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MARCH, 2014. ECONOMIC OUTLOOK AND BUSINESS OPPORTUNITIES IN CHILE. Relative Size of Latin America Economies. GDP, Current Prices Billions US$ of 2012. Source : IMF. Evolution of GDP. (% of change ). Source : IMF, Central Bank of Chile. Comparative Growth 1990-2010
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MARCH, 2014 ECONOMIC OUTLOOK AND BUSINESS OPPORTUNITIES IN CHILE
Relative Size of Latin America Economies GDP, CurrentPricesBillions US$ of 2012 Source: IMF
Evolution of GDP (% of change) Source: IMF, Central Bank of Chile
Comparative Growth 1990-2010 • (Average Growth GDP) Fuente: FMI
Income Per CápitaLatam • (US$ PPP, year 2010) Source: Banco Mundial
Country Risk Latin America • (CDS Sovereign, 5 years, close 02-01-13) Fuente: FMI
Inflation Evolution (% of change, end of period consumer prices ) Source: INE
General government net debt (Percent of GDP, 2012e) Source: IMF
InvestmentEvolution (% of GDP, constantprices) Source: Central Bank of Chile
Employment Evolution Source: INE
Real Incomes Evolution Oct-12 Source: INE
Trade Evolution (12 monthmovingaverage, Millions of US$) Source: Central Bank of Chile
Globally integrated economy • A country with an open economy: 22 Free Trade Agreements with 60 countries. • Turkey • Ecuador • Colombia • Australia • Peru • Cuba • Panama • Japan • India • P-4 • China • EFTA • Korea • United States • European Union • Central America • Mexico • Canada • MERCOSUR • Venezuela • Bolivia • Malaysia • Nicaragua • Thailand • Hong Kong • Vietnam Agreements In force Agreements signed but not yet in force Agreements under negotiation 63% of world population 90.5% of Chile´s export markets 86% of the global GDP Government of Chile| Foreign Investment Committee
Main Chilean Exports (Countries) Millions of US$, 2012
Main Chilean Exports (by Sector) Millions of US$, 2012
Main Chilean Imports (Countries) Millions of US$, 2012 Source: Central Bank of Chile
Market Diversification of Trade Imports 2011 Exports 2011
Outstanding Business Environment Doing Business 2013 CompetitivenessYearbook 2012 EconomicFreedomIndex 2013 (37 out of 185 economies)* Chile leads Latin America. Government of Chile| Foreign Investment Committee *Selected economies.
InvestmentProjectsBy Sector (Mill. Of US$) Source: SOFOFA
FDI in Latin America and Caribbean, 2012 • Global FDI fell by 18% in 2012 to US$1.3 trillion, down from US$1.6 trillion in 2011. • By contrast, FDI in Latin America and the Caribbean rose by 7.2% to US$232 billion. Latin America and Caribbean: Largest FDI recipients, 2011-2012 (US$ billion) Variation in FDI flows, 2012 (%) Sources: Global Investment Trends Monitor, UNCTAD 2013 / Central Bank of Chile • According to UNCTAD’s estimates for 2012, Chile was for the first time Latin America’s second largest recipient of FDI; the inflow reached US$30.3 billion, the highest ever in the country’s history. Gobierno de Chile | Comité de InversionesExtranjeras Source:
Total FDI in Chile, 2003-2012 FDI in Chile, 2003-2012 (US$ million) According to UNCTAD, Chile was one of the seven economies in which the inflow of FDI showed the highest growth in the last year. In 2012, Chile received FDI worth US$30,323 million; this represented an increase of 32.2% on 2011 and set a new record. In 2012, Chile achieved a new record as a recipient of FDI. Gobierno de Chile | Comité de InversionesExtranjeras Source: Central Bank of Chile
Chile has 27.5% of world copper reserves (USGS). • World´s largest producer: copper (34%), natural nitrates (100%), iodine (58%), Rhenium (52%), Lithium (45%) and 5th largest silver producer. • Mining companies plan to invest US$104 billion during the next eight years. • Chile in 5th place in Current Mineral Potential Index (Fraser Institute). • Expenditure by mining companies is over US21 billion per year. • There are around 4000 supplier companies. • Mining • Opportunities • Equipment and supplies. • Engineering and consulting. • Construction. • Productionsupportservices. • Mining suppliers to create regional headquarters, export and diversify area of activitiy. Government of Chile| Foreign Investment Committee
Challenges • Chile’s total installed capacity is 17,000MW. • Electricity consumption expected to grow 6% to 7% annually. • Need to become independent in terms of energy supplies. • Need to diversify energy supplies. • Energy • Opportunities • Generation: More than 8,000MW of new projects required by 2020. • Natural conditions suitable for Non-Conventional Renewable Energies. • Transmission challenges. Government of Chile| Foreign Investment Committee
Chile has an investment portfolio of an aggregate amount of US$7,7 billion in public tenders. • Infrastructure Main projects in Public Works Concessions System 2013 -2014, figures in USD millions Government of Chile| Foreign Investment Committee
FRUITS • World´s largest exporter of table grapes, plums and blueberries, and top 3 in avocado, kiwi, raspberries and apples. • New opportunities: • Berries. • Cherries . • Walnuts. • Food industry • WINE • World´s 5th largestproducer. • New opportunities: • Organic wine. • “Functional” foods based on grape sub-products. • Grape-seed oil. • SALMON FARMING • World’s second largest producer. • Opportunities: • Salmon food. • Cage services. Government of Chile| Foreign Investment Committee
CHILE – THAILAND TRADING(figures in million US$) Source: LegalPublishing
MAIN PRODUCTS EXPORTED TO THAILAND(figures in million US$) Source: LegalPublishing
MAIN PRODUCTS IMPORTED FROM THAILAND(figures in million US$) Source: LegalPublishing
MAIN EXPORTERS TO THAILAND(figures in million US$) Source: LegalPublishing
MAIN IMPORTERS FROM THAILAND(figures in million US$) Source: LegalPublishing
MAIN DESTINATIONS OF OUR EXPORTS(figures in million US$) Source: LegalPublishing
MAIN ORIGINS OF OUR IMPORTS(figures in million US$) Source: LegalPublishing
HOW MUCH DO EXPORTS TO THAILAND REPRESENT IN OUR WORLD EXPORTS(figures in million US$) 0.32% Source: LegalPublishing
HOW MUCH DO IMPORTS FROM THAILAND REPRESENT IN OUR WORLD IMPORTS (figures in million US$) 1,01% Source: LegalPublishing
MARCH, 2014 ECONOMIC OUTLOOK AND BUSINESS OPPORTUNITIES IN CHILE