysis and report: September – December 2012 • Dissemination of results : January 2013
IMPACT EVALUATION TEAM: STAFFING Title • Project Manager of the Impact Evaluation (Lynda Ndovie, M & E Specialist) • BUGS Manager (Robert Kyukyu) • Ministry of Industry and Trade representative (Director of Private Sector Development) • World Bank Resident Senior PSD Specialist (Brian Mtonya) • WB Impact Evaluation Specialist (Francisco Campos) • Field coordinator (To be hired)
BUDGET Title • 2010 • Field Coordinator: USD 30,000.00 • Promotional campaign: USD 18,000.00 • Baseline survey: USD 144,000.00 • 2011 • Midline survey: USD 36,000.00 • 2012 • Follow up survey: USD 144,000.00